PESI · TickerCove

PESIPerma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.Industrials · Waste Managementas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.20 · now $18.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PESI has typically landed between $14.34 and $25.14 — a range of −21.2% to +38.2% from the issuance price $18.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$18.2 · 89% of range

$8.19 low$19.43 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.3%

typical move · IQR 22.4%

−21.2%worst (p90)+38.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PESI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $18.2 (+0.0%)
typical $18.15 (-0.3%)
middle 50% $16.11–$20.19
90% range $14.34–$25.14

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-19	−47.4%	−47.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−45.0%	−45.7%	+0.0%
2013-05-30	−44.6%	−44.6%	+9.2%
3 best
2008-12-04	+98.7%	+0.0%	+98.7%
2008-12-05	+86.6%	−2.4%	+89.0%
2018-12-27	+84.7%	+0.0%	+84.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+1.7%

n=20

Feb

55%

+2.5%

n=20

Mar

50%

+7.4%

n=20

Apr

60%

+5.0%

n=20

May

40%

−0.2%

n=20

Jun

55%

+2.2%

n=20

Jul

50%

+2.3%

n=20

Aug

50%

+0.7%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.4%

n=20

Oct

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Nov

25%

−4.1%

n=20

Dec

30%

−0.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-09-16	Duggan Kerry C	director	Sale	5,653 @ $8.60	$49K	−60.6% of holding	+43.9%	+42.7%	3,680	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-11	Shelton Larry	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $8.58	$9K	+0.5% of holding	+29.2%	+59.2%	189,880	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09	Shelton Larry	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $9.61	$10K	+0.5% of holding	−4.0%	+28.0%	188,880	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-30	Duggan Kerry C	director	Sale	16,634	—	−66.9% of holding	−3.6%	−0.8%	8,221	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-30	Duggan Kerry C	director	Sale	16,634	—	−66.9% of holding	−3.6%	−0.8%	8,221	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Duff Mark	director	Purchase	750 @ $7.02	$5K	+0.6% of holding	+25.0%	+22.0%	132,359	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Duff Mark	director	Purchase	650 @ $7.05	$5K	+0.5% of holding	+25.0%	+22.0%	133,659	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Duff Mark	director	Purchase	650 @ $7.03	$5K	+0.5% of holding	+25.0%	+22.0%	133,009	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Naccarato Ben	officer	Purchase	400 @ $7.00	$3K	+0.8% of holding	+25.0%	+22.0%	48,811	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-18	Eshleman Troy	officer	Purchase	1,350 @ $7.35	$10K	ownership Δ n/a	+12.4%	−4.8%	1,350	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18	Duff Mark	director	Purchase	500 @ $7.20	$4K	+0.4% of holding	+12.4%	−4.8%	131,609	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-18	Duff Mark	director	Purchase	500 @ $7.10	$4K	+0.4% of holding	+12.4%	−4.8%	131,109	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17	CENTOFANTI LOUIS F	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $7.31	$7K	+0.5% of holding	+1.4%	−3.1%	218,765	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

91 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-22	REEDER JOE	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-22	Bostick Thomas	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-22	Duggan Kerry C	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-22	Grumski Joseph Timothy	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-22	Shelton Larry	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-22	ZWECKER MARK A	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-22	Wamp Zach Paul	director	Award / grant	10,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-07-13	Shelton Larry	director	Option exercise	2,400	198,983	Form 4
2026-07-13	Shelton Larry	director	Option exercise	2,400	0	Form 4
2026-07-01	Grumski Joseph Timothy	director	Award / grant	1,528	67,661	Form 4
2026-07-01	REEDER JOE	director	Award / grant	1,458	239,345	Form 4
2026-07-01	Shelton Larry	director	Award / grant	1,365	196,583	Form 4
2026-07-01	Bostick Thomas	director	Award / grant	1,213	50,610	Form 4
2026-07-01	ZWECKER MARK A	director	Award / grant	1,167	247,606	Form 4
2026-07-01	Wamp Zach Paul	director	Award / grant	849	53,473	Form 4
2026-07-01	Duggan Kerry C	director	Award / grant	819	7,640	Form 4
2026-04-01	Grumski Joseph Timothy	director	Award / grant	2,105	66,133	Form 4
2026-04-01	REEDER JOE	director	Award / grant	1,886	237,887	Form 4
2026-04-01	Shelton Larry	director	Award / grant	1,824	195,218	Form 4
2026-04-01	Bostick Thomas	director	Award / grant	1,559	49,397	Form 4
2026-04-01	ZWECKER MARK A	director	Award / grant	1,520	244,039	Form 4
2026-04-01	Wamp Zach Paul	director	Award / grant	1,094	52,624	Form 4
2026-04-01	Duggan Kerry C	director	Award / grant	1,054	6,821	Form 4
2026-01-20	Grondin Richard	officer	Withheld for tax	2,555	37,037	Form 4
2026-01-20	Grondin Richard	officer	Option exercise	5,000	39,592	Form 4
2026-01-20	Grondin Richard	officer	Withheld for tax	1,729	41,308	Form 4
2026-01-20	Grondin Richard	officer	Option exercise	6,000	43,037	Form 4
2026-01-20	Grondin Richard	officer	Option exercise	5,000	5,000	Form 4
2026-01-20	Grondin Richard	officer	Option exercise	6,000	12,000	Form 4
2026-01-02	Grumski Joseph Timothy	director	Award / grant	1,840	64,028	Form 4
2026-01-02	Shelton Larry	director	Award / grant	1,583	193,394	Form 4
2026-01-02	REEDER JOE	director	Award / grant	1,549	236,001	Form 4
2026-01-02	ZWECKER MARK A	director	Award / grant	1,325	242,519	Form 4
2026-01-02	Bostick Thomas	director	Award / grant	1,324	47,838	Form 4
2026-01-02	Wamp Zach Paul	director	Award / grant	964	51,530	Form 4
2026-01-02	Duggan Kerry C	director	Award / grant	929	5,767	Form 4
2025-12-15	REEDER JOE	director	Gift	727	235,543	Form 4
2025-12-15	REEDER JOE	director	Gift	364	234,452	Form 4
2025-12-15	REEDER JOE	director	Gift	11,048	237,360	Form 4
2025-12-15	REEDER JOE	director	Gift	1,090	236,270	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i