Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.65 · now $18.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PINS has typically landed between $14.27 and $22.40 — a range of −23.5% to +20.1% from the issuance price $18.65.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,842 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-04-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PINS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $18.65 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.59 (-0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.04–$20.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $14.27–$22.4
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,842 windows spanning 2019-04-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −52.0% | −52.0% | +3.7% |
| 2020-02-13 | −50.6% | −50.6% | +0.3% |
| 2020-02-20 | −48.1% | −53.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +59.8% | +0.0% | +59.8% |
| 2020-04-02 | +56.4% | +0.0% | +56.4% |
| 2020-03-23 | +53.8% | +0.0% | +53.8% |
1,842 overlapping windows · 2019-04-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
71%
+1.7%
n=7
Feb
29%
−2.9%
n=7
Mar
29%
−6.1%
n=7
Apr
29%
−3.4%
n=7
May
50%
+3.2%
n=8
Jun
88%
+9.0%
n=8
Jul
75%
+5.4%
n=8
Aug
50%
+2.4%
n=8
Sep
38%
−5.6%
n=8
Oct
57%
+6.0%
n=7
Nov
43%
−3.2%
n=7
Dec
14%
−2.9%
n=7
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $18.64 | $874K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $19.22 | $901K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $20.04 | $939K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $20.07 | $941K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.63 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.23 | $995K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-26 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.57 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-25 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.53 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.11 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | Rajaram Gokul | director | Sale | 1,050 @ $23.03 | $24K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 37,246 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-18 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.40 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.23 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | −15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.88 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | −19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Brown Claude Leonard | officer | Sale | 12,240 @ $23.88 | $292K | −1.0% of holding | −19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,206,834 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Brau Donnelly Julia | officer | Sale | 59,096 @ $23.48 | $1.4M | −6.7% of holding | −14.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 817,409 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-22 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $22.57 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-21 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $22.54 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $23.03 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-15 | Rajaram Gokul | director | Sale | 1,050 @ $22.85 | $24K | −2.7% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,296 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-14 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $22.25 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $22.22 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $22.63 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | +1.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.64 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | +9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.45 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $19.90 | $933K | −100.0% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Walcott Wanjiku Juanita | officer | Sale | 14,208 @ $19.65 | $279K | −2.0% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 691,840 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 26,534 @ $19.84 | $527K | −56.6% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,341 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 20,341 @ $20.18 | $410K | −100.0% of holding | +11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $20.66 | $969K | −100.0% of holding | +11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-17 | Rajaram Gokul | director | Sale | 1,050 @ $20.85 | $22K | −2.6% of holding | +11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,346 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-16 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.15 | $991K | −100.0% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.43 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-09 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $21.78 | $1.0M | −100.0% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $20.28 | $951K | −100.0% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 46,875 @ $20.50 | $961K | −100.0% of holding | +7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Walcott Wanjiku Juanita | officer | Sale | 27,337 @ $20.46 | $559K | −3.6% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 724,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Rajaram Gokul | director | Sale | 1,050 @ $20.00 | $21K | −2.5% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,396 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-21 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 8,414 @ $18.84 | $159K | −100.0% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | Brown Claude Leonard | officer | Sale | 60,983 @ $20.77 | $1.3M | −4.5% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,282,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Rajaram Gokul | director | Sale | 2,100 @ $20.00 | $42K | −7.1% of holding | −13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Rajaram Gokul | director | Sale | 1,050 @ $20.00 | $21K | −3.4% of holding | −7.4% | −13.2% | 29,550 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Ducard Malik | officer | Sale | 2,293 @ $22.06 | $51K | −0.3% of holding | −10.4% | +4.8% | 695,187 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Ducard Malik | officer | Sale | 2,293 @ $26.18 | $60K | −0.3% of holding | −22.7% | −25.6% | 697,480 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-24 | Brau Donnelly Julia | officer | Sale | 22,821 @ $25.86 | $590K | −4.1% of holding | −11.1% | −24.2% | 540,358 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-24 | Ducard Malik | officer | Sale | 6,000 @ $25.86 | $155K | −0.9% of holding | −11.1% | −24.2% | 699,773 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | Acosta Andrea | officer | Sale | 3,759 @ $25.00 | $94K | −2.6% of holding | +1.9% | −30.2% | 143,431 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Walcott Wanjiku Juanita | officer | Sale | 74,047 @ $26.89 | $2.0M | −19.7% of holding | −2.7% | −40.6% | 301,214 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 8 @ $31.86 | $255 | −100.0% of holding | +0.4% | −41.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-24 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 83,333 @ $34.86 | $2.9M | −100.0% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-24 | Brau Donnelly Julia | officer | Sale | 22,821 @ $34.85 | $795K | −6.8% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 312,422 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-24 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 18,750 @ $34.85 | $653K | −100.0% of holding | −0.2% | −43.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 48,014 @ $36.80 | $1.8M | −100.0% of holding | −11.2% | −49.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 35,319 @ $36.49 | $1.3M | −42.4% of holding | −11.2% | −49.5% | 48,014 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 18,750 @ $36.66 | $687K | −100.0% of holding | −11.2% | −49.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 63,864 @ $34.80 | $2.2M | −76.6% of holding | −12.9% | −51.4% | 19,469 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 19,469 @ $35.18 | $685K | −100.0% of holding | −12.9% | −51.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 18,750 @ $36.00 | $675K | −100.0% of holding | −12.9% | −51.4% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 83,333 @ $37.04 | $3.1M | −100.0% of holding | −18.3% | −53.2% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 18,750 @ $37.04 | $694K | −100.0% of holding | −18.3% | −53.2% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Sale | 83,333 @ $36.03 | $3.0M | −100.0% of holding | −9.7% | −59.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
202 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,424,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,471,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,518,138 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,565,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,611,888 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,658,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Jewell Renee Marie-Bentley | officer | Award / grant | 108,604 | 108,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,705,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,752,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Madrigal Matthew | director | Withheld for tax | 27,343 | 1,577,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,799,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,846,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,893,138 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,940,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 34,986,888 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 35,033,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ready William J | director | Withheld for tax | 32,057 | 1,894,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 35,080,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 35,127,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 35,174,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 35,221,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Silbermann Benjamin | director | Conversion | 46,875 | 35,268,138 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.