OWLTOwlet, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.54 · now $4.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OWLT has typically landed between $2.97 and $6.45 — a range of −34.7% to +42.2% from the issuance price $4.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,450 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-11-052026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OWLT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.97worst · -34.7%$6.45best · +42.2%
  • now $4.54 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.41 (-2.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.72$5.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.97$6.45
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,450 windows spanning 2020-11-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-06-03−65.8%−68.3%+0.0%
2022-06-02−64.6%−67.0%+4.2%
2022-05-31−64.6%−65.6%+8.5%
3 best
2022-02-23+148.9%+0.0%+148.9%
2022-02-22+148.8%+0.0%+148.8%
2022-02-18+135.0%+0.0%+135.0%

1,450 overlapping windows · 2020-11-052026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
−14.8%
n=6
Feb
50%
+7.3%
n=6
Mar
17%
−7.2%
n=6
Apr
50%
−1.2%
n=6
May
50%
+4.0%
n=6
Jun
83%
+10.1%
n=6
Jul
50%
+1.6%
n=6
Aug
33%
−16.2%
n=6
Sep
33%
+1.1%
n=6
Oct
40%
−6.1%
n=5
Nov
60%
+14.5%
n=5
Dec
50%
−8.3%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$17$42026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $79K — Crawford Amanda2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $146K — Harris Jonathan2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $38K — Harris Jonathan2026-01-20: 2 insider sales, $33K — Harris Jonathan, Crawford Amanda2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $36K — Harris Jonathan2025-10-16: 2 insider sales, $18K — Harris Jonathan, Crawford Amanda2025-10-03: 1 insider sale, $415K — Workman Kurt2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $7K — Workman Kurt2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $30K — Crawford Amanda2025-08-19: 1 insider sale, $26K — Harris Jonathan2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $26K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $37K2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $433K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $36K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $33K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $263K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Crawford Amanda — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 62 days after the tradeofficer Harris Jonathan — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 63 days after the tradeofficer Harris Jonathan — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 72 days after the tradeofficer Harris Jonathan — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Crawford Amanda — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Harris Jonathan — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 164 days after the tradeofficer Harris Jonathan — Sale on 2025-10-16, filed 196 days after the tradeofficer Crawford Amanda — Sale on 2025-10-16, filed 196 days after the tradedirector Workman Kurt — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed 209 days after the tradedirector Workman Kurt — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 225 days after the tradeofficer Crawford Amanda — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 232 days after the tradeofficer Harris Jonathan — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 254 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-27Crawford AmandaofficerSale6,892 @ $11.50$79K−3.1% of holding−53.2%−69.5%212,800Form 4 · filed 62 days after the trade
2026-02-26Harris JonathanofficerSale12,676 @ $11.50$146K−3.6% of holding−51.5%−69.3%339,336Form 4 · filed 63 days after the trade
2026-02-17Harris JonathanofficerSale3,540 @ $10.65$38K−1.1% of holding−47.2%−58.7%310,346Form 4 · filed 72 days after the trade
2026-01-20Harris JonathanofficerSale2,311 @ $13.33$31K−0.9% of holding−17.3%−71.3%264,396Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-20Crawford AmandaofficerSale183 @ $13.33$2K−0.1% of holding−17.3%−71.3%150,325Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Harris JonathanofficerSale3,423 @ $10.49$36K−1.1% of holding+9.7%−59.3%313,886Form 4 · filed 164 days after the trade
2025-10-16Harris JonathanofficerSale1,851 @ $8.75$16K−0.6% of holding+20.2%−40.2%317,309Form 4 · filed 196 days after the trade
2025-10-16Crawford AmandaofficerSale149 @ $8.75$1K−0.1% of holding+20.2%−40.2%198,859Form 4 · filed 196 days after the trade
2025-10-03Workman KurtdirectorSale49,056 @ $8.46$415K−11.4% of holding−1.8%−41.6%382,080Form 4 · filed 209 days after the trade
2025-09-17Workman KurtdirectorSale1,014 @ $7.25$7K−0.2% of holding+14.6%−29.2%417,038Form 4 · filed 225 days after the trade
