PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motelas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.88 · now $14.88 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PK has typically landed between $12.74 and $17.17 — a range of −14.4% to +15.4% from the issuance price $14.88.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,431 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-12-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$12.74worst · -14.4%$17.17best · +15.4%
  • now $14.88 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.91 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.04–$15.79
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.74–$17.17
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,431 windows spanning 2016-12-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−78.9%−78.9%+1.5%
2020-02-14−74.2%−74.2%+0.3%
2020-02-19−73.4%−78.5%+3.3%
3 best
2020-05-07+82.5%−15.1%+82.5%
2020-10-28+76.2%+0.0%+78.1%
2020-11-04+73.1%−1.7%+73.1%

2,431 overlapping windows · 2016-12-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+0.9%
n=10
Feb
50%
+0.3%
n=10
Mar
50%
−6.3%
n=10
Apr
60%
+2.6%
n=10
May
60%
+0.2%
n=10
Jun
60%
−0.2%
n=10
Jul
60%
+0.3%
n=10
Aug
60%
+1.1%
n=10
Sep
30%
−1.7%
n=10
Oct
22%
−1.8%
n=9
Nov
78%
+11.9%
n=9
Dec
56%
+2.1%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$16$92026-01-14: 1 insider purchase, $33K — Kelly Christie B.2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $33K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Kelly Christie B. — Purchase on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-01-14Kelly Christie B.directorPurchase2,949 @ $11.19$33K+2.0% of holding+1.3%+30.4%150,501Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04ECKERT THOMAS DdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $11.75$235K+14.5% of holding−3.5%−6.0%157,478Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

150 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Dell'Orto Sean M.officerAward / grant165,782774,643Form 4
2026-09-03Vu Nancy M.officerAward / grant66,312274,355Form 4
2026-09-03Piantedosi Joseph M.officerAward / grant99,469215,608Form 4
2026-09-03Olander Jill CofficerAward / grant66,312260,039Form 4
2026-09-03Mayfield Carl A.officerAward / grant99,469413,828Form 4
2026-09-03Baltimore Thomas J JrdirectorAward / grant331,5642,337,556Form 4
2026-06-23NAUGHTON TIMOTHY JdirectorAward / grant1,814161,308Form 4
2026-06-23NATELLI THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant1,814228,393Form 4
2026-06-23Bedient Patricia MdirectorAward / grant1,986157,962Form 4
2026-04-24SADOVE STEPHEN IdirectorAward / grant13,839101,671Form 4
2026-04-24Garrett GeoffreydirectorAward / grant13,83968,529Form 4
2026-04-24ECKERT THOMAS DdirectorAward / grant13,839186,817Form 4
2026-04-24NATELLI THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant13,839226,579Form 4
2026-04-24NAUGHTON TIMOTHY JdirectorAward / grant13,839159,494Form 4
2026-04-24Bedient Patricia MdirectorAward / grant13,839155,976Form 4
2026-04-24Kelly Christie B.directorAward / grant13,839167,182Form 4
2026-04-24McClements Terri D.directorAward / grant13,83947,639Form 4
2026-03-24Kelly Christie B.directorAward / grant2,842153,343Form 4
2026-03-24NATELLI THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant2,487212,740Form 4
2026-03-24Bedient Patricia MdirectorAward / grant2,723142,137Form 4
2026-03-24NAUGHTON TIMOTHY JdirectorAward / grant2,487145,655Form 4
2026-02-23Baltimore Thomas J JrdirectorWithheld for tax22,0682,005,992Form 4
2026-02-23Dell'Orto Sean M.officerWithheld for tax6,116608,861Form 4
2026-02-23Morey Thomas CofficerWithheld for tax5,332428,639Form 4
2026-02-23Mayfield Carl A.officerWithheld for tax4,108314,359Form 4
2026-02-23Vu Nancy M.officerWithheld for tax3,361208,043Form 4
2026-02-23Olander Jill CofficerWithheld for tax2,106193,727Form 4
2026-02-23Piantedosi Joseph M.officerWithheld for tax1,679116,139Form 4
2026-02-23Robb Darren WofficerWithheld for tax751129,682Form 4
2026-02-17Baltimore Thomas J JrdirectorWithheld for tax23,7902,028,060Form 4
2026-02-17Dell'Orto Sean M.officerWithheld for tax6,825614,977Form 4
2026-02-17Morey Thomas CofficerWithheld for tax5,951433,971Form 4
2026-02-17Mayfield Carl A.officerWithheld for tax4,584318,467Form 4
2026-02-17Vu Nancy M.officerWithheld for tax3,751211,404Form 4
2026-02-17Olander Jill CofficerWithheld for tax2,350195,833Form 4
2026-02-17Piantedosi Joseph M.officerWithheld for tax1,634117,818Form 4
2026-02-17Robb Darren WofficerWithheld for tax854130,433Form 4
2026-02-13Baltimore Thomas J JrdirectorWithheld for tax29,1872,051,850Form 4
2026-02-13Dell'Orto Sean M.officerWithheld for tax8,050621,802Form 4
2026-02-13Morey Thomas CofficerWithheld for tax7,018439,922Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.