PL · TickerCove

PLPlanet Labs PBCIndustrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.02 · now $16.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PL has typically landed between $11.64 and $23.32 — a range of −27.3% to +45.5% from the issuance price $16.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,334 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$16.02 · 15% of range

$9.75 low$51.4 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 26.5%

−27.3%worst (p90)+45.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $16.02 (+0.0%)
typical $16.02 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $13.89–$18.15
90% range $11.64–$23.32

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,334 windows spanning 2021-04-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2021-12-08	−52.7%	−53.7%	+0.0%
2021-12-07	−51.3%	−51.3%	+5.0%
2021-11-18	−47.4%	−47.4%	+5.6%
3 best
2025-09-04	+137.0%	+0.0%	+137.0%
2025-09-05	+133.4%	+0.0%	+134.5%
2025-09-03	+130.6%	+0.0%	+130.6%

1,334 overlapping windows · 2021-04-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+16.4%

n=5

Feb

−9.0%

n=5

Mar

40%

−3.9%

n=5

Apr

40%

−0.3%

n=5

May

83%

+16.3%

n=6

Jun

17%

−6.0%

n=6

Jul

83%

+6.7%

n=6

Aug

67%

+1.2%

n=6

Sep

17%

+4.3%

n=6

Oct

40%

−3.1%

n=5

Nov

60%

+16.1%

n=5

Dec

60%

+2.4%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-23	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Sale	75,035 @ $22.08	$1.7M	−6.2% of holding	−4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	1,132,122	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-23	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Sale	34,993 @ $22.08	$773K	−5.9% of holding	−4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	561,482	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15	Robinson Kristen	director	Sale	37,107 @ $25.05	$930K	−14.3% of holding	−3.7%	not yet — horizon still open	222,897	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-13	Raymond John w	director	Sale	6,494 @ $26.16	$170K	−14.9% of holding	−11.6%	not yet — horizon still open	37,114	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-10	Marshall William Spencer	director	Sale	200,000 @ $25.92	$5.2M	−6.9% of holding	−13.7%	not yet — horizon still open	2,703,115	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-10	Schingler Robert H	director	Sale	64,593 @ $25.92	$1.7M	−7.3% of holding	−13.7%	not yet — horizon still open	825,541	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-10	Schingler Robert H	director	Sale	25,000 @ $25.92	$648K	−10.0% of holding	−13.7%	not yet — horizon still open	225,171	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-01	Brennan Ita M	director	Sale	11,500 @ $33.00	$379K	−4.4% of holding	−35.4%	not yet — horizon still open	252,658	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15	Brennan Ita M	director	Sale	36,500 @ $33.91	$1.2M	−12.1% of holding	+18.2%	not yet — horizon still open	264,158	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-06	Marshall William Spencer	director	Sale	200,000 @ $35.07	$7.0M	−5.9% of holding	−3.8%	not yet — horizon still open	3,192,726	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-06	Schingler Robert H	director	Sale	73,683 @ $35.07	$2.6M	−22.3% of holding	−3.8%	not yet — horizon still open	256,488	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-02	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Sale	148,540 @ $35.22	$5.2M	−7.3% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	1,895,162	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-02	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Sale	51,460 @ $34.76	$1.8M	−2.5% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	2,043,702	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-22	Gadde Vijaya	director	Sale	20,000 @ $26.77	$535K	−7.4% of holding	−7.8%	−29.3%	250,169	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Sale	95,831 @ $27.00	$2.6M	−4.7% of holding	−10.0%	−23.5%	1,956,101	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Sale	54,900 @ $27.04	$1.5M	−2.6% of holding	−10.0%	−23.5%	2,051,932	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21	Robinson Kristen	director	Sale	47,835 @ $26.96	$1.3M	−17.7% of holding	−10.0%	−23.5%	222,897	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-26	Marshall William Spencer	director	Sale	200,000 @ $19.36	$3.9M	−6.6% of holding	+43.3%	+62.4%	2,834,490	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-26	Schingler Robert H	director	Sale	73,782 @ $19.35	$1.4M	−6.0% of holding	+43.3%	+62.4%	1,164,729	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-11	SMITH GARY B	director	Sale	20 @ $12.69	$254	−0.1% of holding	+39.2%	+235.0%	32,468	Form 4 · filed 84 days after the trade
2025-10-13	Marshall William Spencer	director	Sale	200,000 @ $15.50	$3.1M	−6.0% of holding	−21.2%	+119.5%	3,156,387	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-13	Schingler Robert H	director	Sale	81,656 @ $15.50	$1.3M	−6.0% of holding	−21.2%	+119.5%	1,288,843	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-09	SMITH GARY B	director	Purchase	20 @ $15.66	$313	+0.1% of holding	−18.2%	+116.4%	32,488	Form 4 · filed 117 days after the trade
2025-10-06	BASS CARL	director	Sale	376,748 @ $15.67	$5.9M	−54.3% of holding	−17.2%	+138.6%	317,530	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13	de Masi Niccolo	director	Sale	3,800 @ $0.64	$2K	−0.3% of holding	+15.2%	+224.8%	1,470,933	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-06-12	de Masi Niccolo	director	Sale	8,600 @ $0.68	$6K	−0.6% of holding	+14.4%	+205.2%	1,474,733	Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

