PLDPrologis, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Industrialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $133.76 · now $133.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLD has typically landed between $118.22 and $150.30 — a range of −11.6% to +12.4% from the issuance price $133.76.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($133.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PLD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $133.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$118.22worst · -11.6%$150.3best · +12.4%
  • now $133.76 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $134.93 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $128.24–$141.62
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $118.22–$150.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−64.9%−64.9%+2.5%
2008-10-14−59.4%−59.4%+0.0%
2008-09-30−56.8%−65.8%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+116.4%+0.0%+122.3%
2008-11-19+97.3%−9.7%+100.6%
2008-11-21+97.0%+0.0%+100.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$137.6B
market cap
$4.49
EPS (TTM)
32.9
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-21
next earnings
Revenue$8.8B
'20'25
Net income$3.4B
'20'25
Free cash flow$5.0B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr38.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr6.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.66
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $133.76$89.91$175.93
  • DCF (intrinsic)$95.84
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$147.60
  • Analyst target · range $135.00–$170.00$155.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$133.76

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+1.5%
n=18
Feb
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Mar
68%
+4.3%
n=19
Apr
68%
+3.0%
n=19
May
53%
−1.2%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Jul
74%
+4.7%
n=19
Aug
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Sep
53%
−1.1%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.7%
n=18
Nov
72%
+0.7%
n=18
Dec
67%
+4.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$150$1022026-07-16: 1 insider sale, $7.5M — Moghadam Hamid2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $540K — Arndt Timothy D2026-01-28: 1 insider sale, $1K — Slusser Sarah A2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $79K — BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $62K — BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA2025-10-24: 1 insider sale, $10.1M — Connor James B.2025-10-09: 1 insider sale, $5K — Slusser Sarah A2025-10-08: 1 insider sale, $2K — Slusser Sarah A2025-10-01: 1 insider sale, $58K — BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA2025-09-03: 1 insider sale, $111K — BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA2025-08-26: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — Palazzolo Lori A2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $2.8M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $111K2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $10.2M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $62K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $79K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $1K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $540K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $7.5M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Moghadam Hamid — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Arndt Timothy D — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Slusser Sarah A — Sale on 2026-01-28, filed 49 days after the tradedirector BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed same daydirector Connor James B. — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed 73 days after the tradedirector Slusser Sarah A — Sale on 2025-10-09, filed 160 days after the tradedirector Slusser Sarah A — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 161 days after the tradedirector BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BITA CRISTINA GABRIELA — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Palazzolo Lori A — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-16Moghadam HamiddirectorSale50,000 @ $149.91$7.5M−4.9% of holding−9.4%not yet — horizon still open969,089Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-15Arndt Timothy DofficerSale3,597 @ $150.00$540K−100.0% of holding+2.1%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-28Slusser Sarah AdirectorSale10 @ $127.57$1K−47.6% of holding+13.5%+9.5%11Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade
2025-12-01BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorSale621 @ $127.60$79K−7.0% of holding−0.8%+0.2%8,208Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorSale500 @ $123.14$62K−5.4% of holding+3.9%+8.9%8,829Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-24Connor James B.directorSale80,000 @ $126.58$10.1M−100.0% of holding+1.3%+8.0%0Form 4 · filed 73 days after the trade
2025-10-09Slusser Sarah AdirectorSale42 @ $114.69$5K−66.7% of holding+9.8%+18.9%21Form 4 · filed 160 days after the trade
2025-10-08Slusser Sarah AdirectorSale18 @ $115.87$2K−22.2% of holding+7.3%+18.6%63Form 4 · filed 161 days after the trade
2025-10-01BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorSale500 @ $115.69$58K−5.1% of holding+5.0%+18.0%9,329Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorSale1,000 @ $111.00$111K−9.2% of holding+1.3%+19.9%9,829Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26Palazzolo Lori AofficerSale25,000 @ $111.33$2.8M−98.4% of holding+0.3%+22.8%414Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-14Slusser Sarah AdirectorSale22 @ $108.63$2K−21.4% of holding−7.0%+8.1%81Form 4 · filed 247 days after the trade
2025-07-10Slusser Sarah AdirectorSale19 @ $108.58$2K−15.6% of holding−4.3%+9.6%103Form 4 · filed 251 days after the trade
2025-05-14Slusser Sarah AdirectorPurchase13 @ $107.34$1K+11.9% of holding−1.9%+1.2%122Form 4 · filed 308 days after the trade
2025-02-05Ghazal JosephofficerSale10,997 @ $118.74$1.3M−58.0% of holding+5.6%−14.1%7,977Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

277 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-14Letter DanieldirectorAward / grant21,671341,735Form 4
2026-07-14Arndt Timothy DofficerAward / grant10,779301,021Form 4
2026-07-14Austin DamonofficerAward / grant10,708164,262Form 4
2026-07-14Andrus CarterofficerAward / grant10,119158,320Form 4
2026-07-14Briones Deborah KofficerAward / grant6,498136,029Form 4
2026-07-14Burns TrishaofficerAward / grant69411,429Form 4
2026-06-30BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorAward / grant2216,342Form 4
2026-06-30Connor James B.directorAward / grant506,326Form 4
2026-06-30Slusser Sarah AdirectorAward / grant324,081Form 4
2026-06-30KENNARD LYDIA HdirectorAward / grant506,326Form 4
2026-06-30Metcalfe Guy AdirectorAward / grant2228Form 4
2026-06-30Metcalfe Guy AdirectorAward / grant506,326Form 4
2026-06-30Metcalfe Guy AdirectorAward / grant221449Form 4
2026-06-30Modjtabai AviddirectorAward / grant506,326Form 4
2026-06-30OCONNOR DAVID PdirectorAward / grant22128,232Form 4
2026-06-30Piani OlivierdirectorAward / grant506,326Form 4
2026-06-30BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorAward / grant7810,014Form 4
2026-06-30BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorAward / grant486,108Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant36347,977Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant18523,606Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant36347,977Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant12215,549Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant23129,452Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant18523,606Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant12215,549Form 4
2026-06-30FOTIADES GEORGE LdirectorAward / grant23129,452Form 4
2026-05-29Letter DanieldirectorOption exercise50,000320,064Form 4
2026-04-28LYONS IRVING F IIIdirectorConversion43,82543,825Form 4
2026-04-28Piani OlivierdirectorWithheld for tax59511,729Form 4
2026-04-28Connor James B.directorOption exercise1,9856,277Form 4
2026-04-28BITA CRISTINA GABRIELAdirectorAward / grant1,6959,936Form 4
2026-04-28Metcalfe Guy AdirectorAward / grant1,6956,277Form 4
2026-04-28Modjtabai AviddirectorOption exercise1,98422,645Form 4
2026-04-28Modjtabai AviddirectorOption exercise1,9854,582Form 4
2026-04-28LYONS IRVING F IIIdirectorOption exercise43,8300Form 4
2026-04-28OCONNOR DAVID PdirectorAward / grant1,69528,011Form 4
2026-04-28Slusser Sarah AdirectorAward / grant1,6954,049Form 4
2026-04-28Piani OlivierdirectorAward / grant1,98412,324Form 4
2026-04-28Piani OlivierdirectorOption exercise1,9854,582Form 4
2026-04-28Piani OlivierdirectorAward / grant1,6956,277Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-10$1–15K
Kevin HernHousesale2026-04-032026-03-20$50–100K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
David J. TaylorHousesale2026-03-062026-02-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
David J. TaylorHousepurchase2026-02-022026-01-29$1–15K
David J. TaylorHousesale2026-02-022026-01-16$1–15K
Dan NewhouseHousepurchase2025-09-172025-08-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Shelley Moore CapitoSenatepurchase2025-09-032025-08-01$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.