PCGPG&E CorporationUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.35 · now $13.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PCG has typically landed between $12.00 and $14.98 — a range of −10.1% to +12.2% from the issuance price $13.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PCG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$12worst · -10.1%$14.98best · +12.2%
  • now $13.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.57 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $13.01–$14.12
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12–$14.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2018-12-17−74.0%−74.0%+0.0%
2018-12-13−73.9%−73.9%+0.0%
2018-12-14−73.0%−73.4%+0.0%
3 best
2019-01-17+178.9%+0.0%+178.9%
2019-01-18+152.1%+0.0%+152.1%
2019-01-22+151.8%+0.0%+151.8%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$47.8B
market cap
$1.37
EPS (TTM)
13.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-22
next earnings
Revenue$24.9B
'20'25
Net income$2.7B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$3.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr10.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.88
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $13.35$11.94$32.33
  • DCF (intrinsic)$24.28
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$30.93
  • Analyst target · range $22.00–$28.00$23.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$13.35

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
39%
−1.8%
n=18
Feb
42%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
68%
+0.1%
n=19
Apr
68%
+4.1%
n=19
May
37%
−2.1%
n=19
Jun
58%
−0.7%
n=19
Jul
74%
+0.2%
n=19
Aug
58%
−1.8%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.3%
n=19
Oct
78%
+1.2%
n=18
Nov
56%
+0.4%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$19$132026-09-04: 1 insider sale, $89K — Fugate William Craig2026-07-22: 2 insider sales, $2.9M — Santos Marlene, Cooper Kerry Whorton2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $530K — Peterman Carla J2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $21K — Cooper Kerry Whorton2026-04-28: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — Glickman Jason M, Poppe Patricia K2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $47K — Cooper Kerry Whorton2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $582K — Peterman Carla J2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Singh Sumeet2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $821K — SIMON JOHN R2026-02-18: 2 insider sales, $638K — Poppe Patricia K, SIMON JOHN R2025-11-04: 1 insider purchase, $120K — LARSEN JOHN O2025-10-30: 1 insider sale, $470K — Glickman Jason M2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $106K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $470K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $120K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $1.5M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $551K2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $2.9M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $89K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Fugate William Craig — Sale on 2026-09-04, filed 5 days after the tradeother Santos Marlene — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cooper Kerry Whorton — Sale on 2026-07-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Peterman Carla J — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cooper Kerry Whorton — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Glickman Jason M — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed same daydirector Poppe Patricia K — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed same daydirector Cooper Kerry Whorton — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed same dayofficer Peterman Carla J — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed same dayofficer Singh Sumeet — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same dayofficer SIMON JOHN R — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed same daydirector Poppe Patricia K — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed same dayofficer SIMON JOHN R — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LARSEN JOHN O — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Glickman Jason M — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Fugate William CraigdirectorSale6,500 @ $13.76$89K−8.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open73,530Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-22Santos MarleneotherSale158,250 @ $18.00$2.8M−40.7% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open230,885Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-22Cooper Kerry WhortondirectorSale1,250 @ $18.00$23K−1.4% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open88,475Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15Peterman Carla JofficerSale31,786 @ $16.68$530K−16.3% of holding+6.3%not yet — horizon still open163,305Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02Cooper Kerry WhortondirectorSale1,250 @ $16.50$21K−1.4% of holding+4.9%not yet — horizon still open89,603Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28Glickman Jason MofficerSale47,264 @ $16.35$773K−25.7% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open136,433Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-28Poppe Patricia KdirectorSale31,250 @ $16.39$512K−1.4% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open2,273,268Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-17Cooper Kerry WhortondirectorSale2,500 @ $18.68$47K−3.3% of holding−10.0%−39.9%73,141Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Peterman Carla JofficerSale31,786 @ $18.31$582K−14.0% of holding−10.4%−42.1%195,091Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Singh SumeetofficerSale55,698 @ $18.32$1.0M−15.1% of