Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.55 · now $37.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PHVS has typically landed between $28.17 and $50.98 — a range of −25.0% to +35.8% from the issuance price $37.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,387 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-02-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PHVS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $37.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.96 (+1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.55–$41.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.17–$50.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,387 windows spanning 2021-02-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-07-29 | −58.8% | −58.8% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-28 | −58.1% | −58.1% | +0.0% |
| 2022-07-28 | −57.6% | −57.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-12-02 | +515.2% | +0.0% | +519.7% |
| 2022-12-05 | +491.6% | +0.0% | +507.4% |
| 2022-12-01 | +487.1% | −5.3% | +487.1% |
1,387 overlapping windows · 2021-02-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−0.9%
n=5
Feb
20%
−7.7%
n=5
Mar
33%
−3.6%
n=6
Apr
67%
+5.0%
n=6
May
17%
−8.9%
n=6
Jun
67%
+18.3%
n=6
Jul
33%
+0.8%
n=6
Aug
83%
−0.7%
n=6
Sep
67%
+0.1%
n=6
Oct
20%
−7.2%
n=5
Nov
40%
−10.7%
n=5
Dec
40%
+95.9%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Souverijns Wim | officer | Sale | 6,090 @ $38.99 | $237K | −13.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 39,021 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Souverijns Wim | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $39.31 | $786K | −30.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 45,111 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 2,291 @ $39.40 | $90K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 128,334 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $40.13 | $602K | −18.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,179 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $38.30 | $1.1M | −34.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Glassman Robert | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $37.55 | $300K | −43.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $40.68 | $610K | −18.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 65,179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 2,292 @ $34.77 | $80K | −1.7% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 130,625 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 2,292 @ $34.97 | $80K | −1.7% of holding | −4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 132,917 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 30,712 @ $35.49 | $1.1M | −8.9% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 315,167 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 30,703 @ $35.49 | $1.1M | −24.6% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,969 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 27,872 @ $35.48 | $989K | −32.2% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,750 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 8,300 @ $35.05 | $291K | −12.4% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,750 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 6,997 @ $35.05 | $245K | −5.3% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 124,672 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 6,888 @ $35.05 | $241K | −2.0% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 345,879 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 2,400 @ $35.10 | $84K | −0.7% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 352,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 2,300 @ $35.12 | $81K | −3.9% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 14,700 @ $34.00 | $500K | −18.3% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,631 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 11,600 @ $34.45 | $400K | −14.4% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,031 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 3,400 @ $35.09 | $119K | −4.9% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,631 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 2,300 @ $35.12 | $81K | −1.7% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 131,669 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 2,300 @ $35.12 | $81K | −3.9% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 300 @ $34.00 | $10K | −0.5% of holding | +4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,631 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 2,191 @ $31.05 | $68K | −1.6% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 135,309 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 100 @ $31.46 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 135,209 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Nijdam Anna | officer | Sale | 2,670 @ $30.87 | $82K | −5.5% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,275 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Nijdam Anna | officer | Sale | 5,501 @ $30.74 | $169K | −10.1% of holding | +13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,945 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Nassif David W. | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $30.31 | $303K | −7.7% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,300 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Monges Viviane | director | Sale | 9,667 @ $30.29 | $293K | −63.7% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,500 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Nijdam Anna | officer | Sale | 1,829 @ $30.60 | $56K | −3.6% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,945 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Bjork Elisabeth | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $29.32 | $293K | −39.7% of holding | +11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,167 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 2,292 @ $29.22 | $67K | −1.6% of holding | +15.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 137,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Souverijns Wim | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $29.92 | $299K | −18.1% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 45,111 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Abele Stefan Andreas | officer | Sale | 8,748 @ $29.82 | $261K | −19.9% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,194 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Glassman Robert | director | Sale | 5,333 @ $29.83 | $159K | −26.0% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,167 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Glassman Robert | director | Sale | 4,667 @ $29.82 | $139K | −30.8% of holding | +2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 14,023 @ $30.16 | $423K | −17.5% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,226 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 143 @ $31.00 | $4K | −0.2% of holding | −7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,083 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 28,400 @ $30.30 | $861K | −7.4% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 355,837 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 19,200 @ $30.26 | $581K | −12.5% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 133,969 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 18,000 @ $30.26 | $545K | −24.2% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $30.24 | $454K | −18.5% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,083 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 3,700 @ $30.26 | $112K | −6.2% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 670 @ $31.03 | $21K | −0.2% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 355,167 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 3,830 @ $30.07 | $115K | −1.0% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 384,237 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 3,733 @ $30.06 | $112K | −5.6% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,350 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 3,700 @ $30.08 | $111K | −6.2% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 3,700 @ $30.06 | $111K | −2.4% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,169 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 100 @ $30.03 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 388,067 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 100 @ $30.03 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 100 @ $30.03 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 156,869 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-23 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 100 @ $30.03 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,083 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Lu Peng | officer | Sale | 7,001 @ $30.05 | $210K | −9.6% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,083 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Schikan Johannes Gerardus Christiaan Petrus | director | Sale | 7,000 @ $30.05 | $210K | −1.8% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 388,167 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $30.05 | $210K | −11.0% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $30.05 | $210K | −4.3% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 156,969 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Lesage Anne | officer | Sale | 500 @ $30.00 | $15K | −0.9% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 2,292 @ $28.60 | $66K | −1.6% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 139,792 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 23,133 @ $27.74 | $642K | −14.0% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 142,284 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Modig Berndt | director | Sale | 200 @ $28.41 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 142,084 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Souverijns Wim | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 65,111 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 117 | 64,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Souverijns Wim | officer | Option exercise | 20,000 | 95,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 80,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 109 | 65,070 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 30,000 | 86,450 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 8,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Glassman Robert | director | Option exercise | 8,000 | 18,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Glassman Robert | director | Option exercise | 8,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 80,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 117 | 65,179 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 109 | 65,296 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-12 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 117 | 65,405 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-11 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 109 | 65,522 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 24,900 | 86,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 2,972 | 61,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 2,972 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 24,900 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 4,200 | 67,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 4,100 | 56,450 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 900 | 58,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 1,400 | 57,850 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 4,200 | 69,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 4,100 | 2,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 1,400 | 7,072 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 14,700 | 80,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 14,700 | 175,308 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 80,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 900 | 58,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 1,400 | 57,850 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 190,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 900 | 74,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lesage Anne | officer | Option exercise | 1,400 | 7,072 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 300 | 65,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lu Peng | officer | Option exercise | 300 | 205,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 117 | 65,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Lu Peng | officer | Withheld for tax | 109 | 65,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Nijdam Anna | officer | Option exercise | 5,501 | 54,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Nijdam Anna | officer | Option exercise | 5,501 | 22,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Nijdam Anna | officer | Option exercise | 1,829 | 50,774 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.