PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.69 · now $17.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PENN has typically landed between $14.13 and $21.07 — a range of −20.2% to +19.1% from the issuance price $17.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PENN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$14.13worst · -20.2%$21.07best · +19.1%
  • now $17.69 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $17.18 (-2.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $15.61–$18.75
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $14.13–$21.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−87.8%−87.8%+3.4%
2020-02-19−83.6%−87.8%+2.9%
2020-02-14−80.1%−80.1%+3.5%
3 best
2020-03-18+211.3%+0.0%+233.2%
2020-05-05+137.6%+0.0%+137.6%
2020-05-06+128.7%+0.0%+137.1%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.5%
n=18
Feb
63%
+0.3%
n=19
Mar
37%
−1.8%
n=19
Apr
63%
+5.1%
n=19
May
53%
+2.8%
n=19
Jun
37%
−0.9%
n=19
Jul
58%
+0.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
+3.3%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.0%
n=19
Oct
50%
−1.6%
n=18
Nov
78%
+5.7%
n=18
Dec
61%
+0.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$22$122026-03-02: 1 insider purchase, $121K — SCACCETTI JANE2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $101K — Hendrix Felicia2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $285K — HANDLER DAVID A2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $116K — Black Gupta Vimla2025-11-07: 1 insider purchase, $497K — Snowden Jay A2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $339K2025-11: 3 open-market purchases, $883K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $116K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $121K↑ buys↓ salesdirector SCACCETTI JANE — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hendrix Felicia — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector HANDLER DAVID A — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Gupta Vimla — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Snowden Jay A — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-02SCACCETTI JANEdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $15.09$121K+7.3% of holding+6.2%not yet — horizon still open117,153Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21Hendrix FeliciaofficerPurchase7,315 @ $13.79$101K+6.5% of holding+1.5%+23.8%119,448Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-17HANDLER DAVID AdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $14.25$285K+5.8% of holding+4.4%+6.5%362,941Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14Black Gupta VimladirectorSale7,987 @ $14.51$116K−24.2% of holding−4.1%+0.6%25,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-07Snowden Jay AdirectorPurchase34,700 @ $14.32$497K+3.2% of holding−7.8%−2.6%1,117,325Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08HANDLER DAVID AdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $16.96$339K+6.2% of holding+16.2%−29.3%342,941Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-22Snowden Jay AdirectorPurchase34,000 @ $14.70$500K+3.2% of holding+14.9%−18.7%1,082,625Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-22HANDLER DAVID AdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $14.83$148K+3.2% of holding+14.9%−18.7%322,941Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-12Rogers Christopher ByronofficerPurchase3,737 @ $16.00$60K+4.3% of holding+2.2%−19.9%91,217Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

95 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorDisposition14,77516,835Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,7750Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,7750Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,77531,610Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,7750Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,77531,610Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,7750Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,77531,610Form 4
2026-08-08Hartnett JohnnydirectorOption exercise14,77531,610Form 4
2026-03-10Snowden Jay AdirectorWithheld for tax108,063948,530Form 4
2026-03-10Snowden Jay AdirectorAward / grant92,9681,056,593Form 4
2026-03-09ACE HEATHER SdirectorAward / grant17,07717,077Form 4
2026-03-09FOX JEFFREY HdirectorAward / grant17,07717,077Form 4
2026-03-09Schiavolin FabiodirectorAward / grant17,07717,077Form 4
2026-02-26Hendrix FeliciaofficerWithheld for tax17,133182,356Form 4
2026-02-26Rogers Christopher ByronofficerWithheld for tax7,070149,434Form 4
2026-02-26Hendrix FeliciaofficerAward / grant24,627199,489Form 4
2026-02-26Rogers Christopher ByronofficerAward / grant14,404156,504Form 4
2026-01-05Hartnett JohnnydirectorAward / grant16,83516,835Form 4
2026-01-05DHANDA ANUJdirectorAward / grant16,83548,358Form 4
2026-01-05Rogers Christopher ByronofficerAward / grant55,488142,100Form 4
2026-01-05Rogers Christopher ByronofficerAward / grant105,533105,533Form 4
2026-01-05Ruisanchez CarlosdirectorAward / grant16,83532,810Form 4
2026-01-05Snowden Jay AdirectorAward / grant187,3731,263,625Form 4
2026-01-05Snowden Jay AdirectorAward / grant356,363356,363Form 4
2026-01-05SCACCETTI JANEdirectorAward / grant16,835109,153Form 4
2026-01-05HANDLER DAVID AdirectorAward / grant25,253388,194Form 4
2026-01-05Hendrix FeliciaofficerAward / grant62,424174,862Form 4
2026-01-05Kaplowitz MarladirectorAward / grant16,83543,038Form 4
2026-01-05Black Gupta VimladirectorAward / grant16,83541,835Form 4
2026-01-05Hendrix FeliciaofficerAward / grant118,724118,724Form 4
2026-01-03Snowden Jay AdirectorWithheld for tax41,0731,076,252Form 4
2026-01-03Black Gupta VimladirectorDisposition12,99425,000Form 4
2026-01-03DHANDA ANUJdirectorDisposition12,99431,523Form 4
2026-01-03Kaplowitz MarladirectorDisposition12,99426,203Form 4
2026-01-03Hendrix FeliciaofficerWithheld for tax7,010112,438Form 4
2026-01-03George ToddofficerWithheld for tax6,865126,171Form 4
2026-01-03Rogers Christopher ByronofficerWithheld for tax4,60586,612Form 4
2026-01-03DHANDA ANUJdirectorOption exercise12,99444,517Form 4
2026-01-03DHANDA ANUJdirectorOption exercise12,9940Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-02-082022-01-21$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2021-12-212021-12-16$1–15K
Pat ToomeySenatepurchase2021-03-092021-02-09$1–15K
Mrs. Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2021-02-192021-01-22$1–15K
Mrs. Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2021-02-192021-01-21$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.