PLCEThe Children's Place, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.02 · now $2.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLCE has typically landed between $1.25 and $2.78 — a range of −38.4% to +37.5% from the issuance price $2.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PLCE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.25worst · -38.4%$2.78best · +37.5%
  • now $2.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.89 (-6.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.65–$2.13
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.25–$2.78
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−79.2%−79.2%+2.2%
2020-02-21−75.1%−78.9%+0.0%
2020-02-19−74.7%−79.4%+1.3%
3 best
2024-08-27+182.3%−19.4%+191.5%
2024-08-22+178.9%−21.9%+182.6%
2024-08-21+176.4%−23.6%+176.4%

5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−0.0%
n=20
Feb
40%
−1.1%
n=20
Mar
60%
−1.8%
n=20
Apr
35%
−1.8%
n=20
May
70%
+10.2%
n=20
Jun
45%
−4.4%
n=20
Jul
60%
−0.6%
n=20
Aug
50%
−2.5%
n=20
Sep
45%
+7.6%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.3%
n=20
Nov
60%
+5.0%
n=20
Dec
40%
−5.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$9$22025-10-08: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Umair Muhammad2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $50K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Umair Muhammad — Purchase on 2025-10-08, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-10-08Umair MuhammaddirectorPurchase7,143 @ $7.00$50K+2.6% of holding+12.9%−45.9%277,667Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

38 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Seemab Muhammad AsifdirectorAward / grant500,000603,583Form 4
2026-08-11Seemab Muhammad AsifdirectorOther acquisition500,00013,093,236Form 4
2026-05-22Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax964153,515Form 4
2026-04-15Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax4,181151,618Form 4
2026-04-15Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax2,360154,764Form 4
2026-04-15Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax2,019149,599Form 4
2026-04-15Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax285154,479Form 4
2026-04-15Shure JaredofficerAward / grant7,525157,124Form 4
2026-02-03Arshad HussandirectorAward / grant33,89856,865Form 4
2026-02-03Edwards Douglas RdirectorAward / grant33,89857,922Form 4
2026-02-03Summerton RhysdirectorAward / grant33,89848,391Form 4
2025-08-20Shure JaredofficerAward / grant80,000155,799Form 4
2025-08-20Lima-Guinehut ClaudiaofficerAward / grant100,000177,635Form 4
2025-08-20Umair MuhammaddirectorAward / grant160,000270,524Form 4
2025-08-20Szczepanski JohnofficerAward / grant100,000100,000Form 4
2025-07-08Seemab Muhammad AsifdirectorOther acquisition103,58313,593,236Form 4
2025-05-29Umair MuhammaddirectorWithheld for tax13,544110,524Form 4
2025-05-29Lima-Guinehut ClaudiaofficerWithheld for tax11,33577,635Form 4
2025-05-29Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax6,71475,799Form 4
2025-05-23Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax1,14582,513Form 4
2025-05-22Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax1,09083,658Form 4
2025-04-15Shure JaredofficerWithheld for tax2,69884,748Form 4
2025-04-15Shure JaredofficerAward / grant7,67987,446Form 4
2025-03-24Shure JaredofficerAward / grant90878,531Form 4
2025-03-24Shure JaredofficerAward / grant92779,767Form 4
2025-03-24Lima-Guinehut ClaudiaofficerAward / grant28,97088,970Form 4
2025-03-24Umair MuhammaddirectorAward / grant38,627124,068Form 4
2025-03-24Shure JaredofficerAward / grant60677,623Form 4
2025-03-24Shure JaredofficerAward / grant30978,840Form 4
2025-03-24Shure JaredofficerAward / grant19,31377,017Form 4
2025-03-13Umair MuhammaddirectorWithheld for tax3,03385,441Form 4
2025-02-18Summerton RhysdirectorAward / grant14,49314,493Form 4
2025-02-18Arshad HussandirectorAward / grant14,49322,967Form 4
2025-02-18Edwards Douglas RdirectorAward / grant14,49324,024Form 4
2025-02-06Mithaq Capital SPCdirectorExercise1,639,74313,696,819Form 4
2025-02-06Mithaq Capital SPCdirectorExercise1,639,7430Form 4
2025-01-31Mithaq Capital SPCdirectorExercise5,055,28912,057,076Form 4
2025-01-31Mithaq Capital SPCdirectorExercise7,001,7870Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.