PINEAlpine Income Property Trust, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.00 · now $18.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PINE has typically landed between $16.55 and $19.90 — a range of −8.1% to +10.5% from the issuance price $18.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,690 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-11-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PINE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$16.55worst · -8.1%$19.9best · +10.5%
  • now $18 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.03 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.37–$18.7
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.55–$19.9
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,690 windows spanning 2019-11-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−59.8%−59.8%+0.6%
2020-02-13−54.2%−54.2%+1.9%
2020-02-14−52.6%−55.0%+0.2%
3 best
2020-05-13+52.1%+0.0%+52.1%
2020-05-14+49.2%+0.0%+49.2%
2020-05-21+48.1%+0.0%+50.1%

1,690 overlapping windows · 2019-11-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
57%
+0.9%
n=7
Feb
43%
+1.8%
n=7
Mar
14%
−6.7%
n=7
Apr
43%
−0.0%
n=7
May
57%
−0.0%
n=7
Jun
71%
+7.1%
n=7
Jul
57%
+0.4%
n=7
Aug
57%
+2.0%
n=7
Sep
14%
−3.1%
n=7
Oct
50%
−0.4%
n=6
Nov
83%
+6.9%
n=6
Dec
57%
+1.5%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$22$132026-07-28: 1 insider sale, $41K — Richardson Andrew C2026-06-25: 1 insider sale, $57K — Richardson Andrew C2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $29K — Richardson Andrew C2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $9K — Richardson Andrew C2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $58K — Richardson Andrew C2026-03-31: 1 insider sale, $50K — Richardson Andrew C2025-12-11: 2 insider sales, $17K — Richardson Andrew C …2025-09-11: 1 insider purchase, $10K — Greathouse Steven Robert2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $15K — Richardson Andrew C2025-08: 6 open-market purchases, $713K2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $15K2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $10K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $17K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $50K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $97K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $57K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $41K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2026-07-28, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2026-03-31, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Greathouse Steven Robert — Purchase on 2025-09-11, filed same daydirector Richardson Andrew C — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-28Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale2,000 @ $20.28$41K−19.2% of holding−6.9%not yet — horizon still open8,425Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-25Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale2,832 @ $19.96$57K−22.9% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open9,544Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale1,500 @ $19.39$29K−10.8% of holding+6.9%not yet — horizon still open12,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale500 @ $18.87$9K−3.5% of holding+7.6%not yet — horizon still open13,876Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-08Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale3,000 @ $19.35$58K−17.3% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open14,376Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-31Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale2,750 @ $18.14$50K−14.3% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open16,444Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-11Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale500 @ $17.12$9K−2.7% of holding−0.4%+11.5%18,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale500 @ $17.10$9K−2.6% of holding−0.4%+11.5%18,660Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11Greathouse Steven RobertofficerPurchase672 @ $14.88$10K+6.2% of holding−11.1%+26.7%11,428Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-27Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale1,000 @ $15.00$15K−5.3% of holding−8.3%+27.6%17,968Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06Greathouse Steven RobertofficerPurchase3,500 @ $14.31$50K+48.2% of holding+6.7%+27.1%10,756Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06Albright John PdirectorPurchase3,500 @ $14.20$50K+44.1% of holding+6.7%+27.1%11,444Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06Smith Daniel EarlofficerPurchase3,500 @ $14.10$49K+72.9% of holding+6.7%+27.1%8,300Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-05CTO Realty Growth, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase9,090 @ $14.33$130K+3.0% of holding+2.9%+20.9%311,999Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04CTO Realty Growth, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase12,757 @ $14.35$183K+4.4% of holding+3.6%+19.6%302,909Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01CTO Realty Growth, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase17,733 @ $14.11$250K+6.5% of holding+4.5%+16.9%290,152Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-31CTO Realty Growth, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase20,841 @ $14.06$293K+8.3% of holding+6.6%+19.9%272,419Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-30CTO Realty Growth, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase23,334 @ $14.22$332K+10.2% of holding+4.9%+18.6%251,578Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-29CTO Realty Growth, Inc.tenPercentOwnerPurchase25,326 @ $14.43$366K+12.5% of holding+3.0%+12.8%228,224Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale400 @ $16.71$7K−2.3% of holding+5.4%−15.0%16,743Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24Richardson Andrew CdirectorSale2,000 @ $16.64$33K−10.4% of holding+3.8%−13.3%17,143Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

25 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Good Morton CarsondirectorAward / grant1,51028,233Form 4
2026-07-01Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant1,51011,257Form 4
2026-07-01Richardson Andrew CdirectorAward / grant88110,425Form 4
2026-07-01Elias Wein RacheldirectorAward / grant88115,756Form 4
2026-04-01Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant1,5989,747Form 4
2026-04-01Good Morton CarsondirectorAward / grant1,59826,723Form 4
2026-04-01Richardson Andrew CdirectorAward / grant93217,376Form 4
2026-04-01Elias Wein RacheldirectorAward / grant93214,875Form 4
2026-01-02Good Morton CarsondirectorAward / grant1,77325,125Form 4
2026-01-02Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant1,7738,149Form 4
2026-01-02Richardson Andrew CdirectorAward / grant1,03419,194Form 4
2026-01-02Elias Wein RacheldirectorAward / grant1,03413,943Form 4
2025-10-01Good Morton CarsondirectorAward / grant2,04423,352Form 4
2025-10-01Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant2,0446,376Form 4
2025-10-01Richardson Andrew CdirectorAward / grant1,19219,160Form 4
2025-10-01Elias Wein RacheldirectorAward / grant1,19212,909Form 4
2025-07-01Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant1,9824,332Form 4
2025-07-01Good Morton CarsondirectorAward / grant1,98221,308Form 4
2025-07-01Elias Wein RacheldirectorAward / grant1,15611,717Form 4
2025-07-01Richardson Andrew CdirectorAward / grant1,15618,968Form 4
2025-04-01Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant1,8342,350Form 4
2025-04-01Good Morton CarsondirectorAward / grant1,83419,326Form 4
2025-04-01Richardson Andrew CdirectorAward / grant1,06917,812Form 4
2025-04-01Elias Wein RacheldirectorAward / grant1,06910,561Form 4
2025-01-02Wadleigh Brenna AndreadirectorAward / grant516516Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.