Issued 2026-09-25 at $7.75 · now $7.75 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, PGEN has typically landed between $5.47 and $10.67 — a range of −29.5% to +37.7% from the issuance price $7.75.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,281 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-08-08 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($7.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PGEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $7.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.75 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.92 (+2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.8–$9.05
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.47–$10.67
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,281 windows spanning 2013-08-08 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-14 | −65.8% | −65.8% | +10.8% |
| 2020-02-18 | −63.1% | −67.0% | +7.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −59.9% | −59.9% | +22.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-07-29 | +192.4% | +0.0% | +192.4% |
| 2025-08-01 | +185.0% | +0.0% | +185.0% |
| 2025-08-04 | +169.9% | −1.1% | +170.5% |
3,281 overlapping windows · 2013-08-08 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- 2026-11-11 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2 primary completion: PRGN-2009 in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Patients With Recurrent or Metastatic Cervical Cancer (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
62%
+2.6%
n=13
Feb
54%
+0.5%
n=13
Mar
38%
−5.7%
n=13
Apr
54%
−4.5%
n=13
May
62%
−1.5%
n=13
Jun
62%
+18.8%
n=13
Jul
62%
+4.4%
n=13
Aug
54%
+15.1%
n=13
Sep
29%
−8.7%
n=14
Oct
31%
−5.0%
n=13
Nov
62%
+8.7%
n=13
Dec
46%
−1.6%
n=13
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | KINDLER JEFFREY B | director | Sale | 185,000 @ $7.44 | $1.4M | −91.5% of holding | +3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,100 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Tennant Phil | officer | Sale | 79,166 @ $7.50 | $594K | −35.8% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 141,992 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-25 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Sale | 15,342 @ $7.50 | $115K | −3.2% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 468,865 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Sale | 34,658 @ $7.50 | $260K | −6.9% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 465,012 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | AGEE NANCY H | director | Purchase | 3,411 @ $7.23 | $25K | +1.1% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 309,187 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Sale | 32,739 @ $6.86 | $225K | −6.6% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 465,012 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Sale | 33,772 @ $6.50 | $220K | −6.4% of holding | +3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 497,751 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-31 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Sale | 100,000 @ $6.06 | $606K | −28.2% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 254,535 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Sale | 171,429 @ $5.53 | $948K | −32.6% of holding | +19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 354,535 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Sale | 346,836 @ $5.89 | $2.0M | −8.4% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,768,872 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Sale | 42,924 @ $5.85 | $251K | −7.9% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 497,751 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Sale | 28,571 @ $5.78 | $165K | −5.2% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 525,964 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Sale | 119,250 @ $4.36 | $520K | −3.1% of holding | +32.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,768,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Sale | 42,703 @ $4.36 | $186K | −7.9% of holding | +32.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 497,751 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Sale | 41,884 @ $4.36 | $183K | −7.0% of holding | +32.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 554,535 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Tennant Phil | officer | Sale | 30,272 @ $4.36 | $132K | −17.8% of holding | +32.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 139,369 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Sale | 29,131 @ $4.36 | $127K | −3.7% of holding | +32.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 755,461 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 2,334,420 @ $3.30 | $7.7M | −16.0% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,262,741 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 1,108,998 @ $3.30 | $3.7M | −1.4% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,672,818 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 426,199 @ $3.30 | $1.4M | −11.3% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,358,917 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 370,847 @ $3.30 | $1.2M | −10.3% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,238,210 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 168,794 @ $3.30 | $557K | −10.6% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,425,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 152,063 @ $3.30 | $502K | −9.4% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,463,571 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 50,797 @ $3.30 | $168K | −10.7% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 425,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 50,797 @ $3.30 | $168K | −10.6% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 426,695 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 47,101 @ $3.30 | $155K | −8.3% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 519,061 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 38,976 @ $3.30 | $129K | −11.4% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 302,213 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 23,789 @ $3.30 | $79K | −5.3% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 423,984 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 956,200 @ $4.18 | $4.0M | −17.2% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 4,598,044 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 555,119 @ $4.18 | $2.3M | −0.7% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 81,609,648 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 159,321 @ $4.18 | $666K | −4.0% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 3,785,116 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 94,341 @ $4.18 | $394K | −2.5% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 3,609,057 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 42,702 @ $4.18 | $178K | −2.6% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 1,594,338 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 38,729 @ $4.18 | $162K | −2.3% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 1,615,634 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 12,909 @ $4.18 | $54K | −2.6% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 476,529 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 12,909 @ $4.18 | $54K | −2.6% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 477,492 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 11,917 @ $4.18 | $50K | −2.1% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 566,162 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 9,931 @ $4.18 | $42K | −2.8% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 341,189 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 5,958 @ $4.18 | $25K | −1.3% of holding | +8.0% | +18.2% | 447,773 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-12 | KINDLER JEFFREY B | director | Sale | 235,467 @ $3.63 | $856K | −68.0% of holding | +18.0% | +18.0% | 110,603 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 937,308 @ $3.83 | $3.6M | −14.4% of holding | +0.2% | −1.1% | 5,554,244 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-20 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 942,832 @ $4.08 | $3.8M | −12.7% of holding | +7.0% | −7.0% | 6,491,552 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 1,086,153 @ $4.47 | $4.9M | −12.7% of holding | −0.6% | −12.7% | 7,434,384 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 1,809,667 @ $3.41 | $6.2M | −11.0% of holding | +18.7% | +20.5% | 14,597,161 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-30 | KINDLER JEFFREY B | director | Sale | 106,837 @ $3.38 | $361K | −23.6% of holding | +18.7% | +20.5% | 346,070 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-29 | KINDLER JEFFREY B | director | Sale | 67,523 @ $3.60 | $243K | −13.0% of holding | +8.3% | +8.1% | 452,907 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-29 | Tennant Phil | officer | Purchase | 6,000 @ $3.58 | $21K | +10.2% of holding | +8.3% | +8.1% | 65,031 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-26 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Purchase | 2,932 @ $3.42 | $10K | +0.6% of holding | +19.0% | −3.4% | 468,626 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-26 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $3.40 | $7K | +0.5% of holding | +19.0% | −3.4% | 405,959 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-25 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Purchase | 8,284 @ $3.62 | $30K | +1.8% of holding | +21.1% | +8.2% | 465,694 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 3,596,892 @ $3.68 | $13.2M | −29.7% of holding | +3.9% | −12.9% | 8,520,537 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-18 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Sale | 1,403,360 @ $3.86 | $5.4M | −10.4% of holding | +4.7% | −12.4% | 12,117,429 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | AGEE NANCY H | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $4.60 | $69K | +7.4% of holding | −32.1% | −31.4% | 217,841 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | AGEE NANCY H | director | Purchase | 10,645 @ $4.65 | $49K | +5.5% of holding | −22.8% | −26.8% | 202,841 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | AGEE NANCY H | director | Purchase | 15,360 @ $3.20 | $49K | +8.7% of holding | +14.5% | +32.5% | 192,196 | Form 4 · filed 10 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Purchase | 25,000 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +42.4% | +66.7% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Purchase | 25,000 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +42.4% | +66.7% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Purchase | 16,666,667 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +42.4% | +66.7% | 16,666,667 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Purchase | 16,666,667 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +42.4% | +66.7% | 16,666,667 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-08-09 | KIRK RANDAL J | director | Purchase | 23,529,411 @ $0.85 | $20.0M | +57.4% of holding | −14.0% | +40.2% | 64,547,214 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
240 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 42,918 | 311,911 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 10,744 | 268,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 2 | 311,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 1 | 311,914 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 2 | 46,813 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 10,744 | 169,256 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 1 | 520,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 42,918 | 157,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tennant Phil | officer | Option exercise | 79,166 | 221,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 15,342 | 484,207 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 15,342 | 73,304 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tennant Phil | officer | Option exercise | 79,166 | 120,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Withheld for tax | 10,184 | 3,779,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,647 | 468,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,577 | 258,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennant Phil | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,585 | 141,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,488 | 758,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 7,291 | 80,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 57,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 57,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Option exercise | 20,833 | 229,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennant Phil | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 57,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 7,291 | 261,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 7,291 | 261,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 760,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 760,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 472,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Option exercise | 20,833 | 3,789,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 7,291 | 261,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Thomasian Harry Jr. | officer | Option exercise | 7,291 | 261,826 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 760,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Option exercise | 20,833 | 3,789,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennant Phil | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 144,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 472,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennant Phil | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 144,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennant Phil | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 144,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 472,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sabzevari Helen | director | Option exercise | 20,833 | 3,789,705 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Shah Rutul R | officer | Option exercise | 7,500 | 472,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lehr Donald P. | officer | Option exercise | 5,208 | 760,669 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.