PAL · TickerCove

PALProficient Auto Logistics, Inc. Common StockIndustrials · Integrated Freight & Logisticsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.77 · now $4.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, PAL has typically landed between $3.38 and $6.17 — a range of −29.1% to +29.4% from the issuance price $4.77.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

569 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-05-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$4.77 · 0% of range

$4.77 low$10.54 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.6%

typical move · IQR 26.2%

−29.1%worst (p90)+29.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where PAL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $4.77 (+0.0%)
typical $4.69 (-1.6%)
middle 50% $4.07–$5.32
90% range $3.38–$6.17

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 569 windows spanning 2024-05-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-09-24	−47.7%	−47.7%	+0.0%
2024-09-25	−46.7%	−46.7%	+0.0%
2024-09-23	−46.5%	−46.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-05-15	+59.8%	+0.0%	+70.7%
2025-11-10	+55.8%	+0.0%	+55.8%
2025-11-11	+55.3%	+0.0%	+55.3%

569 overlapping windows · 2024-05-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+13.2%

n=2

Feb

50%

−9.3%

n=2

Mar

−15.2%

n=2

Apr

50%

+3.8%

n=2

May

−14.3%

n=2

Jun

67%

+6.5%

n=3

Jul

67%

+7.0%

n=3

Aug

33%

−5.9%

n=3

Sep

−14.5%

n=3

Oct

50%

−16.8%

n=2

Nov

100%

+18.2%

n=2

Dec

50%

−2.2%

n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	Rice Amy F.	officer	Sale	5,808 @ $5.61	$33K	−14.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	34,132	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14	Lal Rohit	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $5.53	$55K	+16.2% of holding	−9.2%	not yet — horizon still open	71,903	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-13	Lal Rohit	director	Purchase	40,000 @ $5.43	$217K	+182.6% of holding	−7.5%	not yet — horizon still open	61,903	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Purchase	4,000 @ $5.55	$22K	+6.0% of holding	−7.5%	not yet — horizon still open	70,200	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13	Rice Amy F.	officer	Purchase	995 @ $5.55	$6K	+5.7% of holding	−7.5%	not yet — horizon still open	18,385	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Sale	27,191 @ $5.03	$137K	−2.8% of holding	+46.9%	not yet — horizon still open	936,908	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Sale	33,743 @ $5.08	$171K	−3.4% of holding	+58.2%	not yet — horizon still open	964,099	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Purchase	3,132 @ $5.15	$16K	+5.0% of holding	+58.2%	not yet — horizon still open	66,020	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Purchase	668 @ $5.15	$3K	+50.1% of holding	+58.2%	not yet — horizon still open	2,002	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16	Lal Rohit	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $6.38	$64K	+100.0% of holding	+4.3%	−37.9%	20,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	Skiadas John	director	Sale	18,270 @ $7.27	$133K	−1.0% of holding	+31.1%	−39.9%	1,852,597	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-21	Skiadas John	director	Sale	41,100 @ $7.34	$301K	−2.1% of holding	+31.6%	−42.6%	1,870,867	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-20	Skiadas John	director	Sale	6,620 @ $7.37	$49K	−0.3% of holding	+35.9%	−41.3%	1,911,967	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19	Skiadas John	director	Sale	9,010 @ $7.23	$65K	−0.5% of holding	+32.0%	−42.9%	1,918,587	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-15	Rice Amy F.	officer	Sale	6,100 @ $7.82	$48K	−26.0% of holding	−8.0%	−14.1%	17,390	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-16	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Sale	49,300 @ $8.24	$406K	−5.6% of holding	−20.5%	−29.5%	836,172	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-15	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Sale	15,000 @ $8.15	$122K	−1.7% of holding	−15.2%	−18.1%	885,472	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-12	Rice Amy F.	officer	Purchase	1,200 @ $7.59	$9K	+163.3% of holding	−12.2%	−39.0%	1,935	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-27	Rice Amy F.	officer	Purchase	500 @ $10.00	$5K	ownership Δ n/a	−7.6%	−32.3%	500	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

57 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-14	Rice Amy F.	officer	Option exercise	21,555	39,940	Form 4
2026-08-14	Rice Amy F.	officer	Option exercise	21,555	21,556	Form 4
2026-08-11	Smith Adam Jeffrey	officer	Award / grant	27,248	27,248	Form 4
2026-08-11	Evans Jason	officer	Award / grant	27,248	27,248	Form 4
2026-05-13	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Option exercise	161,670	997,842	Form 4
2026-05-13	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Option exercise	29,444	62,888	Form 4
2026-05-13	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Option exercise	161,670	485,015	Form 4
2026-05-13	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Option exercise	29,444	29,445	Form 4
2026-05-07	ALUTTO CHARLES A	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-07	COL DOUGLAS L	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-07	Lal Rohit	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-07	Frank Brenda R	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-07	Lux Steven F	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-07	Gattoni James B	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-07	Schraudenbach John	director	Award / grant	10,295	10,295	Form 4
2026-05-06	Gattoni James B	director	Option exercise	9,135	0	Form 4
2026-05-06	Lal Rohit	director	Option exercise	1,903	21,903	Form 4
2026-05-06	Lal Rohit	director	Option exercise	1,903	0	Form 4
2026-05-06	Lux Steven F	director	Option exercise	9,481	611,957	Form 4
2026-05-06	Lux Steven F	director	Option exercise	9,481	0	Form 4
2026-05-06	Gattoni James B	director	Option exercise	9,135	34,135	Form 4
2026-05-06	Schraudenbach John	director	Option exercise	9,135	0	Form 4
2026-05-06	ALUTTO CHARLES A	director	Option exercise	9,135	52,385	Form 4
2026-05-06	ALUTTO CHARLES A	director	Option exercise	9,135	0	Form 4
2026-05-06	COL DOUGLAS L	director	Option exercise	9,135	43,260	Form 4
2026-05-06	Schraudenbach John	director	Option exercise	9,135	24,135	Form 4
2026-05-06	Frank Brenda R	director	Option exercise	9,135	17,583	Form 4
2026-05-06	Frank Brenda R	director	Option exercise	9,135	0	Form 4
2026-05-06	COL DOUGLAS L	director	Option exercise	9,135	0	Form 4
2026-02-26	Lal Rohit	director	Award / grant	1,903	1,903	Form 4
2026-02-13	Rice Amy F.	officer	Award / grant	25,818	25,818	Form 4
2026-02-13	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Award / grant	23,237	23,237	Form 4
2025-08-15	Lux Steven F	director	Award / grant	9,481	9,481	Form 4
2025-08-14	Rice Amy F.	officer	Option exercise	21,555	23,490	Form 4
2025-08-14	Rice Amy F.	officer	Option exercise	21,555	43,111	Form 4
2025-05-13	Wright Bradley J.	officer	Option exercise	29,444	58,889	Form 4
2025-05-13	ODELL RICHARD D	director	Option exercise	161,670	900,472	Form 4
2025-05-13	COL DOUGLAS L	director	Award / grant	9,135	9,135	Form 4
2025-05-13	Skiadas John	director	Other acquisition	208,866	2,061,463	Form 4
2025-05-13	ALUTTO CHARLES A	director	Option exercise	5,000	43,250	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i