OXMOxford Industries, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Manufacturersas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $29.25 · now $29.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OXM has typically landed between $23.74 and $34.73 — a range of −18.8% to +18.7% from the issuance price $29.25.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($29.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OXM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $29.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$23.74worst · -18.8%$34.73best · +18.7%
  • now $29.25 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $29 (-0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $26.88–$31.12
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $23.74–$34.73
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-30−56.6%−56.6%+6.8%
2008-11-04−56.4%−59.2%+0.0%
2008-10-31−56.1%−59.4%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-09+105.9%+0.0%+122.2%
2009-03-05+105.4%−7.5%+105.4%
2009-03-11+104.1%+0.0%+104.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.8%
n=20
Feb
65%
−0.6%
n=20
Mar
60%
+4.2%
n=20
Apr
60%
+5.5%
n=20
May
45%
+0.1%
n=20
Jun
45%
−2.4%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.3%
n=20
Aug
60%
+1.1%
n=20
Sep
40%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
40%
−3.0%
n=20
Nov
65%
+2.6%
n=20
Dec
50%
+0.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$48$292026-09-15: 1 insider purchase, $30K — GRASSMYER SCOTT2026-09-09: 1 insider purchase, $108K — Chubb Thomas Caldecot III2026-06-12: 1 insider purchase, $92K — Chubb Thomas Caldecot III2025-12-12: 1 insider purchase, $176K — Chubb Thomas Caldecot III2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $12K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $176K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $92K2026-09: 2 open-market purchases, $138K↑ buys↓ salesofficer GRASSMYER SCOTT — Purchase on 2026-09-15, filed same daydirector Chubb Thomas Caldecot III — Purchase on 2026-09-09, filed same daydirector Chubb Thomas Caldecot III — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Chubb Thomas Caldecot III — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15GRASSMYER SCOTTofficerPurchase1,000 @ $29.73$30K+2.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open38,636Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-09Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorPurchase3,500 @ $30.93$108K+11.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open33,700Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $36.90$92K+9.0% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open30,200Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-12Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $35.12$176K+28.2% of holding+14.5%−2.4%22,709Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorPurchase318 @ $38.19$12K+0.3% of holding+12.3%−9.9%94,031Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-18Trauber Robert S.officerPurchase10,000 @ $41.38$414K+297.3% of holding−2.0%−19.6%13,364Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-16Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorPurchase6,500 @ $40.12$261K+12.4% of holding−1.5%−20.7%59,063Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-02McGuirt Milford WdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $58.70$59K+16.2% of holding−17.0%−50.2%7,180Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-14Hernandez TraceyofficerSale1,250 @ $86.92$109K−42.6% of holding−16.9%−57.2%1,681Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-22Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOther acquisition21,66030,200Form 4
2026-07-22Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOther acquisition21,66021,660Form 4
2026-07-20Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOther acquisition11,7850Form 4
2026-07-20Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOther acquisition11,78551,860Form 4
2026-07-17Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOther acquisition9,87511,785Form 4
2026-07-17Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOther acquisition9,87540,075Form 4
2026-06-30GRASSMYER SCOTTofficerAward / grant16037,636Form 4
2026-06-30Campbell Thomas EofficerAward / grant10029,986Form 4
2026-06-30TUGGLE CLYDE CdirectorAward / grant3,87123,618Form 4
2026-06-30HOLDER JOHN RdirectorAward / grant3,87144,106Form 4
2026-06-30Hepner Virginia AdirectorAward / grant3,87117,026Form 4
2026-06-30LANIER STEPHEN SdirectorAward / grant3,87181,755Form 4
2026-06-30LOVE DENNIS MdirectorAward / grant7,02529,653Form 4
2026-06-30McGuirt Milford WdirectorAward / grant3,87114,405Form 4
2026-06-30Yancey Carol BdirectorAward / grant3,87111,171Form 4
2026-06-30BALLARD HELENdirectorAward / grant3,87124,606Form 4
2026-05-29Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorWithheld for tax4,00927,700Form 4
2026-05-29GRASSMYER SCOTTofficerWithheld for tax1,52937,476Form 4
2026-05-29Wood Douglas BofficerWithheld for tax95925,559Form 4
2026-05-29Palakshappa Suraj AofficerWithheld for tax85115,918Form 4
2026-05-29Kelly Michelle MofficerWithheld for tax81652,378Form 4
2026-05-29Hernandez TraceyofficerWithheld for tax7664,419Form 4
2026-05-29Campbell Thomas EofficerWithheld for tax76629,886Form 4
2026-05-29Wood Douglas BofficerOption exercise2,40026,518Form 4
2026-05-29Wood Douglas BofficerOption exercise2,40019,025Form 4
2026-05-29GRASSMYER SCOTTofficerOption exercise3,50039,005Form 4
2026-05-29GRASSMYER SCOTTofficerOption exercise3,50023,500Form 4
2026-05-29Hernandez TraceyofficerOption exercise1,8005,185Form 4
2026-05-29Hernandez TraceyofficerOption exercise1,80010,700Form 4
2026-05-29Kelly Michelle MofficerOption exercise1,92053,194Form 4
2026-05-29Kelly Michelle MofficerOption exercise1,92015,350Form 4
2026-05-29Palakshappa Suraj AofficerOption exercise2,00016,769Form 4
2026-05-29Palakshappa Suraj AofficerOption exercise2,00011,200Form 4
2026-05-29Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOption exercise9,00078,500Form 4
2026-05-29Chubb Thomas Caldecot IIIdirectorOption exercise9,00031,709Form 4
2026-05-29Campbell Thomas EofficerOption exercise1,80010,750Form 4
2026-05-29Campbell Thomas EofficerOption exercise1,80030,652Form 4
2026-03-31Campbell Thomas EofficerAward / grant58928,852Form 4
2026-03-31GRASSMYER SCOTTofficerAward / grant52435,505Form 4
2026-03-31Palakshappa Suraj AofficerAward / grant34714,769Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.