Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.24 · now $10.24 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PHR has typically landed between $7.50 and $12.71 — a range of −26.8% to +24.1% from the issuance price $10.24.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,780 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-07-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.24) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PHR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.24 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.24 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.06 (-1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.01–$11.11
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.5–$12.71
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,780 windows spanning 2019-07-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −50.6% | −50.6% | +3.5% |
| 2020-02-18 | −49.3% | −49.3% | +4.3% |
| 2022-04-12 | −48.1% | −51.5% | +1.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-05-24 | +57.1% | +0.0% | +57.1% |
| 2020-04-08 | +53.3% | +0.0% | +53.3% |
| 2023-11-17 | +52.8% | −6.1% | +52.8% |
1,780 overlapping windows · 2019-07-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
71%
+4.3%
n=7
Feb
14%
−3.9%
n=7
Mar
0%
−16.1%
n=7
Apr
29%
−0.1%
n=7
May
29%
−2.6%
n=7
Jun
86%
+13.4%
n=7
Jul
71%
+4.4%
n=7
Aug
75%
+5.1%
n=8
Sep
13%
−13.7%
n=8
Oct
57%
+1.2%
n=7
Nov
57%
+2.3%
n=7
Dec
57%
+8.4%
n=7
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 1,247 @ $10.92 | $14K | −5.4% of holding | +9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,724 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-14 | Egbuonu-Davis Lisa | director | Sale | 536 @ $10.70 | $6K | −1.4% of holding | +11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,780 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 1,371 @ $10.84 | $15K | −5.4% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,908 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Egbuonu-Davis Lisa | director | Sale | 2,546 @ $9.53 | $24K | −6.2% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,316 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 431 @ $8.85 | $4K | −1.7% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,233 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 6,176 @ $9.06 | $56K | −3.8% of holding | −6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 157,309 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 1,327 @ $9.28 | $12K | −5.1% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,664 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 10,063 @ $9.08 | $91K | −27.9% of holding | −9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,991 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 14,483 @ $8.07 | $117K | −8.1% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 163,485 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 8,332 @ $8.07 | $67K | −3.6% of holding | +9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 224,056 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Pale Fire Capital SE | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 106,236 @ $8.31 | $882K | +1.2% of holding | +6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,924,329 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-01 | Pale Fire Capital SE | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 168,764 @ $8.43 | $1.4M | +2.0% of holding | +5.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,818,093 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Pale Fire Capital SE | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000,500 @ $8.16 | $8.2M | +13.1% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,649,329 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Sale | 3,829 @ $11.26 | $43K | −2.5% of holding | −24.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,740 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 6,176 @ $11.97 | $74K | −3.6% of holding | −29.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 163,485 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Pale Fire Capital SE | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 780,009 @ $11.69 | $9.1M | +11.4% of holding | −27.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,648,829 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | Pale Fire Capital SE | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 519,196 @ $11.15 | $5.8M | +8.2% of holding | −25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,868,820 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 107 @ $11.06 | $1K | −1.0% of holding | −25.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,068 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Pale Fire Capital SE | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 303,300 @ $11.20 | $3.4M | +5.0% of holding | −22.9% | −21.5% | 6,349,624 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Indig Chaim | director | Sale | 9,595 @ $16.36 | $157K | −0.7% of holding | −25.4% | −44.1% | 1,361,535 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Roberts Evan | officer | Sale | 6,268 @ $16.36 | $103K | −0.8% of holding | −25.4% | −44.1% | 826,554 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 6,038 @ $16.36 | $99K | −2.6% of holding | −25.4% | −44.1% | 223,942 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Sale | 4,687 @ $16.36 | $77K | −3.0% of holding | −25.4% | −44.1% | 150,569 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 3,995 @ $16.36 | $65K | −2.3% of holding | −25.4% | −44.1% | 169,661 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Sale | 2,202 @ $16.36 | $36K | −1.4% of holding | −25.4% | −44.1% | 157,349 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Indig Chaim | director | Sale | 3,038 @ $16.38 | $50K | −0.2% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 1,371,130 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Roberts Evan | officer | Sale | 1,810 @ $16.38 | $30K | −0.2% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 832,822 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 1,743 @ $16.38 | $29K | −0.8% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 229,980 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 1,106 @ $16.38 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 173,656 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Sale | 975 @ $16.38 | $16K | −0.6% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 155,256 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Sale | 687 @ $16.38 | $11K | −0.4% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 159,551 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 379 @ $16.17 | $6K | −1.3% of holding | −26.7% | −42.8% | 29,166 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-14 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 365 @ $16.36 | $6K | −1.2% of holding | −24.6% | −41.8% | 29,545 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Indig Chaim | director | Sale | 8,440 @ $17.01 | $144K | −0.6% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 1,374,168 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Sale | 8,009 @ $17.01 | $136K | −4.9% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 156,231 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 6,585 @ $17.01 | $112K | −3.6% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 174,762 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Roberts Evan | officer | Sale | 6,317 @ $17.01 | $107K | −0.8% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 