OVV · TickerCove

OVVOvintiv Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $62.77 · now $62.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OVV has typically landed between $52.56 and $75.51 — a range of −16.3% to +20.3% from the issuance price $62.77.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($62.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$62.77 · 87% of range

$35.32 low$66.97 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 15.4%

−16.3%worst (p90)+20.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OVV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $62.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $62.77 (+0.0%)
typical $63.59 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $58.77–$68.41
90% range $52.56–$75.51

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−84.5%	−84.6%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−84.3%	−84.6%	+0.6%
2020-02-14	−84.2%	−84.2%	+2.7%
3 best
2020-03-31	+134.2%	−1.7%	+134.2%
2020-05-07	+123.3%	+0.0%	+123.3%
2020-03-30	+123.0%	+0.0%	+123.0%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.1%

n=20

Feb

65%

+3.1%

n=20

Mar

65%

+1.2%

n=20

Apr

60%

+10.0%

n=20

May

65%

+1.9%

n=20

Jun

45%

−0.6%

n=20

Jul

60%

+0.4%

n=20

Aug

45%

+0.4%

n=20

Sep

45%

−0.9%

n=20

Oct

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Nov

50%

+2.0%

n=20

Dec

35%

−3.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Moore Rachel Maureen	officer	Sale	7,753 @ $63.32	$491K	−9.7% of holding	+1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	72,530	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-13	Eilers Meghan Nicole	officer	Sale	11,582 @ $54.78	$634K	−17.6% of holding	−6.1%	+3.3%	54,092	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-03	Mayson Howard John	director	Sale	5,000 @ $52.39	$262K	−9.8% of holding	+14.9%	+17.4%	45,780	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-12	Givens Gregory Dean	officer	Sale	50,000 @ $40.33	$2.0M	−32.1% of holding	−0.8%	+24.4%	105,867	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-08	NANCE STEVEN W	director	Sale	5,000 @ $41.99	$210K	−56.0% of holding	−8.0%	+33.5%	3,929	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-04	Givens Gregory Dean	officer	Sale	50,000 @ $42.50	$2.1M	−24.3% of holding	−11.5%	+30.1%	155,867	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-04	NANCE STEVEN W	director	Sale	5,501 @ $38.18	$210K	−13.1% of holding	+1.5%	−0.4%	36,632	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

293 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-11	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Disposition	5,098	297,192	Form 4
2026-08-11	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Option exercise	5,098	302,290	Form 4
2026-08-11	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Option exercise	5,098	0	Form 4
2026-08-07	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Disposition	5,500	297,192	Form 4
2026-08-07	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Option exercise	5,500	302,692	Form 4
2026-08-07	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Option exercise	5,500	5,098	Form 4
2026-07-29	Chhina Sippy	director	Award / grant	404	3,188	Form 4
2026-07-29	Gentle Meg	director	Award / grant	486	12,385	Form 4
2026-07-29	IZZO RALPH	director	Award / grant	402	7,742	Form 4
2026-07-29	King Terri Gay	director	Award / grant	402	812	Form 4
2026-07-29	Shaw Brian Gordon	director	Award / grant	404	38,188	Form 4
2026-06-30	Code Corey Douglas	officer	Award / grant	386	69,800	Form 4
2026-06-30	Chhina Sippy	director	Award / grant	15	2,784	Form 4
2026-06-30	Code Corey Douglas	officer	Award / grant	16	2,879	Form 4
2026-06-30	Eilers Meghan Nicole	officer	Award / grant	263	46,955	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gentle Meg	director	Award / grant	67	11,899	Form 4
2026-06-30	Givens Gregory Dean	officer	Award / grant	441	78,697	Form 4
2026-06-30	IZZO RALPH	director	Award / grant	41	7,340	Form 4
2026-06-30	King Terri Gay	director	Award / grant	3	410	Form 4
2026-06-30	Mayson Howard John	director	Award / grant	56	10,084	Form 4
2026-06-30	McCracken Brendan Michael	director	Award / grant	1,271	226,748	Form 4
2026-06-30	Moore Rachel Maureen	officer	Award / grant	208	37,696	Form 4
2026-06-30	Shaw Brian Gordon	director	Award / grant	208	37,784	Form 4
2026-05-21	Chhina Sippy	director	Withheld for tax	1,739	8,245	Form 4
2026-05-21	Shaw Brian Gordon	director	Withheld for tax	1,683	64,877	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hill Gregory P.	director	Option exercise	3,218	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Chhina Sippy	director	Award / grant	3,505	3,505	Form 4
2026-05-21	Chhina Sippy	director	Option exercise	3,505	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gentle Meg	director	Award / grant	3,510	3,510	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gentle Meg	director	Option exercise	3,510	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hill Gregory P.	director	Award / grant	3,218	3,218	Form 4
2026-05-21	IZZO RALPH	director	Award / grant	3,510	3,510	Form 4
2026-05-21	IZZO RALPH	director	Option exercise	3,510	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	King Terri Gay	director	Award / grant	3,510	3,510	Form 4
2026-05-21	King Terri Gay	director	Option exercise	3,510	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Mayson Howard John	director	Award / grant	3,510	3,510	Form 4
2026-05-21	Mayson Howard John	director	Option exercise	3,510	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	NANCE STEVEN W	director	Award / grant	5,704	5,704	Form 4
2026-05-21	NANCE STEVEN W	director	Option exercise	5,704	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	RICKS THOMAS G	director	Award / grant	3,510	3,510	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i