Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.85 · now $71.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PDEX has typically landed between $56.50 and $92.14 — a range of −21.4% to +28.2% from the issuance price $71.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PDEX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $71.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.53 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $66.49–$78.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $56.5–$92.14
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-01 | −44.2% | −44.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-01 | −41.7% | −41.7% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-09 | −41.2% | −41.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2018-08-17 | +88.6% | +0.0% | +88.6% |
| 2010-03-29 | +84.0% | +0.0% | +84.0% |
| 2018-08-21 | +83.1% | +0.0% | +83.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 475 @ $59.62 | $28K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 79,228 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 290 @ $58.94 | $17K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 79,703 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 4,768 @ $59.45 | $283K | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 79,993 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 4,274 @ $60.72 | $260K | −4.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 90,103 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 2,691 @ $59.84 | $161K | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 94,377 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 2,144 @ $63.85 | $137K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 85,867 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 2,160 @ $58.92 | $127K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,068 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Charlton Alisha | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $61.05 | $92K | −6.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,670 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 1,157 @ $61.88 | $72K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 88,946 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 935 @ $62.93 | $59K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 88,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Charlton Alisha | officer | Sale | 800 @ $61.76 | $49K | −3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,870 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 806 @ $58.66 | $47K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 84,761 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 300 @ $64.70 | $19K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 85,567 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 2,824 @ $62.09 | $175K | −3.0% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,011 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 1,254 @ $62.93 | $79K | −1.4% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,757 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 50 @ $63.63 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,707 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 3,404 @ $62.96 | $214K | −3.5% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 94,385 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 1,918 @ $62.22 | $119K | −1.9% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 97,789 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Sale | 550 @ $63.92 | $35K | −0.6% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,835 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Sale | 998 @ $47.24 | $47K | −5.0% of holding | −1.6% | +21.0% | 18,779 | Form 4 · filed 120 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Swenson Nicholas John | director | Sale | 2,635 | — | −0.3% of holding | −17.3% | −58.4% | 922,204 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Swenson Nicholas John | director | Sale | 1,891 | — | −0.2% of holding | −17.3% | −58.4% | 924,839 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Swenson Nicholas John | director | Sale | 1,891 | — | −0.2% of holding | −17.3% | −58.4% | 924,839 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Swenson Nicholas John | director | Sale | 2,635 | — | −0.3% of holding | −17.3% | −58.4% | 922,204 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 7,263 @ $50.01 | $363K | −2.6% of holding | +31.4% | −54.1% | 270,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-31 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 836 @ $50.00 | $42K | −0.3% of holding | +33.3% | −51.5% | 278,109 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-28 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 842 @ $50.00 | $42K | −0.3% of holding | +37.9% | −49.8% | 278,945 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-26 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 3,096 @ $50.13 | $155K | −1.1% of holding | +34.5% | −48.3% | 279,787 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 12,475 @ $50.25 | $627K | −4.2% of holding | +39.9% | −45.1% | 283,335 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-25 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 452 @ $51.08 | $23K | −0.2% of holding | +39.9% | −45.1% | 282,883 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-24 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 2,784 @ $50.00 | $139K | −0.9% of holding | +34.1% | −48.4% | 295,810 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,101 @ $50.00 | $55K | −0.4% of holding | +27.7% | −48.3% | 298,594 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $50.00 | $50K | −0.3% of holding | +28.9% | −47.7% | 299,695 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 5,151 @ $50.00 | $258K | −1.7% of holding | +23.4% | −52.4% | 300,695 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 5,132 @ $45.06 | $231K | −1.7% of holding | +23.7% | −43.3% | 305,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-10 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 7,674 @ $45.00 | $345K | −2.4% of holding | +35.1% | −34.7% | 310,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,100 @ $45.01 | $50K | −0.3% of holding | −12.5% | +6.9% | 318,652 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 5,381 @ $41.64 | $224K | −1.7% of holding | −16.1% | +14.7% | 319,752 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-27 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 8,077 @ $41.62 | $336K | −2.4% of holding | −18.7% | +18.2% | 325,133 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-24 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,436 @ $41.44 | $60K | −0.4% of holding | −14.4% | +26.2% | 333,210 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-23 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 835 @ $42.00 | $35K | −0.2% of holding | −18.8% | +13.0% | 334,646 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-22 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,258 @ $42.02 | $53K | −0.4% of holding | −22.1% | +14.4% | 336,494 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-22 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 947 @ $43.02 | $41K | −0.3% of holding | −22.1% | +14.4% | 335,547 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-22 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 66 @ $44.50 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | −22.1% | +14.4% | 345,481 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-21 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 4,337 @ $44.71 | $194K | −1.3% of holding | −26.0% | +8.4% | 340,346 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 2,594 @ $46.06 | $119K | −0.8% of holding | −26.0% | +8.4% | 337,752 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 4,013 @ $45.18 | $181K | −1.2% of holding | −24.9% | +1.6% | 344,683 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-17 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 2,807 @ $44.40 | $125K | −0.8% of holding | −24.9% | +1.6% | 348,696 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-16 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,493 @ $44.24 | $66K | −0.4% of holding | −21.7% | −1.7% | 351,503 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-15 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,879 @ $45.18 | $85K | −0.5% of holding | −24.7% | −4.5% | 352,996 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-14 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,147 @ $45.18 | $52K | −0.3% of holding | −27.9% | −3.5% | 354,875 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 3,624 @ $46.66 | $169K | −1.0% of holding | −29.9% | −6.3% | 356,022 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $47.76 | $57K | −0.3% of holding | −28.1% | −11.6% | 359,646 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
22 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Award / grant | 19 | 18,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Withheld for tax | 5,279 | 99,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Charlton Alisha | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,897 | 24,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Withheld for tax | 2,488 | 19,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Charlton Alisha | officer | Award / grant | 10,800 | 28,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Award / grant | 14,800 | 104,507 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Award / grant | 6,800 | 22,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-22 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Award / grant | 18 | 15,465 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Philp Katrina Marie Kramer | director | Award / grant | 2,200 | 16,896 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Philp Katrina Marie Kramer | director | Award / grant | 900 | 2,900 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Charlton Alisha | officer | Withheld for tax | 72 | 16,267 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Van Kirk Richard Lee Jr | director | Withheld for tax | 72 | 99,707 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Withheld for tax | 72 | 14,447 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | HOVDA DAVID | director | Award / grant | 1,000 | 4,300 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Swenson Nicholas John | director | Award / grant | 1,000 | 97,613 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | CABILLOT RAYMOND E | director | Award / grant | 1,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Farrell William James III | director | Award / grant | 1,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Award / grant | 1,000 | 15,447 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Charlton Alisha | officer | Award / grant | 1,000 | 17,267 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Philp Katrina Marie Kramer | director | Award / grant | 1,000 | 2,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-24 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Award / grant | 15 | 14,519 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-23 | Domingo Angelita Rebamontan | director | Award / grant | 15 | 14,504 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.