OSPNOneSpan Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.86 · now $17.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OSPN has typically landed between $14.16 and $21.77 — a range of −20.7% to +21.9% from the issuance price $17.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OSPN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$14.16worst · -20.7%$21.77best · +21.9%
  • now $17.86 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $17.88 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $16.33–$19.44
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $14.16–$21.77
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2007-10-10−51.1%−51.1%+2.0%
2007-10-11−50.9%−50.9%+7.3%
2007-10-17−49.8%−53.7%+0.0%
3 best
2011-09-29+71.5%−9.5%+71.5%
2011-10-03+68.5%+0.0%+89.5%
2022-10-12+66.0%+0.0%+66.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
+1.0%
n=20
Feb
40%
−1.9%
n=20
Mar
75%
+8.7%
n=20
Apr
45%
+1.9%
n=20
May
55%
+5.5%
n=20
Jun
40%
+1.8%
n=20
Jul
55%
+0.7%
n=20
Aug
55%
−2.0%
n=20
Sep
45%
−2.1%
n=20
Oct
60%
+3.1%
n=20
Nov
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
45%
−2.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$18$102026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $289K — Martell Jorge Garcia2026-03-30: 1 insider purchase, $0 — Mataac Lara2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $155K — Martell Jorge Garcia2026-03-04: 1 insider purchase, $35K — Zenner Marc2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $130K — Martell Jorge Garcia2025-11-05: 3 insider purchases, $598K — McConnell Michael J …2025-11-04: 1 insider purchase, $24K — Zenner Marc2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $54K2025-11: 4 open-market purchases, $622K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $130K2026-03: 2 open-market purchases, $35K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $155K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $289K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Martell Jorge Garcia — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed same dayofficer Mataac Lara — Purchase on 2026-03-30, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Martell Jorge Garcia — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Zenner Marc — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed same dayofficer Martell Jorge Garcia — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed same daydirector McConnell Michael J — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed same daydirector McConnell Michael J — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed same daydirector McConnell Michael J — Purchase on 2025-11-05, filed same daydirector Zenner Marc — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-16Martell Jorge GarciaofficerSale20,000 @ $14.45$289K−18.0% of holding+9.2%not yet — horizon still open91,018Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-30Mataac LaraofficerPurchase22,739 @ $0.00$0ownership Δ n/a+0.4%not yet — horizon still open22,739Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16Martell Jorge GarciaofficerSale15,000 @ $10.33$155K−12.0% of holding+3.8%+59.8%110,218Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Zenner MarcdirectorPurchase3,300 @ $10.54$35K+4.1% of holding+6.7%+44.9%83,208Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-12Martell Jorge GarciaofficerSale10,000 @ $12.97$130K−8.4% of holding−3.5%+1.9%108,810Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-05McConnell Michael JdirectorPurchase30,000 @ $12.10$363K+55.8% of holding−1.4%−8.4%83,763Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-05McConnell Michael JdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $11.85$119K+22.9% of holding−1.4%−8.4%53,763Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-05McConnell Michael JdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $11.65$117K+29.6% of holding−1.4%−8.4%43,763Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-04Zenner MarcdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $12.13$24K+2.8% of holding+2.6%−5.3%73,273Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08Zenner MarcdirectorPurchase2,200 @ $12.80$28K+3.2% of holding+18.0%−19.9%71,273Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-08Capers Garry LdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $13.07$26K+5.7% of holding+18.0%−19.9%36,894Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

197 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-06Martell Jorge GarciaofficerWithheld for tax89794,421Form 4
2026-09-06Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise3,05595,318Form 4
2026-09-06Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise3,0550Form 4
2026-09-04Limongelli VictorofficerWithheld for tax3,199106,532Form 4
2026-09-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerWithheld for tax51892,263Form 4
2026-09-04Mataac LaraofficerWithheld for tax35276,060Form 4
2026-09-04Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise1,19776,412Form 4
2026-09-04Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise1,1973,591Form 4
2026-09-04Limongelli VictorofficerOption exercise6,299109,731Form 4
2026-09-04Limongelli VictorofficerOption exercise6,29918,898Form 4
2026-09-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise1,76392,781Form 4
2026-09-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise1,7635,292Form 4
2026-06-16Jain AshishofficerWithheld for tax1,69315,413Form 4
2026-06-16Jain AshishofficerOption exercise4,73114,193Form 4
2026-06-16Jain AshishofficerOption exercise4,73117,106Form 4
2026-05-14Mataac LaraofficerWithheld for tax33375,215Form 4
2026-05-14Martell Jorge GarciaofficerWithheld for tax333111,018Form 4
2026-05-14Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise1,1332,265Form 4
2026-05-14Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise1,133111,351Form 4
2026-05-14Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise1,13375,548Form 4
2026-05-14Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise1,1332,265Form 4
2026-03-30Jain AshishofficerAward / grant43,01943,019Form 4
2026-03-30Martell Jorge GarciaofficerAward / grant27,04127,041Form 4
2026-03-30Limongelli VictorofficerAward / grant93,41293,412Form 4
2026-03-06Martell Jorge GarciaofficerWithheld for tax889125,218Form 4
2026-03-06Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise3,055126,107Form 4
2026-03-06Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise3,0553,055Form 4
2026-03-04Limongelli VictorofficerWithheld for tax5,071103,432Form 4
2026-03-04Limongelli VictorofficerWithheld for tax4,50694,333Form 4
2026-03-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerWithheld for tax1,375123,052Form 4
2026-03-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerWithheld for tax1,189120,459Form 4
2026-03-04Mataac LaraofficerWithheld for tax93374,415Form 4
2026-03-04Mataac LaraofficerWithheld for tax82972,656Form 4
2026-03-04Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise2,69275,348Form 4
2026-03-04Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise2,3924,788Form 4
2026-03-04Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise2,6925,385Form 4
2026-03-04Mataac LaraofficerOption exercise2,39273,485Form 4
2026-03-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise3,9687,936Form 4
2026-03-04Limongelli VictorofficerOption exercise12,59198,839Form 4
2026-03-04Martell Jorge GarciaofficerOption exercise3,5267,055Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.