Issued 2026-09-16 at $21.64 · now $21.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PGY has typically landed between $12.70 and $32.20 — a range of −41.3% to +48.8% from the issuance price $21.64.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,333 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($21.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PGY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $21.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $21.64 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.6 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $18.36–$24.83
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.7–$32.2
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,333 windows spanning 2021-04-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-09-14 | −88.6% | −88.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-08-19 | −87.7% | −87.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-09-15 | −87.5% | −87.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-18 | +638.3% | +0.0% | +1083.8% |
| 2022-07-14 | +629.7% | −10.6% | +958.3% |
| 2022-07-13 | +602.6% | −19.2% | +856.9% |
1,333 overlapping windows · 2021-04-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
0%
−7.3%
n=5
Feb
40%
+3.7%
n=5
Mar
20%
−11.7%
n=5
Apr
40%
+1.0%
n=5
May
83%
+17.5%
n=6
Jun
83%
+5.1%
n=6
Jul
83%
+107.7%
n=6
Aug
67%
−4.9%
n=6
Sep
17%
−27.1%
n=6
Oct
40%
−8.4%
n=5
Nov
0%
−8.2%
n=5
Dec
40%
+0.2%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 13,301 @ $20.21 | $269K | −7.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 154,635 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 7,121 @ $20.21 | $144K | −23.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,904 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-12 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Sale | 582 @ $20.21 | $12K | −7.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,566 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 1,265 @ $23.07 | $29K | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 15,400 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Sale | 3,075 @ $22.71 | $70K | −11.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,758 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 28,181 @ $21.98 | $619K | −62.8% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,665 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 21,289 @ $22.00 | $468K | −12.9% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 144,186 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 14,000 @ $15.83 | $222K | −7.8% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 165,475 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Vieira Cory | officer | Sale | 1,458 @ $15.83 | $23K | −6.5% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,959 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Sale | 403 @ $15.48 | $6K | −5.4% of holding | +8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,023 | Form 4 · filed 82 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Krubiner Gal | director | Purchase | 16,230 @ $15.43 | $250K | +3.0% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 555,906 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 9,944 @ $15.20 | $151K | −20.9% of holding | +11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 13,309 @ $16.23 | $216K | −7.9% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,475 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 11,558 @ $16.23 | $188K | −8.1% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 131,241 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 5,681 @ $16.23 | $92K | −10.7% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 47,488 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Krubiner Gal | director | Purchase | 16,600 @ $15.09 | $251K | +3.2% of holding | +18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 539,676 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Sale | 2,140 @ $15.01 | $32K | −10.5% of holding | +18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,179 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 9,720 @ $15.14 | $147K | −20.6% of holding | −18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,544 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 13,004 @ $11.34 | $147K | −9.6% of holding | +11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 122,174 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 9,702 @ $10.99 | $107K | −6.3% of holding | +11.1% | +67.7% | 144,034 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 8,425 @ $10.99 | $93K | −7.0% of holding | +11.1% | +67.7% | 112,412 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 5,905 @ $10.99 | $65K | −11.1% of holding | +11.1% | +67.7% | 47,264 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Sale | 2,490 @ $10.92 | $27K | −14.1% of holding | +7.7% | +79.4% | 15,111 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 9,750 @ $22.99 | $224K | −8.9% of holding | −25.0% | −38.4% | 100,212 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 3,945 @ $22.99 | $91K | −2.9% of holding | −25.0% | −38.4% | 129,986 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-19 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 7,561 @ $30.73 | $232K | −16.8% of holding | −4.6% | −41.8% | 37,544 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 11,592 @ $22.35 | $259K | −11.7% of holding | +2.9% | −41.9% | 87,196 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 8,064 @ $22.35 | $180K | −15.2% of holding | +2.9% | −41.9% | 45,105 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 568 @ $22.35 | $13K | −0.4% of holding | +2.9% | −41.9% | 133,922 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Sale | 8,442 @ $23.15 | $195K | −40.5% of holding | −4.6% | −45.1% | 12,392 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-16 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 12,816 @ $27.40 | $351K | −10.4% of holding | −15.4% | −53.5% | 110,740 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 15,026 @ $30.73 | $462K | −34.8% of holding | −14.8% | −59.3% | 28,181 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 12,754 @ $30.20 | $385K | −14.0% of holding | −14.8% | −59.3% | 78,163 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 4,783 @ $30.20 | $144K | −4.5% of holding | −14.8% | −59.3% | 100,640 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 13,304 @ $40.62 | $540K | −12.1% of holding | −29.3% | −75.9% | 96,885 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 11,553 @ $40.62 | $469K | −14.5% of holding | −29.3% | −75.9% | 68,151 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 8,037 @ $40.62 | $326K | −15.7% of holding | −29.3% | −75.9% | 43,207 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 5,833 @ $42.00 | $245K | −11.9% of holding | −29.3% | −75.9% | 43,207 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Petrozzo