PGC · TickerCove

PGCPeapack-Gladstone Financial CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $45.03 · now $45.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PGC has typically landed between $38.88 and $52.47 — a range of −13.7% to +16.5% from the issuance price $45.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($45.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$45.03 · 86% of range

$24.64 low$48.33 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.3%

typical move · IQR 12.6%

−13.7%worst (p90)+16.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PGC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $45.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $45.03 (+0.0%)
typical $45.17 (+0.3%)
middle 50% $42.33–$48
90% range $38.88–$52.47

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−59.0%	−59.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−58.4%	−58.4%	+0.2%
2020-02-20	−56.9%	−58.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-06	+57.9%	+0.0%	+76.1%
2009-03-05	+48.5%	−8.2%	+61.7%
2009-03-09	+47.7%	+0.0%	+75.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Feb

65%

+0.0%

n=20

Mar

65%

+1.4%

n=20

Apr

50%

+0.8%

n=20

May

40%

−0.6%

n=20

Jun

60%

+0.4%

n=20

Jul

50%

+2.7%

n=20

Aug

40%

−1.4%

n=20

Sep

40%

+0.7%

n=20

Oct

55%

+0.3%

n=20

Nov

65%

+3.7%

n=20

Dec

65%

+1.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-02	Smith Gregory Martin	officer	Sale	1,250 @ $44.66	$56K	−9.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	12,622	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $47.11	$236K	−9.9% of holding	−1.9%	not yet — horizon still open	45,582	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29	Chalkan Lisa	officer	Sale	1,100 @ $47.60	$52K	−4.0% of holding	−1.9%	not yet — horizon still open	26,075	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	ROSSI FRANCESCO S	officer	Sale	1,937 @ $45.52	$88K	−36.5% of holding	−2.6%	not yet — horizon still open	3,370	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	ROSSI FRANCESCO S	officer	Sale	547 @ $45.52	$25K	−9.6% of holding	−2.6%	not yet — horizon still open	5,140	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08	Spinelli Anthony W.	director	Sale	2,000 @ $44.63	$89K	−14.6% of holding	+1.6%	not yet — horizon still open	11,742	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31	Cavallaro Frank A.	officer	Purchase	2,890 @ $34.95	$101K	+24.4% of holding	+8.1%	not yet — horizon still open	14,714	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-30	KENNEDY DOUGLAS L	officer	Purchase	11,296 @ $35.21	$398K	+4.9% of holding	+6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	241,926	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-30	Campion Patrick	director	Purchase	1,430 @ $34.97	$50K	+85.3% of holding	+6.5%	not yet — horizon still open	3,105	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09	Hemhauser Maureen	officer	Sale	5,272 @ $35.59	$188K	−100.0% of holding	−2.5%	+16.8%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-29	GRAMIGNA EDWARD A JR	director	Sale	2 @ $28.22	$56	−0.0% of holding	−8.5%	+28.0%	8,334	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18	Chalkan Lisa	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $29.65	$74K	−9.6% of holding	−12.6%	+12.4%	23,602	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15	Smith Gregory Martin	officer	Sale	3,200 @ $29.15	$93K	−37.1% of holding	−2.6%	+13.4%	5,427	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-23	KENNEDY DOUGLAS L	officer	Purchase	3,720 @ $26.24	$98K	+10.5% of holding	+2.7%	+9.5%	39,129	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-31	MEYERCORD F DUFFIELD	director	Purchase	6,316 @ $28.44	$180K	+4.7% of holding	−1.7%	−22.2%	140,372	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

285 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-31	Corrado Andrew F.	officer	Option exercise	11,309	11,309	Form 4
2026-07-31	Corrado Andrew F.	officer	Option exercise	11,309	11,309	Form 4
2026-03-20	Smith Gregory Martin	officer	Withheld for tax	2,766	13,872	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Withheld for tax	2,178	50,582	Form 4
2026-03-20	KENNEDY DOUGLAS L	officer	Withheld for tax	1,993	41,032	Form 4
2026-03-20	KENNEDY DOUGLAS L	officer	Withheld for tax	1,788	42,738	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Withheld for tax	901	45,363	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Withheld for tax	644	45,977	Form 4
2026-03-20	Vorcheimer Stuart M.	officer	Withheld for tax	613	10,875	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Withheld for tax	613	46,561	Form 4
2026-03-20	Vorcheimer Stuart M.	officer	Withheld for tax	582	7,435	Form 4
2026-03-20	Smith Gregory Martin	officer	Withheld for tax	562	6,506	Form 4
2026-03-20	Smith Gregory Martin	officer	Withheld for tax	538	7,538	Form 4
2026-03-20	Smith Gregory Martin	officer	Withheld for tax	534	8,563	Form 4
2026-03-20	Vorcheimer Stuart M.	officer	Withheld for tax	533	9,533	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chalkan Lisa	officer	Withheld for tax	509	24,888	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chalkan Lisa	officer	Withheld for tax	463	27,175	Form 4
2026-03-20	Hemhauser Maureen	officer	Withheld for tax	445	2,297	Form 4
2026-03-20	Chalkan Lisa	officer	Withheld for tax	443	26,005	Form 4
2026-03-20	Vorcheimer Stuart M.	officer	Withheld for tax	427	8,367	Form 4
2026-03-20	Hemhauser Maureen	officer	Withheld for tax	387	1,324	Form 4
2026-03-20	ROSSI FRANCESCO S	officer	Withheld for tax	280	5,687	Form 4
2026-03-20	Hemhauser Maureen	officer	Withheld for tax	220	479	Form 4
2026-03-20	GRAMIGNA EDWARD A JR	director	Award / grant	2,154	2,154	Form 4
2026-03-20	KASS STEVEN A	director	Option exercise	2,978	16,238	Form 4
2026-03-20	KASS STEVEN A	director	Option exercise	2,978	0	Form 4
2026-03-20	KASS STEVEN A	director	Award / grant	2,652	2,652	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	1,760	46,264	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	1,258	46,621	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	1,197	47,174	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	6,199	52,760	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	754	66,222	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	1,258	67,480	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	1,197	68,677	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	6,199	74,876	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	2,514	5,029	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Award / grant	9,362	9,362	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	2,516	2,524	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	2,394	4,788	Form 4
2026-03-20	BABCOCK JOHN P	officer	Option exercise	12,398	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i