PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group IncorporatedUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $70.39 · now $70.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PEG has typically landed between $64.95 and $76.66 — a range of −7.7% to +8.9% from the issuance price $70.39.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($70.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PEG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $70.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$64.95worst · -7.7%$76.66best · +8.9%
  • now $70.39 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $70.72 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $68.25–$73.19
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $64.95–$76.66
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−38.0%−38.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−35.5%−35.5%+1.3%
2020-02-18−34.6%−34.6%+1.6%
3 best
2020-03-18+42.7%−3.7%+42.7%
2020-03-23+38.6%+0.0%+48.2%
2020-03-19+32.4%−5.8%+39.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$39.8B
market cap
$4.52
EPS (TTM)
17.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$12.2B
'20'25
Net income$2.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$325M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr17.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.44
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $70.39$-48.72$113.20
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-37.55
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$102.04
  • Analyst target · range $78.00–$94.00$90.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$70.39

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+0.6%
n=18
Feb
47%
−0.8%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.5%
n=19
Apr
74%
+3.0%
n=19
May
53%
−0.3%
n=19
Jun
58%
+1.0%
n=19
Jul
63%
+1.1%
n=19
Aug
37%
−1.3%
n=19
Sep
58%
−0.3%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.8%
n=18
Nov
56%
+0.9%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$86$702026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $153K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $596K — Thigpen Richard T2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $159K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $168K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-06-24: 1 insider sale, $249K — Hanemann Kim C2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $160K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $169K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-04-01: 1 insider sale, $169K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $738 — Hanemann Kim C2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $174K — LaRossa Ralph A2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $390K — Thigpen Richard T2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $405K — Thigpen Richard T2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $405K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $565K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $169K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $169K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $409K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $168K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $756K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $153K↑ buys↓ salesdirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Thigpen Richard T — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hanemann Kim C — Sale on 2026-06-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hanemann Kim C — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LaRossa Ralph A — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Thigpen Richard T — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Thigpen Richard T — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $73.46$153K−0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open281,573Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Thigpen Richard TofficerSale8,000 @ $74.56$596K−27.6% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open20,970Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $76.47$159K−0.7% of holding−4.6%not yet — horizon still open283,656Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $80.51$168K−0.7% of holding−4.6%not yet — horizon still open285,149Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-24Hanemann Kim CdirectorSale3,035 @ $82.00$249K−3.0% of holding−3.4%not yet — horizon still open98,815Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $77.01$160K−0.7% of holding+7.0%not yet — horizon still open287,232Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $81.21$169K−0.7% of holding−7.7%not yet — horizon still open289,315Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $81.24$169K−0.7% of holding−11.3%not yet — horizon still open291,398Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Hanemann Kim CdirectorSale9 @ $84.04$738−100.0% of holding−0.7%−24.5%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale2,083 @ $83.66$174K−0.7% of holding+0.4%−24.6%292,889Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Thigpen