PED · TickerCove

PEDPEDEVCO Corp.Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.49 · now $15.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PED has typically landed between $12.42 and $19.69 — a range of −19.8% to +27.1% from the issuance price $15.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,591 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-04-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$15.49 · 70% of range

$9.1 low$18.18 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.8%

typical move · IQR 15.8%

−19.8%worst (p90)+27.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PED has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $15.49 (+0.0%)
typical $15.21 (-1.8%)
middle 50% $13.99–$16.44
90% range $12.42–$19.69

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,591 windows spanning 2012-04-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2018-11-23	−66.8%	−66.8%	+0.0%
2018-11-26	−66.5%	−66.5%	+0.0%
2018-11-21	−61.2%	−61.2%	+6.7%
3 best
2018-06-18	+772.0%	+0.0%	+772.0%
2018-06-15	+751.6%	−0.5%	+751.6%
2018-06-19	+730.4%	−0.3%	+769.1%

3,591 overlapping windows · 2012-04-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

57%

+11.6%

n=14

Feb

50%

−0.2%

n=14

Mar

43%

+0.4%

n=14

Apr

29%

−5.8%

n=14

May

53%

−1.0%

n=15

Jun

47%

+43.9%

n=15

Jul

47%

+0.7%

n=15

Aug

67%

+5.7%

n=15

Sep

40%

−1.1%

n=15

Oct

29%

−8.2%

n=14

Nov

−12.8%

n=14

Dec

36%

−2.9%

n=14

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	1,218 @ $12.37	$15K	−2.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	44,167	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-18	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	5,277 @ $12.53	$66K	−10.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	45,385	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	3,765 @ $12.81	$48K	−6.9% of holding	+26.0%	not yet — horizon still open	50,662	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-30	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	18,797 @ $14.67	$276K	−25.7% of holding	−22.4%	not yet — horizon still open	54,428	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24	Schick John Douglas	director	Sale	66,666 @ $0.46	$30K	−1.9% of holding	+17.0%	+30.3%	3,510,467	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	58,333 @ $0.46	$27K	−3.7% of holding	+17.0%	+30.3%	1,522,001	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	Crook Jody D.	officer	Sale	34,314 @ $0.46	$16K	−5.2% of holding	+17.0%	+30.3%	629,804	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	PINKSTON PAUL ANTHONY	officer	Sale	19,000 @ $0.46	$9K	−2.3% of holding	+17.0%	+30.3%	797,700	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-27	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	125,000 @ $0.76	$95K	−10.4% of holding	−0.9%	−19.0%	1,080,334	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-27	Schick John Douglas	director	Sale	120,000 @ $0.76	$91K	−7.1% of holding	−0.9%	−19.0%	1,577,133	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-27	PINKSTON PAUL ANTHONY	officer	Sale	65,000 @ $0.76	$50K	−7.4% of holding	−0.9%	−19.0%	816,700	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-23	Schick John Douglas	director	Sale	58,334 @ $0.86	$50K	−4.6% of holding	−10.8%	−31.0%	1,197,133	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-23	Clark Moore	officer	Sale	50,000 @ $0.86	$43K	−5.5% of holding	−10.8%	−31.0%	855,334	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-23	PINKSTON PAUL ANTHONY	officer	Sale	23,000 @ $0.85	$20K	−3.2% of holding	−10.8%	−31.0%	691,700	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-27	PINKSTON PAUL ANTHONY	officer	Sale	35,000 @ $0.74	$26K	−4.7% of holding	+3.5%	−18.9%	714,700	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Howie John K	director	Award / grant	1,111	11,467	Form 4
2026-07-21	Long Robert Joseph	officer	Award / grant	18,050	18,050	Form 4
2026-07-21	DUKES REAGAN TUCK	officer	Award / grant	17,190	17,190	Form 4
2026-07-21	Long Robert Joseph	officer	Award / grant	4,010	4,010	Form 4
2026-07-21	DUKES REAGAN TUCK	officer	Award / grant	7,520	7,520	Form 4
2026-02-27	Geiser Edward	director	Conversion	14,022,728	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	KUKES SIMON G	director	Option exercise	2,801,814	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Long Robert Joseph	officer	Conversion	9,546	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	DUKES REAGAN TUCK	officer	Conversion	95,460	95,460	Form 4
2026-02-27	Clark Moore	officer	Option exercise	4,546	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Crook Jody D.	officer	Option exercise	4,546	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Schick John Douglas	director	Option exercise	45,455	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital II GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	3,235,117	34,472,501	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital II GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	49,679	34,522,180	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital II GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	3,765,822	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital III GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	154,600	62,778,996	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital III GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	6,279,371	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital III GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	90,400	62,819,396	Form 4
2026-02-27	DUKES REAGAN TUCK	officer	Conversion	1,022,400	1,117,850	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital IV GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	48,675	33,824,353	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital IV GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	3,372,728	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	DUKES REAGAN TUCK	officer	Conversion	9,546	0	Form 4
2026-02-27	Geiser Edward	director	Other acquisition	3,389,717	137,033,922	Form 4
2026-02-27	Geiser Edward	director	Award / grant	197,482	137,231,404	Form 4
2026-02-27	Geiser Edward	director	Other acquisition	197,482	137,231,404	Form 4
2026-02-27	Geiser Edward	director	Other acquisition	137,231,404	137,231,404	Form 4
2026-02-27	KUKES SIMON G	director	Option exercise	28,018,140	79,809,465	Form 4
2026-02-27	Long Robert Joseph	officer	Conversion	95,460	95,460	Form 4
2026-02-27	Crook Jody D.	officer	Option exercise	45,460	668,345	Form 4
2026-02-27	Long Robert Joseph	officer	Conversion	830,700	926,160	Form 4
2026-02-27	Clark Moore	officer	Option exercise	45,460	1,464,509	Form 4
2026-02-27	Clark Moore	officer	Option exercise	45,460	1,464,509	Form 4
2026-02-27	Crook Jody D.	officer	Option exercise	45,460	668,345	Form 4
2026-02-27	Schick John Douglas	director	Option exercise	454,550	454,550	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital II GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	37,658,222	37,707,618	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital III GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	62,793,710	62,883,596	Form 4
2026-02-27	Juniper Capital IV GP, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	33,727,280	33,775,678	Form 4
2026-02-27	Geiser Edward	director	Conversion	140,227,280	140,423,639	Form 4
2026-02-27	KUKES SIMON G	director	Option exercise	28,018,140	79,809,465	Form 4
2026-02-27	KUKES SIMON G	director	Option exercise	28,018,140	79,809,465	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i