Dan | director | Sale | 2,828 @ $41.43 | $117K | −2.9% of holding | −29.3% | −75.9% | 93,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 14,356 @ $37.34 | $536K | −19.5% of holding | −23.7% | −74.2% | 59,079 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-05 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 9,435 @ $38.84 | $366K | −11.4% of holding | −24.5% | −74.3% | 73,435 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-18 | Petrozzo Dan | director | Sale | 8,484 @ $30.15 | $256K | −8.1% of holding | +6.7% | −40.2% | 96,278 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-17 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 12,742 @ $25.95 | $331K | −11.4% of holding | +10.4% | −33.5% | 98,562 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-03 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 13,821 @ $21.85 | $302K | −28.0% of holding | +44.4% | −9.3% | 35,619 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-02 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Sale | 12,755 @ $22.57 | $288K | −13.3% of holding | +31.1% | −16.3% | 82,870 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | DAS SANJIV | director | Sale | 4,784 @ $22.57 | $108K | −5.1% of holding | +31.1% | −16.3% | 88,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-01 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 14,645 @ $22.57 | $331K | −22.9% of holding | +30.7% | −18.1% | 49,440 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-25 | Pardo Avital | director | Sale | 54,254 @ $20.24 | $1.1M | −4.9% of holding | +59.1% | +3.7% | 1,042,950 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-25 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Sale | 52,867 @ $20.24 | $1.1M | −1.3% of holding | +59.1% | +3.7% | 4,087,724 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-25 | Rosen Tami | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $20.24 | $202K | −21.9% of holding | +59.1% | +3.7% | 35,619 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-24 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Sale | 241,160 @ $19.65 | $4.7M | −5.9% of holding | +56.8% | +3.2% | 3,846,564 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-24 | Pardo Avital | director | Sale | 239,989 @ $19.65 | $4.7M | −23.0% of holding | +56.8% | +3.2% | 802,961 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Sale | 8,259 @ $19.04 | $157K | −0.2% of holding | +65.6% | +10.0% | 4,140,591 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Pardo Avital | director | Sale | 8,259 @ $19.04 | $157K | −0.7% of holding | +65.6% | +10.0% | 1,097,204 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Pardo Avital | director | Sale | 4,757 @ $19.00 | $90K | −0.4% of holding | +60.5% | +3.8% | 1,105,463 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Sale | 4,700 @ $19.00 | $89K | −0.1% of holding | +60.5% | +3.8% | 4,148,850 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Sale | 5,144 @ $19.02 | $98K | −0.1% of holding | +53.5% | +1.3% | 4,153,550 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-16 | Pardo Avital | director | Sale | 4,939 @ $19.01 | $94K | −0.4% of holding | +53.5% | +1.3% | 1,110,220 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-12 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Sale | 48,981 @ $19.05 | $933K | −1.2% of holding | +23.9% | +20.4% | 4,158,694 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | Pardo Avital | director | Sale | 48,913 @ $19.05 | $932K | −4.2% of holding | +23.9% | +20.4% | 1,115,159 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
120 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 23,750 | 167,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 1,125 | 8,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 1,125 | 2,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Option exercise | 15,625 | 31,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Option exercise | 15,625 | 31,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 23,750 | 47,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 5,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 26,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gardner Jason M. | director | Award / grant | 5,946 | 5,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Rosen Tami | director | Award / grant | 7,302 | 44,846 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 34,995 | 34,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 3,572 | 24,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 25,000 | 179,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 25,000 | 175,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 3,572 | 22,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 1,117 | 7,426 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Dobres Jonathan | officer | Option exercise | 1,117 | 7,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Option exercise | 20,625 | 61,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 23,750 | 167,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 23,750 | 71,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Option exercise | 15,625 | 53,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Option exercise | 15,625 | 46,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Option exercise | 20,625 | 142,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 20,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 10,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Vieira Cory | officer | Award / grant | 28,571 | 28,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Yulzari Yahav | director | Award / grant | 185,000 | 185,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Option exercise | 22,766 | 135,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Option exercise | 22,766 | 68,296 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Krubiner Gal | director | Award / grant | 185,000 | 185,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | DAS SANJIV | director | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Pardo Avital | director | Award / grant | 185,000 | 185,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Award / grant | 175,000 | 175,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Option exercise | 15,625 | 62,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 23,750 | 95,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | DAS SANJIV | director | Option exercise | 23,750 | 153,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Rosen Tami | director | Option exercise | 15,625 | 53,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Option exercise | 20,625 | 120,837 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Perros Evangelos | officer | Option exercise | 20,625 | 82,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Vieira Cory | officer | Option exercise | 5,209 | 15,624 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.