Richard TofficerSale4,700 @ $83.00$390K−14.2% of holding+1.0%−23.6%28,481Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-07Thigpen Richard TofficerSale4,920 @ $82.33$405K−15.8% of holding−6.6%−14.8%26,134Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,387 @ $83.12$115K−0.6% of holding+6.0%−12.7%218,328Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,378 @ $81.88$113K−0.6% of holding−5.0%−14.2%219,715Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,378 @ $79.26$109K−0.6% of holding−2.0%−18.1%221,093Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-01LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,378 @ $82.88$114K−0.6% of holding−5.1%−19.1%221,670Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,378 @ $81.65$113K−0.6% of holding+6.3%−8.7%223,048Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-03LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,378 @ $83.10$115K−1.1% of holding+0.3%+1.6%126,791Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-17Stephenson Scott GdirectorSale139 @ $88.26$12K−100.0% of holding−5.2%−7.0%0Form 4 · filed 24 days after the trade
2025-01-02LaRossa Ralph AdirectorSale1,378 @ $84.91$117K−0.9% of holding−4.9%−9.3%144,212Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2020-03-23Stephenson Scott GdirectorPurchase75 @ $36.87$3K+51.4% of holding+13.5%−6.4%221Form 4 · filed 1785 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

133 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-01Deese Willie AdirectorAward / grant2,24611,933Form 4
2026-05-01Gentoso Jamie MdirectorAward / grant2,24613,480Form 4
2026-05-01TOMASKY SUSANdirectorAward / grant2,24653,197Form 4
2026-05-01Williams Geisha JdirectorAward / grant2,2462,246Form 4
2026-05-01Stephenson Scott GdirectorAward / grant2,2464,607Form 4
2026-05-01TANJI KENNETHdirectorAward / grant2,2469,424Form 4
2026-05-01Perez Ricardo GdirectorAward / grant2,2467,347Form 4
2026-05-01Smith Valerie AnndirectorAward / grant2,24613,480Form 4
2026-05-01SUGG LAURA AdirectorAward / grant2,24622,234Form 4
2026-05-01SURMA JOHN PdirectorAward / grant2,24616,587Form 4
2026-02-24LaRossa Ralph AdirectorAward / grant148,242336,011Form 4
2026-02-24LaRossa Ralph AdirectorWithheld for tax75,826294,972Form 4
2026-02-24Cregg Daniel JofficerAward / grant36,135216,004Form 4
2026-02-24LaRossa Ralph AdirectorAward / grant34,787370,798Form 4
2026-02-24Hanemann Kim CdirectorAward / grant25,944107,688Form 4
2026-02-24Cregg Daniel JofficerWithheld for tax18,483207,262Form 4
2026-02-24Hanemann Kim CdirectorWithheld for tax13,271101,723Form 4
2026-02-24Rostiac Sheila JofficerAward / grant12,97352,497Form 4
2026-02-24Thigpen Richard TofficerAward / grant10,19335,151Form 4
2026-02-24McFeaters Charles VofficerAward / grant10,19334,009Form 4
2026-02-24Cregg Daniel JofficerAward / grant9,741225,745Form 4
2026-02-24McFeaters Charles VofficerAward / grant8,12142,130Form 4
2026-02-24Hanemann Kim CdirectorAward / grant7,306114,994Form 4
2026-02-24Park Grace HofficerAward / grant6,26213,364Form 4
2026-02-24Rostiac Sheila JofficerWithheld for tax5,75350,571Form 4
2026-02-24McFeaters Charles VofficerAward / grant5,21847,348Form 4
2026-02-24Chernick Rose MofficerAward / grant5,16343,248Form 4
2026-02-24Thigpen Richard TofficerWithheld for tax4,05833,181Form 4
2026-02-24Park Grace HofficerAward / grant3,97217,335Form 4
2026-02-24McFeaters Charles VofficerWithheld for tax3,88940,008Form 4
2026-02-24Rostiac Sheila JofficerAward / grant3,82756,324Form 4
2026-02-24McFeaters Charles VofficerWithheld for tax3,45143,897Form 4
2026-02-24Chernick Rose MofficerAward / grant2,32045,568Form 4
2026-02-24Thigpen Richard TofficerAward / grant2,08837,239Form 4
2026-02-24Chernick Rose MofficerWithheld for tax1,79243,776Form 4
2026-02-24Park Grace HofficerWithheld for tax1,27116,064Form 4
2026-02-13LaRossa Ralph AdirectorWithheld for tax7,534187,769Form 4
2026-02-13Cregg Daniel JofficerWithheld for tax2,128179,869Form 4
2026-02-13Hanemann Kim CdirectorWithheld for tax1,23481,744Form 4
2026-02-13McFeaters Charles VofficerWithheld for tax54923,817Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Julia LetlowHousesale2026-03-122026-02-17$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2026-01-162025-12-02$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2026-01-152025-12-09$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-01-132024-10-23$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousepurchase2025-08-202024-09-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
John JamesHousesale2024-09-062024-09-04$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2024-08-212023-07-14$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2023-05-122023-04-14$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousesale2023-04-172023-03-06$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2023-03-102023-02-24$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousepurchase2023-02-242023-01-31$1–15K
John RutherfordHousesale2022-04-192022-03-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-28$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.