Issued 2026-09-16 at $51.97 · now $51.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PCOR has typically landed between $41.76 and $62.15 — a range of −19.6% to +19.6% from the issuance price $51.97.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,316 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-05-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($51.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PCOR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $51.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $51.97 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $51.86 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.3–$56.41
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.76–$62.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,316 windows spanning 2021-05-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-12 | −34.0% | −34.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | −33.5% | −33.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | −31.5% | −31.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-23 | +54.6% | +0.0% | +54.6% |
| 2026-07-22 | +51.9% | −1.4% | +51.9% |
| 2026-07-24 | +45.0% | +0.0% | +48.2% |
1,316 overlapping windows · 2021-05-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
−3.2%
n=5
Feb
60%
+5.4%
n=5
Mar
40%
−4.5%
n=5
Apr
0%
−7.9%
n=5
May
40%
−2.9%
n=5
Jun
50%
−0.0%
n=6
Jul
100%
+14.3%
n=6
Aug
33%
−3.8%
n=6
Sep
33%
−3.7%
n=6
Oct
80%
+2.8%
n=5
Nov
40%
+0.6%
n=5
Dec
20%
−0.3%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 46,419 @ $53.41 | $2.5M | −4.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 918,019 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 9,703 @ $53.81 | $522K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 908,316 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 7,452 @ $59.94 | $447K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 923,910 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 240 @ $60.61 | $15K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 923,670 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 5,294 @ $61.87 | $328K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 933,760 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 2,398 @ $62.38 | $150K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 931,362 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Singer Benjamin C | officer | Sale | 3,943 @ $63.35 | $250K | −4.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 86,931 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Steele Elisa | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $63.00 | $95K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 58,371 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Fleming William Fred Jr | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $58.95 | $590K | −8.7% of holding | −7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 104,981 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 43,480 @ $57.28 | $2.5M | −4.5% of holding | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 919,704 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 12,642 @ $56.54 | $715K | −1.3% of holding | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 963,184 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 7,692 @ $54.98 | $423K | −0.8% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 939,054 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 8,167 @ $55.05 | $450K | −0.9% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 950,678 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 3,932 @ $55.84 | $220K | −0.4% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 946,746 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 3,287 @ $53.52 | $176K | −0.3% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 958,845 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 42,911 @ $43.63 | $1.9M | −4.4% of holding | +31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 932,915 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 13,211 @ $44.76 | $591K | −1.4% of holding | +31.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 919,704 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 4,072 @ $42.99 | $175K | −0.4% of holding | +23.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 962,132 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-02 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 1,697 @ $42.40 | $72K | −0.2% of holding | +23.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 966,204 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 5,769 @ $41.93 | $242K | −0.6% of holding | +29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 967,901 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 5,769 @ $42.00 | $242K | −0.6% of holding | +10.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 973,670 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 5,658 @ $42.91 | $243K | −0.6% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 979,556 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 117 @ $43.26 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 979,439 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Purchase | 2 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 2 | — | −50.0% of holding | +0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Purchase | 2 | — | ownership Δ n/a | +0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-12 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 2 | — | −50.0% of holding | +0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 2 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 42,421 @ $45.29 | $1.9M | −4.4% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 919,704 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 13,701 @ $44.69 | $612K | −1.4% of holding | −2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 962,125 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Singer Benjamin C | officer | Sale | 3,942 @ $50.00 | $197K | −3.9% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,723 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 24,286 @ $50.26 | $1.2M | −2.5% of holding | −11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 959,416 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 21,287 @ $51.16 | $1.1M | −2.2% of holding | −11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 938,129 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 10,549 @ $52.69 | $556K | −1.1% of holding | −11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 927,580 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 5,565 @ $53.34 | $297K | −0.6% of holding | −19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 985,418 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 204 @ $54.07 | $11K | −0.0% of holding | −19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 985,214 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 3,239 @ $51.42 | $167K | −0.3% of holding | −18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 990,983 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 2,530 @ $50.62 | $128K | −0.3% of holding | −18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 994,222 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 48,465 @ $47.45 | $2.3M | −4.9% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 935,237 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 4,922 @ $48.43 | $238K | −0.5% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 930,315 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 2,735 @ $49.54 | $135K | −0.3% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 927,580 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 7,692 @ $57.48 | $442K | −0.8% of holding | −16.6% | −17.8% | 996,752 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 34,969 @ $56.99 | $2.0M | −3.6% of holding | −13.7% | −18.9% | 948,732 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 19,859 @ $57.58 | $1.1M | −2.1% of holding | −13.7% | −18.9% | 928,873 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 7,528 @ $57.23 | $431K | −0.7% of holding | −13.7% | −18.9% | 1,004,608 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Sale | 1,293 @ $58.41 | $76K | −0.1% of holding | −13.7% | −18.9% | 927,580 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 164 @ $58.03 | $10K | −0.0% of holding | −13.7% | −18.9% | 1,004,444 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 3,846 @ $55.08 | $212K | −0.4% of holding | +5.0% | +1.7% | 1,012,136 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 3,406 @ $54.39 | $185K | −0.3% of holding | +5.0% | +1.7% | 1,015,982 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 2,363 @ $53.62 | $127K | −0.2% of holding | +5.0% | +1.7% | 1,019,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 4,694 @ $50.29 | $236K | −0.5% of holding | +15.6% | +3.3% | 1,022,826 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 1,075 @ $51.52 | $55K | −0.1% of holding | +15.6% | +3.3% | 1,021,751 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Singer Benjamin C | officer | Sale | 4,225 @ $50.00 | $211K | −6.1% of holding | +14.1% | +7.1% | 64,660 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-23 | Singer Benjamin C | officer | Sale | 2,208 @ $50.20 | $111K | −3.1% of holding | +20.4% | +14.6% | 69,390 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Singer Benjamin C | officer | Sale | 505 @ $51.35 | $26K | −0.7% of holding | +20.4% | +14.6% | 68,885 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 7,351 @ $63.63 | $468K | −0.7% of holding | −23.9% | −41.9% | 1,027,861 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 341 @ $64.15 | $22K | −0.0% of holding | −23.9% | −41.9% | 1,027,520 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 5,834 @ $64.15 | $374K | −0.6% of holding | −17.5% | −43.0% | 1,037,070 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-21 | O CONNOR KEVIN J | director | Sale | 1,858 @ $64.80 | $120K | −0.2% of holding | −17.5% | −43.0% | 1,035,212 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Fu Howard | officer | Sale | 814 @ $72.99 | $59K | −0.5% of holding | −28.2% | −46.2% | 178,237 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | Fu Howard | officer | Sale | 796 @ $74.42 | $59K | −0.4% of holding | −13.3% | −56.8% | 179,051 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
230 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Option exercise | 56,122 | 964,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Courtemanche Craig F. Jr. | director | Option exercise | 56,122 | 56,122 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Griffith William J.G. | director | Other acquisition | 317,307 | 392,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 869,214 | 1,076,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | ICONIQ Strategic Partners III, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 813,479 | 1,007,520 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.