PDM · TickerCove

PDMPiedmont Office Realty Trust, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Officeas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.34 · now $9.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PDM has typically landed between $7.97 and $10.73 — a range of −14.7% to +14.9% from the issuance price $9.34.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,154 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-02-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$9.34 · 83% of range

$6.39 low$9.96 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.1%

typical move · IQR 13.0%

−14.7%worst (p90)+14.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PDM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $9.34 (+0.0%)
typical $9.35 (+0.1%)
middle 50% $8.74–$9.96
90% range $7.97–$10.73

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,154 windows spanning 2010-02-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−40.7%	−40.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−40.3%	−40.3%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−40.2%	−40.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-11-04	+43.0%	−0.8%	+43.3%
2020-10-28	+42.2%	−1.6%	+46.0%
2020-10-30	+42.1%	+0.0%	+48.4%

4,154 overlapping windows · 2010-02-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

56%

+2.3%

n=16

Feb

44%

−2.0%

n=16

Mar

53%

−0.8%

n=17

Apr

47%

+0.0%

n=17

May

41%

+1.0%

n=17

Jun

53%

+1.6%

n=17

Jul

71%

+2.7%

n=17

Aug

35%

−1.3%

n=17

Sep

47%

−2.6%

n=17

Oct

44%

−0.6%

n=16

Nov

56%

+4.2%

n=16

Dec

69%

+0.5%

n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-05-02	Smith Christopher Brent	director	Purchase	16,615 @ $6.59	$109K	+3.9% of holding	+6.1%	+0.3%	440,492	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-01	REXROAD SHERRY L	director	Purchase	16,850 @ $5.95	$100K	ownership Δ n/a	+11.1%	+5.8%	16,850	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-01	Taysom Dale H.	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $6.00	$18K	+4.6% of holding	+11.1%	+5.8%	67,767	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

248 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-12	Lang Barbara B	director	Withheld for tax	4,566	61,842	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnelly Jeffrey	director	Withheld for tax	3,348	13,672	Form 4
2026-05-12	Taysom Dale H.	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Taysom Dale H.	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnley Deneen L	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	Hager Mary M.	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Hager Mary M.	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lewis Stephen E	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lewis Stephen E	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnelly Jeffrey	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	COHEN GLENN GARY	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	COHEN GLENN GARY	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lang Barbara B	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lang Barbara B	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnley Deneen L	director	Option exercise	15,217	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnelly Jeffrey	director	Award / grant	12,883	12,883	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lewis Stephen E	director	Option exercise	15,217	17,529	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnley Deneen L	director	Option exercise	15,217	17,529	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnelly Jeffrey	director	Option exercise	15,217	17,020	Form 4
2026-05-12	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Option exercise	15,217	97,426	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnley Deneen L	director	Option exercise	15,217	17,529	Form 4
2026-05-12	COHEN GLENN GARY	director	Option exercise	15,217	82,083	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lang Barbara B	director	Option exercise	15,217	66,408	Form 4
2026-05-12	Taysom Dale H.	director	Option exercise	15,217	97,372	Form 4
2026-05-12	Hager Mary M.	director	Option exercise	15,217	49,190	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lewis Stephen E	director	Option exercise	15,217	17,529	Form 4
2026-05-12	Taysom Dale H.	director	Option exercise	15,217	97,372	Form 4
2026-05-12	Lang Barbara B	director	Option exercise	15,217	66,408	Form 4
2026-05-12	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Option exercise	15,217	97,426	Form 4
2026-05-12	COHEN GLENN GARY	director	Option exercise	15,217	82,083	Form 4
2026-05-12	Hager Mary M.	director	Option exercise	15,217	49,190	Form 4
2026-05-12	Donnelly Jeffrey	director	Option exercise	15,217	17,020	Form 4
2026-02-23	Smith Christopher Brent	director	Withheld for tax	15,051	694,746	Form 4
2026-02-23	Wells George M.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,352	158,632	Form 4
2026-02-23	Kollme Christopher A.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,685	123,123	Form 4
2026-02-23	Valente Alex	officer	Withheld for tax	1,647	83,232	Form 4
2026-02-23	Moon Laura P	officer	Withheld for tax	1,176	79,277	Form 4
2026-02-23	Wells George M.	officer	Option exercise	5,280	89,265	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i