PBLSParabilis Medicines, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $31.20 · now $31.20 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, PBLS has typically landed between $27.20 and $40.89 — a range of −12.8% to +31.1% from the issuance price $31.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

56 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-06-08 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($31.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where PBLS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $31.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$27.2worst · -12.8%$40.89best · +31.1%
  • now $31.2 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.91 (+15.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $33.29–$38.54
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $27.2–$40.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 56 windows spanning 2026-06-08 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-08-26−20.5%−20.5%+6.3%
2026-08-25−17.2%−17.2%+6.4%
2026-08-24−13.3%−13.3%+8.6%
3 best
2026-06-09+52.8%+0.0%+58.0%
2026-06-08+51.8%+0.0%+58.0%
2026-07-20+44.1%+0.0%+44.1%

56 overlapping windows · 2026-06-08 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Pending catalysts

  • 2027-04-01 — Trial primary completion: Phase 1/Phase PHASE2 primary completion: FOG-001 in Locally Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors (source, as of 2026-08-14)

Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$42$202026-07-22: 1 insider purchase, $1.4M — RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.2026-07-21: 3 insider purchases, $1.9M — RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. …2026-07-20: 2 insider purchases, $3.6M — RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. …2026-06-15: 2 insider purchases, $240K — SEBULSKY ALAN …2026-06-12: 1 insider purchase, $233K — SEBULSKY ALAN2026-06-11: 5 insider purchases, $434.0M — RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., Levy Guy, SEBULSKY ALAN …2026-06: 8 open-market purchases, $434.5M2026-07: 6 open-market purchases, $6.9M↑ buys↓ salesdirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-07-22, filed same daydirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-07-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SEBULSKY ALAN — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SEBULSKY ALAN — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SEBULSKY ALAN — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Levy Guy — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 18 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Levy Guy — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 18 days after the tradedirector SEBULSKY ALAN — Purchase on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-22RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase47,250 @ $29.77$1.4M+0.2% of holding+26.4%not yet — horizon still open26,529,686Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-21RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase37,723 @ $30.00$1.1M+0.1% of holding+34.8%not yet — horizon still open26,482,436Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-21RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase21,696 @ $27.96$607K+0.1% of holding+34.8%not yet — horizon still open26,438,209Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-21RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase6,504 @ $29.17$190K+0.0% of holding+34.8%not yet — horizon still open26,444,713Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-20RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase98,433 @ $27.13$2.7M+0.4% of holding+40.7%not yet — horizon still open26,383,526Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-20RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase32,987 @ $27.72$914K+0.1% of holding+40.7%not yet — horizon still open26,416,513Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15SEBULSKY ALANdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $26.00$130K+23.9% of holding+16.5%not yet — horizon still open25,935Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15SEBULSKY ALANdirectorPurchase4,065 @ $27.10$110K+15.7% of holding+16.5%not yet — horizon still open30,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12SEBULSKY ALANdirectorPurchase8,435 @ $27.67$233K+67.5% of holding+7.7%not yet — horizon still open20,935Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase19,728,353 @ $20.00$394.6M+300.9% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open26,285,093Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorPurchase1,460,397 @ $20.00$29.2M+122.9% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open2,648,278Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-11Levy GuytenPercentOwnerPurchase375,000 @ $20.00$7.5M+57.5% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open1,027,000Form 4 · filed 18 days after the trade
2026-06-11Levy GuytenPercentOwnerPurchase125,000 @ $20.00$2.5M+23.7% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open652,000Form 4 · filed 18 days after the trade
2026-06-11SEBULSKY ALANdirectorPurchase12,500 @ $20.00$250Kownership Δ n/a+0.6%not yet — horizon still open12,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

175 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-22Tendler CraigdirectorAward / grant20,29420,294Form 4
2026-06-11Levy GuytenPercentOwnerConversion527,070527,070Form 4
2026-06-11Levy GuytenPercentOwnerConversion527,0700Form 4
2026-06-11FITZGERALD EDWARD MdirectorConversion5,5395,539Form 4
2026-06-11FITZGERALD EDWARD MdirectorConversion3,8789,417Form 4
2026-06-11FITZGERALD EDWARD MdirectorConversion5,27114,688Form 4
2026-06-11FITZGERALD EDWARD MdirectorConversion5,3320Form 4
2026-06-11FITZGERALD EDWARD MdirectorConversion3,6660Form 4
2026-06-11FITZGERALD EDWARD MdirectorConversion8,1110Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion6,556,7406,556,740Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,187,8811,187,881Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion642,2500Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion160,5620Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion9,445,3630Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,666,8290Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion6,556,7406,556,740Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,187,8811,187,881Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion642,2500Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion160,5620Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion9,445,3630Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,666,8290Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion6,556,7406,556,740Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,187,8811,187,881Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion642,2500Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion160,5620Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion9,445,3630Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,666,8290Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion6,556,7406,556,740Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,187,8811,187,881Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion642,2500Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion160,5620Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion9,445,3630Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,666,8290Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion6,556,7406,556,740Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,187,8811,187,881Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion642,2500Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion160,5620Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion9,445,3630Form 4
2026-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorConversion1,666,8290Form 4
2026-06-11Flynn James EdirectorConversion122,990122,990Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.