OSK · TickerCove

OSKOshkosh CorpIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $145.04 · now $145.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OSK has typically landed between $125.82 and $168.61 — a range of −13.2% to +16.2% from the issuance price $145.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($145.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$145.04 · 46% of range

$117.67 low$177.15 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.8%

typical move · IQR 14.7%

−13.2%worst (p90)+16.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OSK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $145.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $145.04 (+0.0%)
typical $146.2 (+0.8%)
middle 50% $135.55–$156.84
90% range $125.82–$168.61

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-06-05	−58.5%	−58.5%	+0.0%
2008-06-03	−56.8%	−56.8%	+4.3%
2008-06-06	−56.1%	−57.6%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-06-23	+102.0%	+0.0%	+102.0%
2008-11-20	+100.6%	+0.0%	+131.6%
2009-06-22	+93.6%	−0.1%	+97.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

65%

+4.9%

n=20

Feb

45%

−0.9%

n=20

Mar

40%

+0.2%

n=20

Apr

50%

+2.2%

n=20

May

45%

−0.8%

n=20

Jun

55%

+0.4%

n=20

Jul

60%

+5.1%

n=20

Aug

50%

+0.1%

n=20

Sep

40%

−3.2%

n=20

Oct

55%

+0.3%

n=20

Nov

70%

+6.9%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Pfeifer John C	director	Sale	778 @ $150.00	$117K	−0.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	150,669	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Palmer Duncan	director	Sale	505 @ $133.86	$68K	−1.3% of holding	+2.5%	not yet — horizon still open	39,684	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27	Khare Anupam	officer	Sale	4,000 @ $169.07	$676K	−22.8% of holding	−11.4%	−21.8%	13,577	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-20	Verich John S	officer	Sale	1,050 @ $176.99	$186K	−13.1% of holding	−12.8%	−21.8%	6,959	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Sale	8,000 @ $124.41	$995K	−15.0% of holding	+1.9%	−8.3%	45,506	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Khare Anupam	officer	Sale	4,000 @ $139.03	$556K	−22.6% of holding	−10.5%	+19.0%	13,716	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-18	Brandt Bryan K	officer	Sale	1,732 @ $140.37	$243K	−14.2% of holding	−6.7%	+16.4%	10,459	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Sale	7,500 @ $138.58	$1.0M	−12.3% of holding	−2.0%	+18.5%	53,506	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Sale	5,225 @ $138.71	$725K	−8.9% of holding	−2.0%	+18.5%	53,506	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06	Freeders James C	officer	Sale	5,575 @ $136.68	$762K	−37.7% of holding	−0.0%	+12.6%	9,228	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06	Freeders James C	officer	Sale	4,300 @ $136.59	$587K	−31.8% of holding	−0.0%	+12.6%	9,228	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-06	Freeders James C	officer	Sale	2,250 @ $136.72	$308K	−19.6% of holding	−0.0%	+12.6%	9,228	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

288 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-29	Nordlund Steven Craig	officer	Award / grant	7,002	7,002	Form 4
2026-07-14	Nordlund Steven Craig	officer	Option exercise	4,214	4,214	Form 4
2026-07-14	Nordlund Steven Craig	officer	Withheld for tax	1,821	2,393	Form 4
2026-07-14	Nordlund Steven Craig	officer	Option exercise	4,214	8,431	Form 4
2026-05-05	Allman Keith J.	director	Award / grant	1,110	24,301	Form 4
2026-05-05	CLAYTON ANNETTE K	director	Award / grant	1,110	4,578	Form 4
2026-05-05	Jordan Tyrone Michael	director	Award / grant	1,110	12,101	Form 4
2026-05-05	DAVIS DOUGLAS LEE	director	Award / grant	1,110	8,908	Form 4
2026-05-05	Rowland Sandra E.	director	Award / grant	1,110	13,819	Form 4
2026-05-05	Burns Bill	director	Award / grant	1,110	4,373	Form 4
2026-05-05	Perkins David G	director	Award / grant	1,110	7,991	Form 4
2026-05-05	Palmer Duncan	director	Award / grant	1,110	40,189	Form 4
2026-05-05	Metcalf-Kupres Kimberley	director	Award / grant	1,110	20,124	Form 4
2026-02-26	Verich John S	officer	Gift	115	7,220	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pfeifer John C	director	Option exercise	23,777	155,909	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pfeifer John C	director	Option exercise	17,896	140,544	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pfeifer John C	director	Option exercise	11,993	156,726	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pfeifer John C	director	Withheld for tax	11,176	144,733	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pfeifer John C	director	Withheld for tax	8,412	132,132	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Option exercise	5,708	56,094	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pack Michael E	director	Option exercise	5,708	42,978	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pfeifer John C	director	Withheld for tax	5,355	151,371	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pack Michael E	director	Option exercise	4,296	39,290	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Option exercise	4,296	52,406	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pack Michael E	director	Option exercise	2,878	43,173	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Option exercise	2,878	56,289	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Withheld for tax	2,683	53,411	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pack Michael E	director	Withheld for tax	2,683	40,295	Form 4
2026-02-20	Khare Anupam	officer	Option exercise	2,284	18,013	Form 4
2026-02-20	Iyengar Jayanthi	director	Option exercise	2,104	26,963	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Withheld for tax	2,020	50,386	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pack Michael E	director	Withheld for tax	2,020	37,270	Form 4
2026-02-20	Khare Anupam	officer	Option exercise	1,720	16,569	Form 4
2026-02-20	Iyengar Jayanthi	director	Option exercise	1,584	25,550	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pack Michael E	director	Withheld for tax	1,353	41,820	Form 4
2026-02-20	Cortina Ignacio A	director	Withheld for tax	1,353	54,936	Form 4
2026-02-20	Brandt Bryan K	officer	Option exercise	1,332	12,515	Form 4
2026-02-20	Freeders James C	officer	Option exercise	1,248	11,778	Form 4
2026-02-20	Khare Anupam	officer	Option exercise	1,152	18,091	Form 4
2026-02-20	Khare Anupam	officer	Withheld for tax	1,074	16,939	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i