Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.53 · now $7.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OPRX has typically landed between $5.16 and $10.04 — a range of −31.4% to +33.4% from the issuance price $7.53.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,695 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-11-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where OPRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.53 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.31 (-2.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.31–$8.32
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.16–$10.04
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-08-13 | −86.2% | −86.2% | +0.0% |
| 2009-08-21 | −86.0% | −86.0% | +0.0% |
| 2009-08-17 | −84.8% | −84.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-09-24 | +530.0% | +0.0% | +775.0% |
| 2009-09-30 | +275.0% | +0.0% | +337.5% |
| 2008-03-18 | +265.9% | −2.4% | +265.9% |
4,695 overlapping windows · 2007-11-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | Stelmakh Edward | officer | Sale | 1,388 @ $13.51 | $19K | −1.1% of holding | −12.7% | −73.2% | 126,830 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Sale | 1,620 @ $18.75 | $30K | −0.9% of holding | +1.6% | −63.6% | 188,916 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Spangler Patrick D | director | Sale | 11,120 @ $17.49 | $194K | −20.1% of holding | +9.9% | −65.8% | 44,215 | Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Lang James Paul | director | Purchase | 321,408 @ $7.60 | $2.4M | +472.4% of holding | +11.1% | +104.9% | 389,452 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | FEBBO WILLIAM J | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $5.01 | $100K | +3.4% of holding | +1.8% | +172.3% | 601,253 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
122 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | D'Silva Andrew J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,432 | 99,660 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,737 | 183,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,529 | 90,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Stelmakh Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,381 | 121,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | D'Silva Andrew J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,243 | 43,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Merrell Brendan W. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,020 | 25,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Award / grant | 79,200 | 262,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Award / grant | 57,600 | 148,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Merrell Brendan W. | officer | Award / grant | 57,600 | 82,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | D'Silva Andrew J. | officer | Award / grant | 57,600 | 101,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | WASSON GREGORY D | director | Award / grant | 34,517 | 91,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Spangler Patrick D | director | Award / grant | 34,517 | 78,732 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presti Mariyamma Varghese | director | Award / grant | 17,258 | 30,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vos Ellen O'Connor | director | Award / grant | 34,517 | 107,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | KLEMA CATHY | director | Award / grant | 34,517 | 56,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Lang James Paul | director | Award / grant | 34,517 | 433,837 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,219 | 185,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Greco Theresa | officer | Withheld for tax | 914 | 71,954 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Greco Theresa | officer | Withheld for tax | 879 | 71,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Presti Mariyamma Varghese | director | Award / grant | 13,060 | 13,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,386 | 91,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Option exercise | 4,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Option exercise | 4,000 | 93,322 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Option exercise | 4,000 | 93,322 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-23 | Besch Doug | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,079 | 66,876 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-23 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,051 | 89,322 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-23 | Stelmakh Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,658 | 123,172 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-23 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,361 | 190,507 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-23 | Greco Theresa | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,420 | 72,868 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,594 | 193,868 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,153 | 93,373 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | D'Silva Andrew J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 703 | 44,735 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Besch Doug | officer | Withheld for tax | 581 | 70,955 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Merrell Brendan W. | officer | Withheld for tax | 289 | 26,207 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Option exercise | 3,928 | 94,526 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Besch Doug | officer | Option exercise | 1,964 | 71,536 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Besch Doug | officer | Option exercise | 1,964 | 1,964 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Odence-Ford Marion | officer | Option exercise | 3,928 | 3,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Option exercise | 6,546 | 195,462 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Silvestro Stephen L | officer | Option exercise | 6,546 | 6,547 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.