Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.36 · now $71.36 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PIPR has typically landed between $61.42 and $83.69 — a range of −13.9% to +17.3% from the issuance price $71.36.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.36) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PIPR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.36 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $71.36 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.5 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $67.55–$77.44
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $61.42–$83.69
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −59.5% | −59.5% | +0.3% |
| 2020-02-20 | −55.0% | −58.2% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −54.8% | −59.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +56.9% | +0.0% | +60.6% |
| 2008-10-09 | +55.4% | +0.0% | +61.8% |
| 2009-04-08 | +49.1% | +0.0% | +49.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
45%
−1.2%
n=20
Mar
45%
−1.6%
n=20
Apr
35%
−0.1%
n=20
May
60%
+0.2%
n=20
Jun
50%
−1.5%
n=20
Jul
75%
+4.5%
n=20
Aug
55%
+1.6%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.5%
n=20
Oct
60%
+5.8%
n=20
Nov
70%
+5.3%
n=20
Dec
60%
+3.2%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 38,600 @ $80.66 | $3.1M | −7.5% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 477,984 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 6,100 @ $79.24 | $483K | −1.2% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 516,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 300 @ $81.08 | $24K | −0.1% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 477,684 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 25,404 @ $77.54 | $2.0M | −4.6% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 522,984 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 19,296 @ $76.78 | $1.5M | −3.4% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 548,388 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 300 @ $78.25 | $23K | −0.1% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 522,684 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 5,159 @ $351.01 | $1.8M | −64.0% of holding | −11.5% | −19.2% | 2,896 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 81 @ $350.03 | $28K | −1.0% of holding | −11.5% | −19.2% | 8,055 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,616 @ $336.94 | $544K | −2.9% of holding | +1.3% | −17.6% | 53,558 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,384 @ $335.36 | $464K | −2.4% of holding | +1.3% | −17.6% | 55,174 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,630 @ $337.65 | $550K | −2.9% of holding | +2.6% | −18.0% | 54,714 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,614 @ $336.87 | $544K | −2.8% of holding | +2.6% | −18.0% | 56,344 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,156 @ $338.55 | $391K | −2.1% of holding | +2.6% | −18.0% | 53,558 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Clune Katherine Patricia | officer | Sale | 1,367 @ $324.69 | $444K | −11.6% of holding | +3.6% | −14.7% | 10,425 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-18 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Sale | 598 @ $317.05 | $190K | −3.0% of holding | +6.2% | −9.0% | 19,217 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 1,237 @ $331.19 | $410K | −29.1% of holding | +3.8% | −10.7% | 3,016 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-05 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 700 @ $328.68 | $230K | −13.0% of holding | +3.8% | −10.7% | 4,696 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-05 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 443 @ $330.09 | $146K | −9.4% of holding | +3.8% | −10.7% | 4,253 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-05 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 120 @ $331.98 | $40K | −4.0% of holding | +3.8% | −10.7% | 2,896 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-11 | Geelan John W | officer | Sale | 1,634 @ $322.96 | $528K | −11.4% of holding | +1.0% | +1.6% | 12,645 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-11 | Geelan John W | officer | Sale | 366 @ $321.46 | $118K | −2.5% of holding | +1.0% | +1.6% | 14,279 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-06 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 4,045 @ $323.10 | $1.3M | −6.6% of holding | −0.7% | −4.5% | 57,169 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,929 @ $324.27 | $626K | −3.4% of holding | −0.7% | −4.5% | 55,240 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,650 @ $324.88 | $536K | −3.0% of holding | −0.7% | −4.5% | 53,590 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 344 @ $321.95 | $111K | −0.6% of holding | −0.7% | −4.5% | 61,214 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 32 @ $326.23 | $10K | −0.1% of holding | −0.7% | −4.5% | 53,558 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | TAYLOR SCOTT C | director | Sale | 2,600 @ $319.86 | $832K | −13.7% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 16,319 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 2,251 @ $317.17 | $714K | −3.6% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 59,739 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,998 @ $322.47 | $644K | −3.6% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 53,558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 2,002 @ $321.42 | $643K | −3.5% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 55,556 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,383 @ $316.23 | $437K | −2.2% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 61,990 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 1,191 @ $318.37 | $379K | −2.0% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 58,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 990 @ $319.98 | $317K | −1.7% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 57,558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Abraham Chad R | director | Sale | 185 @ $315.09 | $58K | −0.3% of holding | −0.7% | −3.0% | 63,373 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 1,302 @ $316.20 | $412K | −1.0% of holding | −1.4% | −5.0% | 134,619 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 1,130 @ $318.19 | $360K | −0.8% of holding | −1.4% | −5.0% | 132,910 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 579 @ $317.56 | $184K | −0.4% of holding | −1.4% | −5.0% | 134,040 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-04 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Sale | 525 @ $314.73 | $165K | −0.4% of holding | −1.4% | −5.0% | 135,921 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-14 | SMITH SHERRY M | director | Sale | 2,237 @ $305.19 | $683K | −17.6% of holding | −8.3% | +2.0% | 10,479 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | SMITH SHERRY M | director | Sale | 246 @ $305.07 | $75K | −1.9% of holding | −8.3% | +2.0% | 12,716 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 9,384 @ $300.10 | $2.8M | −69.4% of holding | −6.5% | +3.9% | 4,143 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 3,845 @ $297.95 | $1.1M | −20.4% of holding | −6.5% | +3.9% | 14,992 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 1,465 @ $299.02 | $438K | −9.8% of holding | −6.5% | +3.9% | 13,527 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Sale | 306 @ $300.45 | $92K | −7.4% of holding | −6.5% | +3.9% | 3,837 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
194 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Mitchell Robbin | director | Award / grant | 42 | 15,797 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | HOLT VICTORIA M | director | Award / grant | 79 | 31,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Gallo Ann C | director | Award / grant | 22 | 8,093 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Sterling Brian R | director | Award / grant | 33 | 104,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | TAYLOR SCOTT C | director | Award / grant | 91 | 68,105 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Award / grant | 214 | 81,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Sterling Brian R | director | Award / grant | 345 | 104,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Award / grant | 345 | 81,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Gallo Ann C | director | Award / grant | 345 | 8,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sterling Brian R | director | Award / grant | 31 | 104,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | TAYLOR SCOTT C | director | Award / grant | 87 | 68,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Mitchell Robbin | director | Award / grant | 40 | 15,755 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Award / grant | 206 | 81,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | HOLT VICTORIA M | director | Award / grant | 76 | 31,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gallo Ann C | director | Award / grant | 20 | 7,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | TAYLOR SCOTT C | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 67,927 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Mitchell Robbin | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 15,715 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | ESSIG STUART | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 2,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | SCHREIER THOMAS S JR | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 32,479 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 81,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gallo Ann C | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 7,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | HOLT VICTORIA M | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 31,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Sterling Brian R | director | Award / grant | 1,875 | 104,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Gallo Ann C | director | Award / grant | 323 | 5,831 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Sterling Brian R | director | Award / grant | 323 | 102,659 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Award / grant | 323 | 79,207 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Mitchell Robbin | director | Award / grant | 69 | 3,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Sterling Brian R | director | Award / grant | 59 | 25,584 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | TAYLOR SCOTT C | director | Award / grant | 161 | 16,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | SORAN PHILIP | director | Award / grant | 391 | 19,721 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gallo Ann C | director | Award / grant | 28 | 1,377 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | HOLT VICTORIA M | director | Award / grant | 139 | 7,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Baker James P | officer | Award / grant | 7,377 | 69,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Schoneman Debbra L. | director | Award / grant | 6,191 | 9,129 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Geelan John W | officer | Withheld for tax | 824 | 13,983 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Geelan John W | officer | Award / grant | 1,806 | 14,807 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Withheld for tax | 5,937 | 141,921 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Doyle Jonathan J | director | Award / grant | 14,443 | 147,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Dillahunt Michael R | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,929 | 25,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Dillahunt Michael R | officer | Award / grant | 8,615 | 29,665 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.