PHINPHINIA Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $61.15 · now $61.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PHIN has typically landed between $53.38 and $71.60 — a range of −12.7% to +17.1% from the issuance price $61.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

787 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-06-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($61.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PHIN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $61.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$53.38worst · -12.7%$71.6best · +17.1%
  • now $61.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $63.01 (+3.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $58.68–$67.34
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $53.38–$71.6
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 787 windows spanning 2023-06-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-06-28−26.1%−31.0%+0.0%
2023-07-05−21.5%−30.5%+0.0%
2026-02-11−18.6%−18.6%+1.8%
3 best
2024-10-25+26.7%−0.4%+26.7%
2024-10-30+26.6%+0.0%+27.3%
2025-12-08+25.6%+0.0%+25.6%

787 overlapping windows · 2023-06-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+6.3%
n=3
Feb
67%
+4.5%
n=3
Mar
33%
−2.3%
n=3
Apr
67%
+0.5%
n=3
May
100%
+10.2%
n=3
Jun
67%
−0.6%
n=3
Jul
50%
+1.7%
n=4
Aug
50%
+3.7%
n=4
Sep
0%
−4.8%
n=4
Oct
33%
−4.0%
n=3
Nov
67%
+8.4%
n=3
Dec
67%
+6.9%
n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$85$512026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $203K — Anderson Todd L2026-09-10: 1 insider sale, $83K — Logar Matthew2026-09-09: 2 insider sales, $1.0M — Gropp Chris P, Gustanski Christopher2026-08-31: 2 insider sales, $1.9M — Ericson Brady D …2026-06-10: 2 insider sales, $284K — Pombier Samantha, Coetzee Michael2026-03-04: 2 insider sales, $323K — Gustanski Christopher, Fryer Neil2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $47K — Yang Hongyong2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $105K — Pombier Samantha2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $21K — Pombier Samantha2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $179K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $152K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $323K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $284K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-09: 4 open-market sales, $1.3M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Anderson Todd L — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Logar Matthew — Sale on 2026-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gropp Chris P — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gustanski Christopher — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ericson Brady D — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ericson Brady D — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Pombier Samantha — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Coetzee Michael — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gustanski Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fryer Neil — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Yang Hongyong — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Pombier Samantha — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Pombier Samantha — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Anderson Todd LofficerSale3,056 @ $66.41$203K−10.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open26,736Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-10Logar MatthewofficerSale1,257 @ $66.33$83K−7.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open15,576Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09Gropp Chris PofficerSale13,500 @ $66.71$901K−23.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open43,823Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-09Gustanski ChristopherofficerSale2,097 @ $66.97$140K−15.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,301Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-31Ericson Brady DdirectorSale26,920 @ $68.41$1.8M−7.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open330,497Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31Ericson Brady DdirectorSale940 @ $68.03$64K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open357,417Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10Pombier SamanthaofficerSale2,227 @ $82.36$183K−25.1% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open6,637Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10Coetzee MichaelofficerSale1,250 @ $80.61$101K−4.4% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open27,009Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Gustanski ChristopherofficerSale3,812 @ $72.73$277K−20.4% of holding−0.6%−17.6%14,871Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Fryer NeilofficerSale624 @ $72.75$45K−3.3% of holding−0.6%−17.6%18,180Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19Yang HongyongofficerSale893 @ $52.43$47K−100.0% of holding+11.7%+29.2%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14Pombier SamanthaofficerSale1,940 @ $54.14$105K−17.9% of holding+7.2%+23.1%8,869Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-12Pombier SamanthaofficerSale400 @ $53.06$21K−3.6% of holding+7.2%+35.6%10,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06Gustanski ChristopherofficerSale3,100 @ $50.80$157K−13.4% of holding+14.1%+34.2%20,046Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13Fryer NeilofficerPurchase23 @ $42.39$975+0.1% of holding+10.5%+24.2%21,806Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-22Walsh Meggan M.directorPurchase1,400 @ $42.71$60K+23.0% of holding−3.3%+9.1%7,492Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-30Ericson Brady DdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $39.73$397K+2.3% of holding+1.8%+6.3%436,486Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Weerasinghe RohandirectorPurchase6,130 @ $42.78$262K+37.1% of holding−5.9%+17.4%22,665Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

282 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Ericson Brady DdirectorWithheld for tax31,195358,357Form 4
2026-08-28Gropp Chris PofficerWithheld for tax6,70057,323Form 4
2026-08-28Boyle RobertofficerWithheld for tax2,95532,817Form 4
2026-08-28Logar MatthewofficerWithheld for tax2,71216,833Form 4
2026-08-28Di Beasi AlisaofficerWithheld for tax2,63032,736Form 4
2026-08-28Fryer NeilofficerWithheld for tax2,21316,044Form 4
2026-08-28Neto de Abreu Pedro RuiofficerWithheld for tax1,87716,701Form 4
2026-08-28Dori SebastianofficerWithheld for tax1,80614,778Form 4
2026-08-28Gustanski ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax1,53013,398Form 4
2026-08-28Anderson Todd LofficerWithheld for tax1,28929,792Form 4
2026-06-23Weerasinghe RohandirectorAward / grant195,234Form 4
2026-06-23Walsh Meggan M.directorAward / grant89,708Form 4
2026-06-23WOOD ROGERdirectorAward / grant822,071Form 4
2026-06-23Pombier SamanthaofficerAward / grant116,648Form 4
2026-06-23Logar MatthewofficerAward / grant4419,545Form 4
2026-06-23Anderson Todd LofficerAward / grant3331,081Form 4
2026-06-23Neto de Abreu Pedro RuiofficerAward / grant3118,578Form 4
2026-06-23Newton LatondradirectorAward / grant1319,936Form 4
2026-06-23Newton LatondradirectorAward / grant82,148Form 4
2026-06-23Kendrick RobindirectorAward / grant2623,446Form 4
2026-06-23Norman DaundirectorAward / grant822,071Form 4
2026-06-23Gustanski ChristopherofficerAward / grant2514,928Form 4
2026-06-23Norman DaundirectorAward / grant3839Form 4
2026-06-23Gropp Chris PofficerAward / grant63,973Form 4
2026-06-23Gropp Chris PofficerAward / grant11364,023Form 4
2026-06-23Yang HongyongofficerAward / grant41,207Form 4
2026-06-23Fryer NeilofficerAward / grant3418,257Form 4
2026-06-23Ericson Brady DdirectorAward / grant523389,552Form 4
2026-06-23Weerasinghe RohandirectorAward / grant3231,269Form 4
2026-06-23Dori SebastianofficerAward / grant2516,584Form 4
2026-06-23Di Beasi AlisaofficerAward / grant4735,366Form 4
2026-06-23Coetzee MichaelofficerAward / grant3327,042Form 4
2026-06-23Chapin Samuel R.directorAward / grant826,071Form 4
2026-06-23Boyle RobertofficerAward / grant5335,772Form 4
2026-05-22Weerasinghe RohandirectorAward / grant3,0755,215Form 4
2026-05-22Norman DaundirectorAward / grant836836Form 4
2026-05-22WOOD ROGERdirectorAward / grant2,14022,063Form 4
2026-05-22Chapin Samuel R.directorAward / grant2,14026,063Form 4
2026-05-22Kendrick RobindirectorAward / grant2,14023,420Form 4
2026-05-22Newton LatondradirectorAward / grant2,1402,140Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.