Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.28 · now $8.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PANL has typically landed between $6.85 and $9.95 — a range of −17.3% to +20.2% from the issuance price $8.28.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,182 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-12-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PANL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.28 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.41 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.72–$9.1
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.85–$9.95
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-19 | −44.9% | −44.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −43.6% | −44.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −42.3% | −42.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-10-12 | +109.8% | +0.0% | +109.8% |
| 2017-10-11 | +103.5% | +0.0% | +103.5% |
| 2017-10-16 | +98.3% | −1.1% | +107.4% |
3,182 overlapping windows · 2013-12-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | ROSENFELD ERIC | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $8.37 | $837K | −15.7% of holding | −14.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 536,845 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | DelSignore Gianni | officer | Sale | 23,779 @ $6.99 | $166K | −5.9% of holding | +2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 378,668 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Petersen Mads Rosenber Boye | officer | Sale | 19,572 @ $7.06 | $138K | −2.8% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 680,016 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-16 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 39,524 @ $4.63 | $183K | +0.2% of holding | +7.2% | +47.9% | 18,870,317 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,918 @ $4.49 | $27K | +0.0% of holding | +8.5% | +45.7% | 18,830,793 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-03 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 25,500 @ $4.48 | $114K | +0.1% of holding | +8.7% | +42.0% | 18,824,875 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 50,000 @ $4.44 | $222K | +0.3% of holding | +10.7% | +48.4% | 18,799,375 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-30 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 19,205 @ $4.49 | $86K | +0.1% of holding | +2.8% | +42.9% | 18,749,375 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,620 @ $4.49 | $16K | +0.0% of holding | +0.0% | +44.1% | 18,730,170 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Beachy Karen H | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $4.54 | $50K | −16.3% of holding | +8.8% | +37.6% | 56,670 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | FILANOWSKI MARK L | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $4.75 | $95K | +4.2% of holding | +0.9% | +28.0% | 500,679 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 23,547 @ $4.43 | $104K | +0.1% of holding | +0.1% | +23.8% | 18,726,550 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 17,384 @ $4.36 | $76K | +0.1% of holding | +9.5% | +41.5% | 18,703,003 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-16 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 16,966 @ $4.35 | $74K | +0.1% of holding | +9.0% | +37.7% | 18,685,619 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 75,000 @ $4.29 | $322K | +0.4% of holding | +8.7% | +40.2% | 18,668,653 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-11 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 6,504 @ $4.24 | $28K | +0.0% of holding | −9.4% | −12.5% | 18,593,653 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-10 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 75,000 @ $4.24 | $318K | +0.4% of holding | −6.4% | −14.6% | 18,587,149 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 7,807 @ $4.10 | $32K | +0.0% of holding | −11.6% | −10.7% | 18,512,149 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-08 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 75,000 @ $4.16 | $312K | +0.4% of holding | −11.7% | −10.2% | 18,504,342 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-07 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 50,000 @ $4.14 | $207K | +0.3% of holding | −13.8% | −10.4% | 18,429,342 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-04 | Strategic Shipping Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 20,000 @ $4.06 | $81K | +0.1% of holding | −13.6% | −7.9% | 18,379,342 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | Petersen Mads Rosenber Boye | officer | Award / grant | 23,710 | 727,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Schildt Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 10,284 | 28,068 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | DelSignore Gianni | officer | Award / grant | 12,794 | 391,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | DelSignore Gianni | officer | Award / grant | 12,794 | 404,256 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Schildt Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 10,284 | 17,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Petersen Mads Rosenber Boye | officer | Award / grant | 23,710 | 703,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Laura Anthony | director | Gift | 14,140 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Laura Anthony | director | Award / grant | 7,070 | 714,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Laura Anthony | director | Award / grant | 7,070 | 714,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | DU MOULIN RICHARD T | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 280,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | ROSENFELD ERIC | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 636,845 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Boggild Carl Claus | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 8,379,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laura Anthony | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 37,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Leand Paul M. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 14,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | DAVIS EUGENE I | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 14,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Vogel Gary | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 37,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Sgro David | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 361,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Beachy Karen H | director | Award / grant | 14,151 | 70,821 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | Laura Anthony | director | Gift | 23,088 | 14,140 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | Laura Anthony | director | Award / grant | 11,544 | 706,973 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | Laura Anthony | director | Award / grant | 11,544 | 706,983 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Beachy Karen H | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 67,670 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | ROSENFELD ERIC | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 622,694 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Sgro David | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 347,660 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | DU MOULIN RICHARD T | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 266,118 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Boggild Carl Claus | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 8,365,270 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Laura Anthony | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 23,077 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Tan Christina | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 23,077 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-19 | Vogel Gary | director | Award / grant | 23,077 | 23,077 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Schildt Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 7,500 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | DelSignore Gianni | officer | Award / grant | 40,385 | 402,447 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | Petersen Mads Rosenber Boye | officer | Award / grant | 49,038 | 699,588 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-18 | FILANOWSKI MARK L | director | Award / grant | 84,615 | 480,679 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.