Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.11 · now $84.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PAM has typically landed between $71.76 and $101.55 — a range of −14.7% to +20.7% from the issuance price $84.11.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,238 overlapping 1 month windows · 2009-10-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where PAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $84.11 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $86.09 (+2.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $79.81–$92.36
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $71.76–$101.55
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2019-08-02 | −62.1% | −62.1% | +8.9% |
| 2019-08-01 | −59.5% | −59.5% | +9.6% |
| 2019-07-31 | −59.1% | −59.1% | +6.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2015-02-19 | +63.6% | +0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2015-10-01 | +62.3% | +0.0% | +63.2% |
| 2015-09-30 | +59.5% | −2.3% | +59.5% |
4,238 overlapping windows · 2009-10-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 500,000 @ $3.44 | $1.7M | +2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,680,592 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 150,000 @ $3.38 | $507K | +0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,180,592 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 675,000 @ $3.38 | $2.3M | +3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,030,592 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 902,975 @ $3.34 | $3.0M | +4.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,355,592 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 396,950 @ $3.35 | $1.3M | +2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 20,452,617 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,500,000 @ $3.54 | $5.3M | −7.0% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,055,667 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,502,000 @ $3.41 | $5.1M | −6.5% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,555,667 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 287,916 @ $3.37 | $969K | +1.3% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,057,667 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 383,600 @ $3.37 | $1.3M | +1.7% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,769,751 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 739,178 @ $3.35 | $2.5M | +3.4% of holding | +7.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,386,151 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 555,000 @ $3.55 | $2.0M | −4.2% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,541,870 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 814,000 @ $3.69 | $3.0M | −5.9% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,096,870 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Purchase | 275,000 @ $3.37 | $926K | +1.3% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,646,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,800,000 @ $3.48 | $6.3M | −6.7% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,971,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,800,000 @ $3.35 | $6.0M | −7.2% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,171,973 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Mariani Gustavo | officer | Purchase | 25,000 @ $81.02 | $2.0M | +1.6% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,591,184 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | Mariani Gustavo | officer | Purchase | 25,000 @ $81.40 | $2.0M | +1.6% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,566,184 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,500,000 @ $3.51 | $5.3M | −5.7% of holding | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,971,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,250,000 @ $3.43 | $4.3M | −8.2% of holding | −2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,971,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Sale | 1,675,000 @ $3.54 | $5.9M | −9.9% of holding | −9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,221,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 57,500 @ $3.47 | $200K | −0.4% of holding | −17.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,910,870 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 500,000 @ $3.57 | $1.8M | −3.5% of holding | −16.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,968,370 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-20 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 477 @ $3.65 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,468,370 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-19 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 300,000 @ $3.41 | $1.0M | −2.0% of holding | −13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,468,847 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 325,000 @ $3.40 | $1.1M | −2.2% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,768,847 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Mindlin Damian Miguel | officer | Sale | 104,000 @ $3.59 | $373K | −0.7% of holding | −12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,093,847 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
6 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Conversion | 500,000 | 6,390,339 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Mindlin Marcos Marcelo | director | Conversion | 12,500,000 | 26,471,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Zuberbuhler Adolfo Fernando | officer | Award / grant | 12,923 | 2,759 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Sigwald Carolina | officer | Award / grant | 49,933 | 295,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Espinosa Paz Josefina | director | Award / grant | 1,089 | 1,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | de la Fuente Mariana | officer | Award / grant | 21,587 | 52,037 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.