PDFS · TickerCove

PDFSPDF Solutions, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.97 · now $41.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PDFS has typically landed between $33.78 and $53.47 — a range of −19.5% to +27.4% from the issuance price $41.97.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$41.97 · 43% of range

$19.94 low$70.79 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 18.2%

−19.5%worst (p90)+27.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PDFS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $41.97 (+0.0%)
typical $42.13 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $38.31–$45.95
90% range $33.78–$53.47

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-17	−55.9%	−56.7%	+8.4%
2008-10-22	−55.0%	−58.6%	+0.0%
2008-10-16	−54.3%	−54.3%	+14.4%
3 best
2020-03-23	+76.9%	+0.0%	+76.9%
2009-03-13	+74.7%	+0.0%	+74.7%
2020-03-18	+71.3%	+0.0%	+71.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

+0.8%

n=20

Feb

50%

−1.4%

n=20

Mar

50%

+2.5%

n=20

Apr

50%

+1.6%

n=20

May

60%

+3.1%

n=20

Jun

80%

+8.0%

n=20

Jul

45%

−2.2%

n=20

Aug

30%

−2.2%

n=20

Sep

60%

−0.6%

n=20

Oct

60%

+0.8%

n=20

Nov

75%

+7.6%

n=20

Dec

50%

+1.1%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-31	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Sale	3,394 @ $44.41	$151K	−3.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	90,965	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	Zhang Shuo	director	Sale	1,501 @ $51.47	$77K	−6.0% of holding	−6.7%	not yet — horizon still open	23,380	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-13	GUSTAFSON MICHAEL B	director	Purchase	7,500 @ $19.45	$146K	+33.2% of holding	+0.9%	+17.6%	30,074	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-25	KIBARIAN JOHN KACHIG	director	Purchase	15,644 @ $22.11	$346K	+0.6% of holding	−2.8%	−18.0%	2,522,756	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-24	KIBARIAN JOHN KACHIG	director	Purchase	34,356 @ $22.80	$783K	+1.4% of holding	−2.6%	−19.7%	2,507,112	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24	GUSTAFSON MICHAEL B	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $23.06	$92K	+21.5% of holding	−2.6%	−19.7%	22,574	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-17	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Sale	6,008 @ $30.36	$182K	−6.4% of holding	−6.6%	−35.1%	88,464	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-17	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Sale	245 @ $31.17	$8K	−0.3% of holding	−6.6%	−35.1%	94,472	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-16	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Sale	5,030 @ $30.85	$155K	−5.0% of holding	−8.1%	−35.2%	94,717	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-11	Erba Nancy	director	Sale	2,000 @ $30.81	$62K	−12.7% of holding	−7.6%	−34.0%	13,739	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

43 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Withheld for tax	6,010	65,000	Form 4
2026-07-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Withheld for tax	1,356	88,843	Form 4
2026-07-01	Li Ye Jane	director	Award / grant	2,689	26,632	Form 4
2026-07-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Award / grant	23,450	80,697	Form 4
2026-07-01	Erba Nancy	director	Award / grant	2,689	11,943	Form 4
2026-07-01	Li Ye Jane	director	Award / grant	2,689	26,632	Form 4
2026-07-01	BRONSON JOSEPH R	director	Award / grant	2,689	40,956	Form 4
2026-07-01	CHAN CHI-FOON	director	Award / grant	2,689	24,168	Form 4
2026-07-01	GUSTAFSON MICHAEL B	director	Award / grant	2,689	40,192	Form 4
2026-07-01	Zhang Shuo	director	Award / grant	2,689	24,881	Form 4
2026-07-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Award / grant	5,360	94,203	Form 4
2026-07-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Award / grant	23,450	80,697	Form 4
2026-07-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Award / grant	5,360	94,203	Form 4
2026-07-01	Zhang Shuo	director	Award / grant	2,689	24,881	Form 4
2026-07-01	CHAN CHI-FOON	director	Award / grant	2,689	24,168	Form 4
2026-07-01	Erba Nancy	director	Award / grant	2,689	11,943	Form 4
2026-07-01	GUSTAFSON MICHAEL B	director	Award / grant	2,689	40,192	Form 4
2026-07-01	BRONSON JOSEPH R	director	Award / grant	2,689	40,956	Form 4
2026-01-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Withheld for tax	5,498	71,010	Form 4
2026-01-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Withheld for tax	2,762	89,204	Form 4
2025-12-09	MICHAELS KIMON	director	Gift	5,070	1,542,072	Form 4
2025-08-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Award / grant	8,000	91,966	Form 4
2025-08-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Award / grant	8,000	91,966	Form 4
2025-08-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Award / grant	35,000	76,508	Form 4
2025-08-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Award / grant	35,000	76,508	Form 4
2025-07-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Withheld for tax	4,921	63,880	Form 4
2025-07-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Withheld for tax	2,497	83,613	Form 4
2025-07-01	MICHAELS KIMON	director	Withheld for tax	798	28,298	Form 4
2025-07-01	Li Ye Jane	director	Award / grant	7,429	23,943	Form 4
2025-07-01	Zhang Shuo	director	Award / grant	7,429	22,192	Form 4
2025-07-01	CHAN CHI-FOON	director	Award / grant	7,429	21,479	Form 4
2025-07-01	BRONSON JOSEPH R	director	Award / grant	7,429	38,267	Form 4
2025-07-01	Li Ye Jane	director	Award / grant	7,429	23,943	Form 4
2025-07-01	GUSTAFSON MICHAEL B	director	Award / grant	7,429	37,503	Form 4
2025-07-01	BRONSON JOSEPH R	director	Award / grant	7,429	38,267	Form 4
2025-07-01	Erba Nancy	director	Award / grant	7,429	27,383	Form 4
2025-07-01	GUSTAFSON MICHAEL B	director	Award / grant	7,429	37,503	Form 4
2025-07-01	Erba Nancy	director	Award / grant	7,429	27,383	Form 4
2025-01-01	Raza Adnan	officer	Withheld for tax	5,258	68,013	Form 4
2025-01-01	Strojwas Andrzej	officer	Withheld for tax	2,833	85,631	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i