Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.52 · now $5.52 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PCT has typically landed between $3.60 and $8.24 — a range of −34.7% to +49.3% from the issuance price $5.52.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,531 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-07-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.52) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PCT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.52 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.52 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.41 (-2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.48–$6.34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.6–$8.24
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-04-14 | −62.7% | −62.7% | +0.0% |
| 2021-04-13 | −55.9% | −55.9% | +1.6% |
| 2021-04-15 | −55.8% | −61.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-09-09 | +100.0% | −0.4% | +115.9% |
| 2024-09-10 | +94.9% | +0.0% | +116.8% |
| 2026-04-17 | +89.5% | −1.2% | +89.5% |
1,531 overlapping windows · 2020-07-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Musa Fernando | director | Purchase | 15,479 @ $6.38 | $99K | +9.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 175,983 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Purchase | 16,622 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,113,545 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Purchase | 40,000 @ $1000.00 | $40.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +18.0% | −45.8% | 40,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Purchase | 619,925 @ $8.06 | $5.0M | +1.9% of holding | −8.2% | +37.6% | 34,077,574 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Kalter Brad | officer | Code O | 50,000 | 133,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 11,149 | 1,309,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Disposition | — | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | SYLEBRA CAPITAL LLC | director | Disposition | — | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Carpenter Donald | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,017 | 96,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 2,141 | 1,321,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Jirapongphan Siri | director | Award / grant | 16,622 | 21,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Coombs Daniel M | director | Award / grant | 16,622 | 156,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | BOUCK STEVEN F | director | Award / grant | 16,622 | 101,788 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Jacoby Allen | director | Award / grant | 16,622 | 96,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mars Valerie Anne | director | Award / grant | 16,622 | 21,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Burnell Tanya | director | Award / grant | 16,622 | 106,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-22 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 25,887 | 1,323,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-22 | Kalter Brad | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,562 | 183,327 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-22 | Carpenter Donald | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,356 | 135,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 5,786 | 1,349,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Kalter Brad | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,398 | 189,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 18,121 | 1,354,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Kalter Brad | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,593 | 193,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Kalter Brad | officer | Award / grant | 14,200 | 197,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Olson Dustin | director | Award / grant | 46,052 | 1,373,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 24,600 | 1,326,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | VASQUEZ JAIME | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,594 | 89,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kalter Brad | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,908 | 183,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Olson Dustin | director | Withheld for tax | 12,131 | 1,351,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | VASQUEZ JAIME | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,057 | 95,472 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Kalter Brad | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,841 | 188,588 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Barta Gregory L | officer | Withheld for tax | 870 | 17,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Barta Gregory L | officer | Award / grant | 7,459 | 7,459 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Barta Gregory L | officer | Award / grant | 9,969 | 18,311 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Olson Dustin | director | Award / grant | 145,914 | 1,363,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Kalter Brad | officer | Award / grant | 34,580 | 191,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Kalter Brad | officer | Award / grant | 25,872 | 25,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Olson Dustin | director | Award / grant | 109,170 | 109,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Mars Valerie Anne | director | Award / grant | 4,698 | 4,698 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-22 | Musa Fernando | director | Other acquisition | 66,716 | 143,882 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Fieler Jeffrey Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 2,902 | 1,970,526 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Fieler Jeffrey Richard | director | Disposition | 9,675 | 1,973,428 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-28 | Jirapongphan Siri | director | Award / grant | 4,549 | 4,549 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-23 | Kalter Brad | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,830 | 156,849 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.