PCRXPacira BioSciences, Inc.Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Genericas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $24.91 · now $24.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PCRX has typically landed between $20.48 and $29.03 — a range of −17.8% to +16.5% from the issuance price $24.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,906 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-02-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($24.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PCRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $24.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.48worst · -17.8%$29.03best · +16.5%
  • now $24.91 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $24.67 (-1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $22.76–$26.58
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.48–$29.03
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,906 windows spanning 2011-02-03 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-07-11−46.4%−46.4%+2.5%
2015-09-15−44.8%−45.3%+1.8%
2024-07-12−43.5%−46.2%+2.8%
3 best
2011-04-26+68.8%+0.0%+68.8%
2012-06-01+60.5%+0.0%+61.6%
2011-04-25+60.1%+0.0%+60.1%

3,906 overlapping windows · 2011-02-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+5.0%
n=15
Feb
67%
+2.5%
n=15
Mar
50%
−0.3%
n=16
Apr
63%
+4.6%
n=16
May
50%
+1.5%
n=16
Jun
44%
+1.8%
n=16
Jul
44%
−2.7%
n=16
Aug
50%
+1.5%
n=16
Sep
31%
−1.3%
n=16
Oct
27%
−2.8%
n=15
Nov
73%
+6.6%
n=15
Dec
60%
+4.2%
n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$28$192026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $71K — SLONIN JONATHAN2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $144K — RIKER LAUREN2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $228K — WILLIAMS KRISTEN2026-04-23: 1 insider sale, $326K — Cross Shawn2026-04-22: 1 insider sale, $38K — Cross Shawn2026-04-21: 1 insider sale, $71K — Cross Shawn2026-04-20: 1 insider sale, $194K — Cross Shawn2026-03-17: 2 insider sales, $85K — SLONIN JONATHAN, Froimson Mark2026-02-02: 2 insider sales, $353K — WILLIAMS KRISTEN, RIKER LAUREN2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $34K — RIKER LAUREN2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $229K — Cross Shawn2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $398K — Cross Shawn2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $95K — SLONIN JONATHAN2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $266K — Cross Shawn2025-09-04: 1 insider sale, $64K — Ceesay Abraham2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $116K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $64K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $362K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $627K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $34K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $353K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $85K2026-04: 4 open-market sales, $628K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $372K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $71K↑ buys↓ salesofficer SLONIN JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RIKER LAUREN — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WILLIAMS KRISTEN — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2026-04-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2026-04-22, filed same daydirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2026-04-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2026-04-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SLONIN JONATHAN — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Froimson Mark — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer WILLIAMS KRISTEN — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RIKER LAUREN — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RIKER LAUREN — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SLONIN JONATHAN — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cross Shawn — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Ceesay Abraham — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17SLONIN JONATHANofficerSale3,040 @ $23.23$71K−1.4% of holding+9.6%not yet — horizon still open216,384Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11RIKER LAURENofficerSale6,115 @ $23.50$144K−8.9% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open62,284Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04WILLIAMS KRISTENofficerSale10,259 @ $22.27$228K−5.8% of holding+14.9%not yet — horizon still open167,062Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-23Cross ShawndirectorSale12,941 @ $25.16$326K−10.9% of holding−13.2%not yet — horizon still open105,341Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-22Cross ShawndirectorSale1,500 @ $25.01$38K−1.4% of holding−10.1%not yet — horizon still open105,341Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-21Cross ShawndirectorSale2,845 @ $25.01$71K−2.6% of holding−11.9%not yet — horizon still