PGNY · TickerCove

PGNYProgyny, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Healthcare Information Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.38 · now $27.38 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PGNY has typically landed between $21.82 and $32.90 — a range of −20.3% to +20.1% from the issuance price $27.38.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,710 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-10-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$27.38 · 69% of range

$16.3 low$32.36 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.6%

typical move · IQR 18.0%

−20.3%worst (p90)+20.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PGNY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $27.38 (+0.0%)
typical $26.94 (-1.6%)
middle 50% $24.48–$29.4
90% range $21.82–$32.9

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,710 windows spanning 2019-10-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−45.1%	−45.1%	+0.0%
2020-03-04	−42.6%	−42.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−42.1%	−42.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2019-10-31	+73.7%	+0.0%	+73.7%
2019-10-30	+64.3%	+0.0%	+66.6%
2019-10-29	+64.3%	−1.3%	+64.3%

1,710 overlapping windows · 2019-10-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

71%

+4.6%

n=7

Feb

14%

−5.3%

n=7

Mar

43%

−0.2%

n=7

Apr

71%

+1.8%

n=7

May

57%

+4.2%

n=7

Jun

71%

+2.0%

n=7

Jul

71%

+3.2%

n=7

Aug

57%

−0.7%

n=7

Sep

43%

−6.3%

n=7

Oct

33%

−3.3%

n=6

Nov

71%

+18.4%

n=7

Dec

57%

+3.3%

n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Sale	11,500 @ $27.94	$321K	−62.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,792	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-14	Cummings Melissa B	officer	Sale	2,244 @ $31.60	$71K	−3.1% of holding	−24.2%	not yet — horizon still open	69,934	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-04	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	1,918 @ $25.50	$49K	−2.5% of holding	+21.8%	not yet — horizon still open	75,287	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	599 @ $25.50	$15K	−0.8% of holding	+21.8%	not yet — horizon still open	74,688	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	599 @ $25.08	$15K	−0.7% of holding	+21.8%	not yet — horizon still open	82,378	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	1,199 @ $25.02	$30K	−1.4% of holding	+23.9%	not yet — horizon still open	83,316	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-02	Clapp Geoffrey	officer	Sale	1,530 @ $25.58	$39K	−2.5% of holding	+22.0%	not yet — horizon still open	59,117	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	279 @ $26.20	$7K	−0.4% of holding	+22.0%	not yet — horizon still open	78,626	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01	Scott Cheryl	director	Sale	7,439 @ $26.39	$196K	−27.3% of holding	+13.8%	not yet — horizon still open	19,772	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	2,398 @ $25.46	$61K	−2.7% of holding	+13.9%	not yet — horizon still open	85,191	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-27	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Sale	5,500 @ $24.99	$137K	−37.1% of holding	+14.5%	not yet — horizon still open	9,318	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	8,275 @ $25.50	$211K	−9.5% of holding	+1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	79,063	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	Cummings Melissa B	officer	Sale	9,578 @ $25.00	$239K	−11.5% of holding	+4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	73,371	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	599 @ $17.54	$11K	−0.7% of holding	−2.7%	+35.5%	88,941	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	4,157 @ $17.40	$72K	−4.4% of holding	−0.3%	+33.9%	89,879	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	500 @ $17.40	$9K	−0.5% of holding	−0.3%	+33.9%	94,036	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	2,199 @ $17.27	$38K	−2.2% of holding	+1.5%	+33.1%	97,378	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-11	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	459 @ $25.50	$12K	−1.0% of holding	−3.9%	−6.7%	46,983	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-04	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	530 @ $24.59	$13K	−0.7% of holding	+9.1%	−1.3%	72,719	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-02	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	213 @ $25.50	$5K	−0.4% of holding	+2.6%	−9.6%	47,921	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-28	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	2,398 @ $26.87	$64K	−3.2% of holding	−2.8%	−16.5%	73,657	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-17	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Sale	21,303 @ $25.50	$543K	−30.6% of holding	−4.0%	−16.4%	48,358	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-13	Anevski Peter	director	Purchase	79,500 @ $24.29	$1.9M	+13.2% of holding	+6.6%	−12.1%	680,251	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-04	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	599 @ $23.53	$14K	−0.8% of holding	−16.0%	−26.5%	77,407	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28	Swartz Allison	officer	Sale	2,398 @ $22.96	$55K	−2.9% of holding	−10.4%	−30.7%	79,697	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-11	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Sale	2,500 @ $22.04	$55K	−16.7% of holding	+1.5%	−10.5%	12,501	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11	Scott Cheryl	director	Sale	2,675 @ $22.07	$59K	−15.9% of holding	+4.0%	+1.1%	14,112	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-26	Schlanger David J	director	Purchase	150,000 @ $14.68	$2.2M	+191.6% of holding	+58.0%	+46.6%	228,269	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-23	Anevski Peter	director	Purchase	209,500 @ $14.48	$3.0M	+90.3% of holding	+57.6%	+47.2%	441,463	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