2025-09-10Crawford AmandaofficerSale4,225 @ $7.06$30K−2.7% of holding+27.4%−24.2%150,989Form 4 · filed 232 days after the trade
2025-08-19Harris JonathanofficerSale3,315 @ $7.72$26K−1.3% of holding+8.4%+45.9%259,136Form 4 · filed 254 days after the trade
2025-07-17Harris JonathanofficerSale1,945 @ $8.03$16K−0.7% of holding−5.8%+58.5%262,451Form 4 · filed 287 days after the trade
2025-07-17Crawford AmandaofficerSale157 @ $8.03$1K−0.1% of holding−5.8%+58.5%155,214Form 4 · filed 287 days after the trade
2025-06-16Workman KurtdirectorSale1,119 @ $6.88$8K−0.3% of holding+16.1%+80.2%418,052Form 4 · filed 318 days after the trade
2025-05-19Harris JonathanofficerSale3,565 @ $5.11$18K−1.3% of holding+38.9%+110.2%266,707Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-16Harris JonathanofficerSale1,817 @ $3.20$6K−0.7% of holding+49.6%+139.0%270,272Form 4 · filed 35 days after the trade
2025-04-16Crawford AmandaofficerSale142 @ $3.20$454−0.1% of holding+49.6%+139.0%155,371Form 4 · filed 379 days after the trade
2025-04-08Harris JonathanofficerSale5,184 @ $3.19$17K−1.9% of holding+16.5%+139.9%272,089Form 4 · filed 43 days after the trade
2025-03-18Workman KurtdirectorSale1,044 @ $4.26$4K−0.2% of holding−18.3%+56.3%419,171Form 4 · filed 408 days after the trade
2025-01-16Harris JonathanofficerSale7,740 @ $4.30$33K−2.7% of holding+9.8%+72.7%280,877Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-01-16Crawford AmandaofficerSale182 @ $4.30$783−0.1% of holding+9.8%+72.7%150,508Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-01-07Harris JonathanofficerSale16,439 @ $4.45$73K−5.4% of holding+3.9%+85.9%288,617Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2024-12-16Workman KurtdirectorSale893 @ $4.86$4K−0.3% of holding−11.7%+45.7%338,769Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-11-18Harris JonathanofficerSale3,604 @ $4.45$16K−1.3% of holding−0.1%+13.0%277,273Form 4 · filed 184 days after the trade
2024-10-17Crawford AmandaofficerSale140 @ $4.92$689−0.1% of holding−9.9%−27.2%155,513Form 4 · filed 560 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Durr LauradirectorAward / grant26,785127,454Form 4
2026-08-12Gonzales MelissadirectorAward / grant26,785114,690Form 4
2026-08-12BURKE ZANE MdirectorAward / grant26,785134,787Form 4
2026-08-12Kim John C.directorAward / grant26,785278,811Form 4
2026-08-12Stoll Marc FdirectorAward / grant26,78545,781Form 4
2026-07-08Workman KurtdirectorWithheld for tax21,0011,211,079Form 4
2026-04-28Workman KurtdirectorAward / grant850,0001,232,080Form 4
2026-04-15Crawford AmandaofficerWithheld for tax141159,679Form 4
2026-04-03Crawford AmandaofficerAward / grant32,032169,062Form 4
2026-04-03Crawford AmandaofficerWithheld for tax9,242159,820Form 4
2026-03-25Crawford AmandaofficerWithheld for tax19,191131,134Form 4
2026-02-26Harris JonathanofficerAward / grant41,666352,012Form 4
2026-02-25Crawford AmandaofficerAward / grant20,833219,692Form 4
2025-10-16Kim John C.directorAward / grant18,996252,026Form 4
2025-10-16BURKE ZANE MdirectorAward / grant18,996108,002Form 4
2025-10-16Stoll Marc FdirectorAward / grant18,99618,996Form 4
2025-10-16Durr LauradirectorAward / grant18,996100,669Form 4
2025-10-16Gonzales MelissadirectorAward / grant18,99687,905Form 4
2025-10-10Trilogy Equity Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion712,9150Form 4
2025-10-10Trilogy Equity Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion444,6010Form 4
2025-10-10Kim John C.directorDisposition131,1950Form 4
2025-10-10Kim John C.directorDisposition48,6210Form 4
2025-10-10Workman KurtdirectorDisposition131,1950Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition5,300,2910Form 4
2025-10-10Susan LiordirectorDisposition5,300,2910Form 4
2025-10-10Trilogy Equity Partners, LLCtenPercentOwnerConversion686,4691,567,468Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorAward / grant3,898,9065,665,669Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition5,300,2910Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition1,166,9350Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition1,166,9350Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorAward / grant3,898,9065,665,669Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition5,300,2910Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition1,166,9350Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorAward / grant3,898,9065,665,669Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorAward / grant3,898,9065,665,669Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition5,300,2910Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition1,166,9350Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorAward / grant3,898,9065,665,669Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorDisposition5,300,2910Form 4
2025-10-10Eclipse Continuity GP I, LLCdirectorAward / grant3,898,9065,665,669Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.