834,632 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 6,106 @ $17.01 | $104K | −2.6% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 231,723 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Sale | 2,602 @ $17.01 | $44K | −1.6% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 160,238 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 372 @ $17.47 | $6K | −1.2% of holding | −28.3% | −44.0% | 29,910 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 426 @ $16.25 | $7K | −1.4% of holding | −4.7% | −57.1% | 29,910 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 94 @ $16.49 | $2K | −1.0% of holding | −4.7% | −57.1% | 9,789 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | Indig Chaim | director | Sale | 3,163 @ $22.36 | $71K | −0.3% of holding | −7.8% | −64.6% | 1,252,608 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 2,059 @ $22.36 | $46K | −1.2% of holding | −7.8% | −64.6% | 171,829 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | Roberts Evan | officer | Sale | 1,888 @ $22.36 | $42K | −0.3% of holding | −7.8% | −64.6% | 724,949 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 1,241 @ $22.36 | $28K | −0.9% of holding | −7.8% | −64.6% | 135,737 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Sale | 885 @ $22.36 | $20K | −0.9% of holding | −7.8% | −64.6% | 98,240 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Sale | 639 @ $22.36 | $14K | −0.6% of holding | −7.8% | −64.6% | 111,840 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 302 @ $23.05 | $7K | −1.0% of holding | −2.8% | −67.4% | 30,336 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 93 @ $23.94 | $2K | −0.9% of holding | −8.5% | −49.7% | 9,883 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 2,059 @ $23.50 | $48K | −1.5% of holding | −2.8% | −50.1% | 136,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 1,064 @ $23.50 | $25K | −0.6% of holding | −2.8% | −50.1% | 173,888 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Indig Chaim | director | Sale | 6,328 @ $23.28 | $147K | −0.5% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 1,255,771 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Sale | 4,183 @ $23.28 | $97K | −4.0% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 99,125 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Roberts Evan | officer | Sale | 3,761 @ $23.28 | $88K | −0.5% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 726,837 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Sale | 3,133 @ $23.28 | $73K | −2.2% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 139,037 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 2,051 @ $23.28 | $48K | −1.2% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 175,066 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Sale | 1,762 @ $23.28 | $41K | −1.5% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 112,479 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Sale | 940 @ $23.28 | $22K | −3.0% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 30,638 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Linetsky David | officer | Sale | 114 @ $23.28 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | −3.5% | −53.1% | 174,952 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
153 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Linetsky David | officer | Award / grant | 8,113 | 424,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Roberts Evan | officer | Award / grant | 8,113 | 1,042,614 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Award / grant | 14,063 | 280,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Award / grant | 6,490 | 263,397 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Linetsky David | officer | Award / grant | 703 | 22,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Linetsky David | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 21,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Roberts Evan | officer | Award / grant | 192,000 | 1,034,501 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Award / grant | 88,000 | 256,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Award / grant | 43,000 | 64,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Award / grant | 108,000 | 266,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Award / grant | 192,000 | 348,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Indig Chaim | director | Award / grant | 500,000 | 1,889,595 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Linetsky David | officer | Award / grant | 192,000 | 416,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Linetsky David | officer | Withheld for tax | 182 | 11,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Munson Gillian | director | Award / grant | 685 | 66,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goldstein Lainie | director | Award / grant | 377 | 70,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Withheld for tax | 937 | 22,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Linetsky David | officer | Withheld for tax | 69 | 12,065 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Award / grant | 1,371 | 25,279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Award / grant | 1,265 | 158,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Kessler Jon | director | Award / grant | 19,290 | 43,884 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Egbuonu-Davis Lisa | director | Award / grant | 19,290 | 40,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Sayar Ramin | director | Award / grant | 19,290 | 52,725 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Smith Mark Douglas | director | Award / grant | 19,290 | 56,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Goldstein Lainie | director | Award / grant | 19,290 | 70,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-24 | Munson Gillian | director | Award / grant | 19,290 | 66,104 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Withheld for tax | 325 | 23,908 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | CAHILL EDWARD L | director | Award / grant | 1,085 | 65,613 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Munson Gillian | director | Award / grant | 1,085 | 46,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Goldstein Lainie | director | Award / grant | 1,085 | 51,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Withheld for tax | 996 | 36,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Linetsky David | officer | Withheld for tax | 229 | 12,134 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Withheld for tax | 314 | 37,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Indig Chaim | director | Withheld for tax | 33,008 | 1,389,595 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gandhi Balaji | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,382 | 156,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Roberts Evan | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,626 | 842,501 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Hoffman Allison C | director | Withheld for tax | 15,161 | 177,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Linetsky David | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,454 | 232,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | VanDuyn Amy Beth | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,193 | 168,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-09 | Hui Yvonne | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,438 | 37,364 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.