138 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Withheld for tax	10,500	18,292	Form 4
2026-09-10	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Option exercise	22,000	28,792	Form 4
2026-09-10	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Option exercise	22,000	22,000	Form 4
2026-09-04	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	479	72,453	Form 4
2026-09-04	Swartz Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	479	79,719	Form 4
2026-09-03	Anevski Peter	director	Withheld for tax	5,361	806,111	Form 4
2026-09-03	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,532	72,932	Form 4
2026-09-03	Swartz Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	828	80,198	Form 4
2026-09-02	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	224	74,464	Form 4
2026-08-28	Swartz Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	1,352	81,026	Form 4
2026-07-14	Cummings Melissa B	officer	Withheld for tax	1,193	72,178	Form 4
2026-06-17	Clapp Geoffrey	officer	Withheld for tax	819	59,828	Form 4
2026-06-04	Swartz Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	339	82,977	Form 4
2026-06-04	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	339	77,205	Form 4
2026-06-03	Anevski Peter	director	Withheld for tax	5,361	811,472	Form 4
2026-06-03	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,082	77,544	Form 4
2026-06-03	Swartz Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	676	84,515	Form 4
2026-06-02	Clapp Geoffrey	officer	Withheld for tax	11,379	60,647	Form 4
2026-06-02	Clapp Geoffrey	officer	Option exercise	12,909	72,026	Form 4
2026-06-02	Livingston Mark S.	officer	Withheld for tax	158	78,905	Form 4
2026-06-02	Clapp Geoffrey	officer	Option exercise	12,909	26,211	Form 4
2026-06-01	Scott Cheryl	director	Withheld for tax	7,228	27,211	Form 4
2026-06-01	Scott Cheryl	director	Option exercise	14,667	34,439	Form 4
2026-06-01	Scott Cheryl	director	Option exercise	14,667	29,333	Form 4
2026-05-28	Swartz Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	1,352	87,589	Form 4
2026-05-27	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Other acquisition	2,526	15,027	Form 4
2026-05-27	GORDON KEVIN K	director	Other acquisition	2,526	6,792	Form 4
2026-05-21	Park Jeffrey G	director	Award / grant	5,205	5,205	Form 4
2026-05-21	HOLSTEIN ROGER C	director	Award / grant	4,003	4,003	Form 4
2026-05-21	Payson Norman	director	Award / grant	3,203	3,203	Form 4
2026-05-21	MORRIS DEBRA L	director	Award / grant	3,203	3,203	Form 4
2026-05-21	Bierbower Elizabeth D	director	Award / grant	3,203	3,203	Form 4
2026-05-21	Payson Norman	director	Award / grant	27,119	27,119	Form 4
2026-05-21	Scott Cheryl	director	Award / grant	5,660	19,772	Form 4
2026-05-21	Scott Cheryl	director	Award / grant	27,119	27,119	Form 4
2026-05-21	Bierbower Elizabeth D	director	Award / grant	5,660	5,660	Form 4
2026-05-21	MORRIS DEBRA L	director	Award / grant	27,119	27,119	Form 4
2026-05-21	Park Jeffrey G	director	Award / grant	7,924	39,981	Form 4
2026-05-21	Park Jeffrey G	director	Award / grant	31,458	31,458	Form 4
2026-05-21	Payson Norman	director	Award / grant	5,660	12,349	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i