PLAYDave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.86 · now $6.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PLAY has typically landed between $5.13 and $8.75 — a range of −25.2% to +27.5% from the issuance price $6.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,978 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-10-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PLAY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.13worst · -25.2%$8.75best · +27.5%
  • now $6.86 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.66 (-2.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.94–$7.39
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.13–$8.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,978 windows spanning 2014-10-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−89.5%−89.5%+0.7%
2020-02-14−86.1%−86.1%+0.0%
2020-02-13−84.5%−84.5%+1.2%
3 best
2020-03-18+137.4%+0.0%+255.4%
2020-05-07+90.6%−15.8%+90.6%
2020-03-17+82.2%−25.4%+165.1%

2,978 overlapping windows · 2014-10-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.9%
n=12
Feb
50%
−0.8%
n=12
Mar
42%
−6.5%
n=12
Apr
58%
+1.6%
n=12
May
42%
−2.0%
n=12
Jun
50%
+4.3%
n=12
Jul
42%
−1.9%
n=12
Aug
50%
+0.7%
n=12
Sep
33%
−7.7%
n=12
Oct
55%
+1.3%
n=11
Nov
67%
+9.4%
n=12
Dec
58%
+4.6%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$26$72026-04-17: 1 insider sale, $103K — Klohn Steve2026-01-16: 1 insider purchase, $15K — Rodriguez Rodolfo Jr2025-10-21: 1 insider purchase, $18K — Lal Tarun2025-09-18: 1 insider purchase, $51K — Lal Tarun2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $51K2025-10: 1 open-market purchase, $18K2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $15K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $103K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Klohn Steve — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed same dayofficer Rodriguez Rodolfo Jr — Purchase on 2026-01-16, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Lal Tarun — Purchase on 2025-10-21, filed 157 days after the tradedirector Lal Tarun — Purchase on 2025-09-18, filed 190 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-04-17Klohn SteveofficerSale6,989 @ $14.69$103K−15.3% of holding−31.2%not yet — horizon still open38,547Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-16Rodriguez Rodolfo JrofficerPurchase730 @ $20.10$15K+5.3% of holding−15.3%−54.6%14,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-21Lal TarundirectorPurchase1,000 @ $18.39$18K+9.5% of holding−26.4%−38.3%11,560Form 4 · filed 157 days after the trade
2025-09-18Lal TarundirectorPurchase2,500 @ $20.52$51K+31.0% of holding−12.3%−35.9%10,560Form 4 · filed 190 days after the trade
2025-07-22Lal TarundirectorPurchase8,060 @ $31.26$252Kownership Δ n/a−24.3%−41.9%8,060Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-17Mulleady JohnofficerSale5,931 @ $32.79$194K−12.2% of holding−13.7%−57.7%42,550Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-26Mulleady JohnofficerSale6,000 @ $29.33$176K−10.5% of holding−8.2%+2.1%51,183Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-19SHEEHAN KEVIN MdirectorPurchase19,025 @ $26.44$503K+38.0% of holding+5.7%+11.5%69,025Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-13Griffith Michael JdirectorPurchase18,000 @ $27.28$491K+49.6% of holding−7.9%+17.2%54,269Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-13DODDS HAMISHdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $27.31$273K+33.9% of holding−7.9%+17.2%39,456Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-13Pineiro AntonioofficerPurchase1,000 @ $27.35$27K+4.1% of holding−7.9%+17.2%25,646Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-12SHEEHAN KEVIN MdirectorPurchase37,735 @ $25.48$961K+37.3% of holding−0.1%+28.7%139,011Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

206 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Sample DerekofficerAward / grant39,01939,019Form 4
2026-08-31Busby AmandaofficerAward / grant72,46472,464Form 4
2026-08-18Protell CharlesdirectorAward / grant11,18511,969Form 4
2026-08-10Harper DarinofficerAward / grant228,426228,426Form 4
2026-08-10Hatton CoryofficerAward / grant50,76150,761Form 4
2026-08-10Rosales AldoofficerAward / grant50,76150,761Form 4
2026-08-10Harper DarinofficerAward / grant228,426228,426Form 4
2026-08-10Harper DarinofficerAward / grant203,046309,952Form 4
2026-08-10Hatton CoryofficerAward / grant50,761100,475Form 4
2026-08-10Rosales AldoofficerAward / grant50,761104,591Form 4
2026-08-10Rosales AldoofficerAward / grant50,76150,761Form 4
2026-08-10SHEEHAN KEVIN MdirectorAward / grant35,533129,876Form 4
2026-08-05Hill Path Capital Partners LPotherAward / grant95218,893Form 4
2026-08-05Hill Path D Fund LPotherAward / grant95218,893Form 4
2026-08-05Lipman NathanieldirectorAward / grant1,01218,715Form 4
2026-08-05Weiss Allen RdirectorAward / grant95218,835Form 4
2026-08-05SHEEHAN KEVIN MdirectorAward / grant1,30994,343Form 4
2026-08-05Protell CharlesdirectorAward / grant784784Form 4
2026-08-05CHAMBERS JAMES P.directorAward / grant1,07131,408Form 4
2026-06-30Harper DarinofficerWithheld for tax4,920106,906Form 4
2026-06-24Harper DarinofficerWithheld for tax1,011111,960Form 4
2026-06-24Harper DarinofficerWithheld for tax134111,826Form 4
2026-06-22Tucker JeremyofficerAward / grant213,936213,936Form 4
2026-06-22Morgan RachelofficerAward / grant122,249122,249Form 4
2026-06-22Morgan RachelofficerAward / grant84,03484,034Form 4
2026-06-22Tucker JeremyofficerAward / grant231,092231,092Form 4
2026-06-22Tucker JeremyofficerAward / grant147,059147,059Form 4
2026-06-22Morgan RachelofficerAward / grant126,050126,050Form 4
2026-06-08Klohn SteveofficerWithheld for tax2,87043,026Form 4
2026-06-02Fish KevinofficerAward / grant54,46654,466Form 4
2026-06-02Pineiro AntonioofficerAward / grant28,57688,508Form 4
2026-06-02Pineiro AntonioofficerAward / grant12,24712,247Form 4
2026-06-02Fish KevinofficerAward / grant40,82340,823Form 4
2026-06-02Lehner LesofficerAward / grant12,24712,247Form 4
2026-06-02Wehner TonyofficerAward / grant28,576114,883Form 4
2026-06-02Wehner TonyofficerAward / grant12,24712,247Form 4
2026-06-02Lehner LesofficerAward / grant28,57689,873Form 4
2026-05-06SHEEHAN KEVIN MdirectorAward / grant1,19293,034Form 4
2026-05-06Lipman NathanieldirectorAward / grant75917,703Form 4
2026-05-06Weiss Allen RdirectorAward / grant86717,883Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.