137 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Schingler Robert H	director	Gift	55,000	170,171	Form 4
2026-07-23	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Other acquisition	70,767	1,207,157	Form 4
2026-07-23	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Other acquisition	70,767	596,475	Form 4
2026-07-15	Robinson Kristen	director	Other acquisition	37,107	260,004	Form 4
2026-07-15	Robinson Kristen	director	Other acquisition	37,107	6,479	Form 4
2026-07-13	Raymond John w	director	Other acquisition	43,608	43,608	Form 4
2026-07-13	Raymond John w	director	Other acquisition	43,608	6,479	Form 4
2026-07-09	Gadde Vijaya	director	Award / grant	6,479	256,648	Form 4
2026-07-09	BASS CARL	director	Award / grant	6,479	403,665	Form 4
2026-07-09	BASS CARL	director	Award / grant	2,880	406,545	Form 4
2026-07-09	Brennan Ita M	director	Award / grant	6,479	259,137	Form 4
2026-07-09	Brennan Ita M	director	Award / grant	2,736	261,873	Form 4
2026-07-09	Robinson Kristen	director	Award / grant	6,479	43,586	Form 4
2026-07-09	Reese Scott	director	Award / grant	6,479	15,286	Form 4
2026-07-09	Reese Scott	director	Award / grant	2,160	17,446	Form 4
2026-07-09	SMITH GARY B	director	Award / grant	6,479	38,947	Form 4
2026-07-09	SMITH GARY B	director	Award / grant	2,160	41,107	Form 4
2026-07-09	Raymond John w	director	Award / grant	6,479	50,087	Form 4
2026-06-15	Marshall William Spencer	director	Withheld for tax	134,641	2,903,115	Form 4
2026-06-15	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Withheld for tax	91,530	1,277,924	Form 4
2026-06-15	Schingler Robert H	director	Withheld for tax	54,116	890,134	Form 4
2026-04-22	Marshall William Spencer	director	Gift	155,000	3,037,726	Form 4
2026-04-22	Schingler Robert H	director	Gift	55,000	201,488	Form 4
2026-04-06	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Other acquisition	525,708	1,369,454	Form 4
2026-04-06	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Other acquisition	525,708	525,708	Form 4
2026-03-19	Marshall William Spencer	director	Withheld for tax	39,572	3,392,726	Form 4
2026-03-19	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Withheld for tax	28,244	2,095,162	Form 4
2026-03-19	Schingler Robert H	director	Withheld for tax	16,483	992,933	Form 4
2026-03-19	Schingler Robert H	director	Award / grant	32,394	1,009,416	Form 4
2026-03-19	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Award / grant	51,398	2,123,406	Form 4
2026-03-19	Marshall William Spencer	director	Award / grant	77,744	3,432,298	Form 4
2026-03-15	Marshall William Spencer	director	Withheld for tax	122,167	3,354,524	Form 4
2026-03-15	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Withheld for tax	85,558	2,072,008	Form 4
2026-03-15	Schingler Robert H	director	Withheld for tax	50,431	977,022	Form 4
2026-03-12	Schingler Robert H	director	Award / grant	115,895	1,027,453	Form 4
2026-03-12	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Award / grant	173,842	2,157,566	Form 4
2026-03-12	Marshall William Spencer	director	Award / grant	393,212	3,476,691	Form 4
2026-02-03	Marshall William Spencer	director	Withheld for tax	63,041	3,083,479	Form 4
2026-02-03	Johnson Ashley F.	officer	Withheld for tax	33,694	1,983,724	Form 4
2026-02-03	Schingler Robert H	director	Withheld for tax	18,504	911,558	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i