open105,341Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20Cross ShawndirectorSale7,714 @ $25.14$194K−6.8% of holding−13.9%not yet — horizon still open105,341Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-17SLONIN JONATHANofficerSale3,261 @ $22.82$74K−1.4% of holding+3.9%+0.5%223,640Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-17Froimson MarkdirectorSale500 @ $21.81$11K−2.4% of holding+3.9%+0.5%20,136Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02WILLIAMS KRISTENofficerSale13,137 @ $20.53$270K−9.1% of holding+9.2%+18.7%131,303Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02RIKER LAURENofficerSale4,000 @ $20.81$83K−7.1% of holding+9.2%+18.7%52,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05RIKER LAURENofficerSale1,416 @ $24.24$34K−2.3% of holding−17.4%−7.3%59,064Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10Cross ShawndirectorSale9,104 @ $25.14$229K−13.9% of holding−10.3%−17.2%56,250Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09Cross ShawndirectorSale15,896 @ $25.03$398K−22.0% of holding−6.9%−14.3%56,250Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17SLONIN JONATHANofficerSale3,960 @ $24.09$95K−2.2% of holding+10.3%−15.7%178,367Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10Cross ShawndirectorSale12,060 @ $22.09$266K−17.7% of holding+8.2%−9.7%56,250Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-04Ceesay AbrahamdirectorSale2,354 @ $27.19$64K−20.7% of holding−10.5%−21.9%9,039Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07BIGAL MARCELOdirectorSale4,912 @ $23.67$116K−30.1% of holding+9.9%−21.5%11,393Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-04WILLIAMS KRISTENofficerSale14,376 @ $26.24$377K−8.2% of holding−18.4%−25.8%161,574Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04RIKER LAURENofficerSale5,578 @ $26.21$146K−8.6% of holding−18.4%−25.8%59,564Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-06SLONIN JONATHANofficerSale879 @ $18.40$16K−0.9% of holding+39.1%+21.4%93,444Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-13GAUGLER DARYLofficerSale500 @ $19.76$10K−0.4% of holding+12.8%+22.1%115,200Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-10BIGAL MARCELOdirectorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10Brege LauradirectorAward / grant6,40530,120Form 4
2026-06-10Brege LauradirectorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10CHRISTIE CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant6,40523,059Form 4
2026-06-10CHRISTIE CHRISTOPHERdirectorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10Froimson MarkdirectorAward / grant6,40526,541Form 4
2026-06-10Froimson MarkdirectorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10Hirawat SamitdirectorAward / grant6,4056,405Form 4
2026-06-10Hirawat SamitdirectorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10YANG MICHAEL J.directorAward / grant6,40519,798Form 4
2026-06-10Young AlethiadirectorAward / grant6,40517,798Form 4
2026-06-10Young AlethiadirectorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10WIGGANS THOMAS GdirectorAward / grant32,67532,675Form 4
2026-06-10YANG MICHAEL J.directorAward / grant10,89110,891Form 4
2026-06-10BIGAL MARCELOdirectorAward / grant6,40517,798Form 4
2026-06-03WILLIAMS KRISTENofficerWithheld for tax8,528177,321Form 4
2026-06-03SLONIN JONATHANofficerWithheld for tax4,728218,912Form 4
2026-06-03RIKER LAURENofficerWithheld for tax3,18768,399Form 4
2026-04-23Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise12,941118,282Form 4
2026-04-23Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise12,941150,000Form 4
2026-04-22Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise1,500106,841Form 4
2026-04-22Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise1,500162,941Form 4
2026-04-21Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise2,845108,186Form 4
2026-04-21Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise2,845164,441Form 4
2026-04-20Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise7,714113,055Form 4
2026-04-20Cross ShawndirectorOption exercise7,714167,286Form 4
2026-02-11Lee Frank D.directorAward / grant261,818660,831Form 4
2026-02-11RIKER LAURENofficerAward / grant19,27371,586Form 4
2026-02-11Teehan BrendanofficerAward / grant51,714100,934Form 4
2026-02-11WILLIAMS KRISTENofficerAward / grant54,546185,849Form 4
2026-02-11SLONIN JONATHANofficerAward / grant54,546226,901Form 4
2026-02-11Cross ShawndirectorAward / grant49,091105,341Form 4
2026-01-30Lee Frank D.directorWithheld for tax41,488399,013Form 4
2026-01-30WILLIAMS KRISTENofficerWithheld for tax17,134144,440Form 4
2026-01-30SLONIN JONATHANofficerWithheld for tax6,168172,355Form 4
2026-01-30Teehan BrendanofficerWithheld for tax5,18249,220Form 4
2026-01-30RIKER LAURENofficerWithheld for tax2,75156,313Form 4
2026-01-27Hirawat SamitdirectorAward / grant39,29139,291Form 4
2026-01-02Lee Frank D.directorWithheld for tax9,272440,501Form 4
2026-01-02SLONIN JONATHANofficerWithheld for tax381178,523Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.