Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.59 · now $10.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OPXS has typically landed between $8.91 and $13.55 — a range of −15.9% to +28.0% from the issuance price $10.59.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,335 overlapping 1 month windows · 2009-05-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where OPXS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.59 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.76 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.9–$11.62
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.91–$13.55
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2011-03-22 | −69.4% | −69.4% | +0.0% |
| 2016-08-12 | −66.7% | −66.7% | +0.0% |
| 2016-08-10 | −66.0% | −66.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2011-12-20 | +1524.7% | +0.0% | +1775.4% |
| 2011-12-19 | +1153.9% | −33.1% | +1153.9% |
| 2011-12-21 | +902.9% | +0.0% | +1153.9% |
4,335 overlapping windows · 2009-05-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~18 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | George Chad Michael | director | Sale | 7,035 @ $13.62 | $96K | −100.0% of holding | −17.0% | −37.6% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 26,109 @ $14.11 | $368K | −3.2% of holding | +2.0% | −22.7% | 796,730 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 2,815 @ $13.55 | $38K | −0.3% of holding | +2.0% | −22.7% | 822,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 27,946 @ $13.44 | $376K | −3.3% of holding | +8.4% | −15.2% | 825,654 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 14,066 @ $13.02 | $183K | −1.6% of holding | +6.2% | −9.2% | 853,600 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-05 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 5,495 @ $13.08 | $72K | −0.6% of holding | +10.4% | −12.1% | 867,666 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 29,696 @ $13.99 | $415K | −3.3% of holding | +15.0% | −3.2% | 873,161 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 4,451 @ $13.09 | $58K | −0.5% of holding | +15.0% | −3.2% | 902,857 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-30 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 47,700 @ $11.68 | $557K | −6.5% of holding | +0.1% | +11.9% | 691,256 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-30 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 47,700 @ $11.68 | $557K | −6.5% of holding | +0.1% | +11.9% | 691,256 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-27 | Malhotra R. Rimmy | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $11.01 | $165K | −13.7% of holding | +2.1% | +9.5% | 94,278 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-27 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.26 | $113K | −1.3% of holding | +2.1% | +9.5% | 738,956 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-27 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.26 | $113K | −1.3% of holding | +2.1% | +9.5% | 738,956 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-26 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,945 @ $11.07 | $343K | −4.0% of holding | +9.7% | +14.0% | 748,956 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-26 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 30,945 @ $11.07 | $343K | −4.0% of holding | +9.7% | +14.0% | 748,956 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | Dayton Judd | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $8.95 | $16K | −0.2% of holding | +48.7% | +43.5% | 786,006 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-16 | Dayton Judd | director | Sale | 14,077 @ $9.28 | $131K | −1.8% of holding | +36.1% | +47.9% | 787,806 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Dayton Judd | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $9.45 | $24K | −0.3% of holding | +45.2% | +54.5% | 801,883 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Malhotra R. Rimmy | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $9.37 | $47K | −72.6% of holding | +26.2% | +33.2% | 1,887 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | Lehmann Dale E | director | Sale | 18,000 @ $9.20 | $166K | −13.2% of holding | +25.9% | +35.0% | 118,721 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | HAWKINS KAREN LEA | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $9.21 | $111K | −27.5% of holding | +25.9% | +35.0% | 31,606 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Lehmann Dale E | director | Sale | 7,537 @ $9.47 | $71K | −5.2% of holding | +34.2% | +47.6% | 136,721 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 14,033 @ $8.78 | $123K | −1.5% of holding | +31.3% | +48.0% | 902,608 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 5,967 @ $8.60 | $51K | −0.6% of holding | +30.1% | +50.0% | 916,641 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 2,186 @ $8.07 | $18K | −0.2% of holding | +20.9% | +40.8% | 922,608 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 9,787 @ $8.05 | $79K | −1.0% of holding | +28.6% | +47.1% | 924,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Sale | 10,027 @ $8.01 | $80K | −1.1% of holding | +29.3% | +58.3% | 934,581 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Lehmann Dale E | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $5.65 | $170K | −17.2% of holding | +11.1% | +82.1% | 144,258 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 13,674 @ $7.24 | $99K | −1.7% of holding | −7.1% | +64.2% | 779,901 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,674 @ $7.24 | $99K | −1.7% of holding | −7.1% | +64.2% | 779,901 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | Topline Capital Management, LLC | other | Sale | 12,488 @ $7.01 | $88K | −1.5% of holding | −6.1% | +61.2% | 793,575 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | Topline Capital Partners, LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 12,488 @ $7.01 | $88K | −1.5% of holding | −6.1% | +61.2% | 793,575 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
7 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | George Chad Michael | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | HAWKINS KAREN LEA | officer | Award / grant | 17,500 | 17,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-05 | SCHOENING DANNY ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 4,700 | 907,308 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-04 | Malhotra R. Rimmy | director | Award / grant | 4,000 | 98,278 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-04 | Dayton Judd | director | Award / grant | 4,000 | 51,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-04 | Lehmann Dale E | director | Award / grant | 4,000 | 122,721 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | George Chad Michael | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.