Issued 2026-09-18 at $7.01 · now $7.01 (2026-09-18, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-18 close, PFLT has typically landed between $6.23 and $7.63 — a range of −11.2% to +8.8% from the issuance price $7.01.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,863 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-04-08 – 2026-08-19 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,413 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-18 issuance close ($7.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-19, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PFLT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-18 close of $7.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.01 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.06 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.81–$7.31
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.23–$7.63
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −69.4% | −69.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −67.9% | −69.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −64.1% | −69.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +61.8% | +0.0% | +79.0% |
| 2020-03-31 | +51.7% | −7.9% | +51.7% |
| 2020-04-01 | +51.3% | −1.3% | +62.5% |
3,863 overlapping windows · 2011-04-08 – 2026-09-18 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 5,770 @ $8.67 | $50K | +1.7% of holding | −8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 348,083 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-11 | Allorto Richard T JR | officer | Purchase | 15,000 @ $8.15 | $122K | +150.0% of holding | +4.1% | −20.5% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 5,895 @ $8.48 | $50K | +1.8% of holding | +0.5% | −20.7% | 342,313 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 5,500 @ $9.10 | $50K | +1.7% of holding | +2.4% | −16.6% | 336,418 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 1,480 @ $10.13 | $15K | +0.4% of holding | −1.4% | −19.7% | 330,918 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Briones Jose A | director | Purchase | 9,840 @ $10.15 | $100K | +3.1% of holding | +2.4% | −19.1% | 329,438 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.