OPTXSyntec Optics Holdings, Inc.Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.37 · now $6.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OPTX has typically landed between $3.99 and $10.48 — a range of −37.3% to +64.5% from the issuance price $6.37.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,138 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-01-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OPTX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.99worst · -37.3%$10.48best · +64.5%
  • now $6.37 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.39 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.83–$6.94
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.99–$10.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,138 windows spanning 2022-01-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-10-11−62.9%−62.9%+14.7%
2023-10-13−58.7%−62.9%+14.7%
2023-10-17−56.7%−62.9%+14.7%
3 best
2024-11-20+285.7%−3.9%+285.7%
2024-11-22+284.9%−1.8%+294.1%
2024-11-21+271.9%−4.2%+284.2%

1,138 overlapping windows · 2022-01-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+19.8%
n=4
Feb
60%
−2.8%
n=5
Mar
60%
−5.0%
n=5
Apr
80%
+3.6%
n=5
May
60%
+7.2%
n=5
Jun
40%
+1.3%
n=5
Jul
60%
−12.4%
n=5
Aug
40%
+1.6%
n=5
Sep
40%
−7.7%
n=5
Oct
100%
+24.7%
n=4
Nov
25%
−29.8%
n=4
Dec
50%
+58.4%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$14$12026-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $30K — Manzone Albert2026-04-14: 1 insider purchase, $50K — Manzone Albert2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $50K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $30K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Manzone Albert — Purchase on 2026-08-19, filed 7 days after the tradedirector Manzone Albert — Purchase on 2026-04-14, filed 134 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Manzone AlbertdirectorPurchase3,681 @ $8.12$30K+12.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open33,681Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2026-04-14Manzone AlbertdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $10.00$50K+20.0% of holding−47.1%not yet — horizon still open30,000Form 4 · filed 134 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

12 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-20Manzone AlbertdirectorAward / grant24,646101,966Form 4
2026-02-20Bishop Walter A.directorAward / grant24,646101,966Form 4
2026-02-20Rosenthal Brent DdirectorAward / grant24,646101,966Form 4
2026-02-20Manzone AlbertdirectorAward / grant24,646101,966Form 4
2026-02-20Rosenthal Brent DdirectorAward / grant24,646101,966Form 4
2026-02-20Bishop Walter A.directorAward / grant24,646101,966Form 4
2025-10-06Bishop Walter A.directorAward / grant77,32077,320Form 4
2025-10-06Manzone AlbertdirectorAward / grant77,32077,320Form 4
2025-10-06Rosenthal Brent DdirectorAward / grant77,32077,320Form 4
2025-10-06Manzone AlbertdirectorAward / grant77,32077,320Form 4
2025-10-06Bishop Walter A.directorAward / grant77,32077,320Form 4
2025-10-06Rosenthal Brent DdirectorAward / grant77,32077,320Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.