holding+0.7%−36.7%312,803Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19SIMON JOHN RofficerSale45,607 @ $18.00$821K−10.4% of holding+0.7%−12.2%392,303Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18Poppe Patricia KdirectorSale31,250 @ $17.90$559K−1.6% of holding+5.6%−13.4%1,863,960Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18SIMON JOHN RofficerSale4,393 @ $18.01$79K−1.0% of holding+5.6%−13.4%437,910Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04LARSEN JOHN OdirectorPurchase7,500 @ $15.96$120K+70.7% of holding−6.5%−8.2%18,111Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-30Glickman Jason MofficerSale29,473 @ $15.95$470K−24.8% of holding−0.4%−3.7%89,179Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-11FERGUSON III MARK EdirectorSale7,000 @ $15.15$106K−14.4% of holding−1.6%+1.9%41,683Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-29Peterman Carla JofficerSale32,519 @ $17.30$563K−17.7% of holding−8.1%−31.4%151,116Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11DENAULT LEO PdirectorPurchase6,300 @ $15.96$101Kownership Δ n/a+5.0%−23.5%6,300Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Glickman Jason MofficerSale40,239 @ $15.71$632K−21.4% of holding+11.5%−22.3%148,124Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06Williams Stephanie NofficerSale14,984 @ $16.21$243K−39.5% of holding+13.9%−19.6%22,915Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-04Santos MarleneotherSale125,702 @ $16.37$2.1M−33.2% of holding+10.0%−16.8%252,393Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-04Peterman Carla JofficerSale32,521 @ $16.37$532K−15.0% of holding+10.0%−16.8%183,635Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-25Bahri RajatdirectorPurchase3,170 @ $15.79$50K+5.4% of holding+12.3%−14.4%61,533Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25HERNANDEZ CARLOS MdirectorPurchase3,142 @ $15.91$50K+9.8% of holding+12.3%−14.4%35,295Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21Denecour JessicadirectorPurchase1,347 @ $15.79$21K+2.3% of holding+11.1%−12.9%59,803Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-20Harris Arno LockheartdirectorPurchase6,389 @ $15.66$100K+75.4% of holding+14.9%−11.0%14,864Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

131 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant42134,931Form 4
2026-08-01Vallejo Alejandro TofficerWithheld for tax5,08670,143Form 4
2026-08-01Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant11,24075,229Form 4
2026-07-23Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant42234,510Form 4
2026-06-30DENAULT LEO PdirectorAward / grant1,93210,970Form 4
2026-06-23Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant44233,991Form 4
2026-06-05FERGUSON III MARK EdirectorGift10,67520,756Form 4
2026-06-05FERGUSON III MARK EdirectorGift10,67510,675Form 4
2026-05-22Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant44933,549Form 4
2026-05-21Fugate William CraigdirectorAward / grant10,94879,999Form 4
2026-05-21HERNANDEZ CARLOS MdirectorAward / grant10,94857,271Form 4
2026-05-21Harris Arno LockheartdirectorAward / grant10,94879,999Form 4
2026-05-21LARSEN JOHN OdirectorAward / grant10,94829,123Form 4
2026-05-21Smith William LloyddirectorAward / grant10,948253,410Form 4
2026-05-21Wilson Benjamin FrancisdirectorAward / grant10,94880,599Form 4
2026-05-21Campbell Cheryl F.directorAward / grant10,94885,596Form 4
2026-05-21Cannizzaro Edward GdirectorAward / grant10,94842,427Form 4
2026-05-21Cooper Kerry WhortondirectorAward / grant17,63990,853Form 4
2026-05-21DENAULT LEO PdirectorAward / grant10,94827,923Form 4
2026-05-21Denecour JessicadirectorAward / grant10,94881,715Form 4
2026-05-21FERGUSON III MARK EdirectorAward / grant10,94831,431Form 4
2026-05-21Bahri RajatdirectorAward / grant10,94883,169Form 4
2026-04-23Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant44033,100Form 4
2026-03-31DENAULT LEO PdirectorAward / grant1,8509,012Form 4
2026-03-23Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant42632,566Form 4
2026-03-16Burke Carolyn JeanneofficerWithheld for tax80,049149,511Form 4
2026-03-16Burke Carolyn JeanneofficerAward / grant144,806229,560Form 4
2026-03-13Vallejo Alejandro TofficerAward / grant1,58832,141Form 4
2026-03-04Poppe Patricia KdirectorAward / grant3,973348,744Form 4
2026-03-03Poppe Patricia KdirectorWithheld for tax39,972377,106Form 4
2026-03-03Singh SumeetofficerWithheld for tax8,749368,501Form 4
2026-03-03Santos MarleneotherWithheld for tax8,749389,135Form 4
2026-03-03Peterman Carla JofficerWithheld for tax5,888226,877Form 4
2026-03-03Glickman Jason MofficerWithheld for tax5,888183,697Form 4
2026-03-03SIMON JOHN RofficerWithheld for tax5,50094,159Form 4
2026-03-03Burke Carolyn JeanneofficerWithheld for tax4,06784,754Form 4
2026-03-03Waghray AjayofficerWithheld for tax3,143232,300Form 4
2026-03-03Williams Stephanie NofficerWithheld for tax1,10451,262Form 4
2026-03-03Vallejo Alejandro TofficerWithheld for tax1,10463,989Form 4
2026-03-03Poppe Patricia KdirectorGift32,335344,771Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-03-062025-02-26$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-02-112025-01-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousesale2021-09-232017-12-21$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousesale2021-09-232019-01-07$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousepurchase2021-09-232017-08-17$1–15K
Greg GianforteSenatesale2018-12-112018-11-19$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-12-102018-11-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-11-092018-10-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-11-092018-10-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-07-112018-06-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2018-06-082018-05-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.