Issued 2026-09-16 at $46.86 · now $46.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PBH has typically landed between $41.88 and $52.15 — a range of −10.6% to +11.3% from the issuance price $46.86.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($46.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PBH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $46.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $46.86 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $46.78 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $44.37–$49.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.88–$52.15
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-09 | −41.8% | −41.8% | +0.0% |
| 2008-12-31 | −39.7% | −43.7% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-06 | −39.2% | −39.9% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-05-12 | +47.2% | +0.0% | +47.7% |
| 2008-12-01 | +45.7% | +0.0% | +45.7% |
| 2008-05-08 | +41.2% | −0.1% | +47.5% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 351 @ $52.28 | $18K | −0.8% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,810 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 305 @ $54.36 | $17K | −0.7% of holding | −13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 42,161 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,207 @ $54.99 | $66K | −2.7% of holding | −23.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 42,820 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 346 @ $55.32 | $19K | −0.8% of holding | −23.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,334 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $65.93 | $66K | −2.4% of holding | −2.6% | −35.2% | 41,048 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 281 @ $60.00 | $17K | −0.7% of holding | +2.4% | −35.7% | 42,048 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 719 @ $60.00 | $43K | −1.7% of holding | +3.7% | −34.8% | 42,329 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | BYOM JOHN E | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $59.35 | $178K | −5.5% of holding | +3.9% | −32.2% | 51,594 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Fritz Mary Beth | officer | Sale | 1,678 @ $90.00 | $151K | −8.9% of holding | +3.1% | −40.7% | 17,157 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Fritz Mary Beth | officer | Sale | 6,297 @ $85.39 | $538K | −25.1% of holding | +4.2% | −32.3% | 18,835 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Sale | 5,683 @ $86.30 | $490K | −23.6% of holding | +5.3% | −29.9% | 18,365 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Sale | 5,400 @ $86.82 | $469K | −22.7% of holding | +5.3% | −29.9% | 18,365 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
81 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | BYOM JOHN E | director | Award / grant | 2,981 | 54,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | DArecca James | director | Award / grant | 2,981 | 9,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Kelly John F. | director | Award / grant | 2,981 | 7,832 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | ZIER DAWN M. | director | Award / grant | 2,981 | 19,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Clark Celeste A. | director | Award / grant | 2,981 | 16,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,543 | 373,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Sacco Christine | officer | Withheld for tax | 991 | 71,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Withheld for tax | 487 | 25,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 351 | 42,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,197 | 376,008 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Sacco Christine | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,267 | 72,627 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 307 | 44,027 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Withheld for tax | 16,789 | 358,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Sacco Christine | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,434 | 61,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | P'Pool William | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,888 | 23,962 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,695 | 22,176 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,243 | 41,823 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | P'Pool William | officer | Award / grant | 4,187 | 28,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Sacco Christine | officer | Award / grant | 7,008 | 65,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 2,450 | 43,066 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Sacco Christine | officer | Award / grant | 11,976 | 73,894 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Award / grant | 4,014 | 26,190 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | P'Pool William | officer | Award / grant | 3,675 | 25,850 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 2,857 | 44,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Award / grant | 3,505 | 23,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Award / grant | 19,662 | 378,205 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Award / grant | 31,468 | 375,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,665 | 343,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Sacco Christine | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,091 | 58,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | P'Pool William | officer | Withheld for tax | 599 | 22,175 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Mekhail Adel | officer | Withheld for tax | 542 | 20,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Zerillo Jeffrey | officer | Withheld for tax | 432 | 40,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Rosado Jose Luis | officer | Award / grant | 3,426 | 3,436 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | DArecca James | director | Award / grant | 2,094 | 6,591 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | ZIER DAWN M. | director | Award / grant | 2,094 | 16,533 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | Kelly John F. | director | Award / grant | 2,094 | 4,851 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | BYOM JOHN E | director | Award / grant | 2,094 | 54,594 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | Hopkins Sheila | director | Award / grant | 2,094 | 30,123 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-05 | Clark Celeste A. | director | Award / grant | 2,094 | 13,530 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-07 | Lombardi Ronald M. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,305 | 346,529 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.