OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.Real Estate · Real Estate - Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.59 · now $2.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OPEN has typically landed between $1.66 and $4.26 — a range of −35.7% to +64.4% from the issuance price $2.59.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,547 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-06-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OPEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.66worst · -35.7%$4.26best · +64.4%
  • now $2.59 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.37 (-8.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.97–$2.77
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.66–$4.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,547 windows spanning 2020-06-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-11-25−53.1%−53.1%+0.0%
2023-02-02−47.3%−52.0%+0.0%
2022-11-23−47.2%−47.2%+7.3%
3 best
2025-06-18+453.9%−11.6%+453.9%
2025-06-20+438.8%−4.2%+500.6%
2025-06-25+395.9%+0.0%+526.7%

1,547 overlapping windows · 2020-06-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
+3.8%
n=6
Feb
33%
−8.4%
n=6
Mar
33%
−6.3%
n=6
Apr
17%
−15.0%
n=6
May
50%
+10.2%
n=6
Jun
33%
−1.9%
n=6
Jul
57%
+37.2%
n=7
Aug
29%
+14.6%
n=7
Sep
43%
+12.2%
n=7
Oct
17%
−9.6%
n=6
Nov
50%
+11.1%
n=6
Dec
33%
−8.5%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$10$22026-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Nejatian Kasra2026-07-15: 1 insider sale, $17K — Nguyen Giang2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $193K — Benson David C2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $322K — Schwartz Christina2026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $488K — Nejatian Kasra2026-04-15: 1 insider sale, $50K — Nguyen Giang2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $321K — Schwartz Christina2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $584K — Schwartz Christina2025-11-11: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — Nejatian Kasra2025-09-26: 1 insider purchase, $2.0M — Wu Eric Chung-Wei2025-09-11: 1 insider purchase, $3.0M — Wu Eric Chung-Wei2025-08-28: 2 insider purchases, $128K — Radhakrishna Shrisha …2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $128K2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $5.0M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $584K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $321K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $50K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $488K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $322K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $193K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $17K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $100K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Nejatian Kasra — Purchase on 2026-08-14, filed same dayofficer Nguyen Giang — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Benson David C — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed same dayofficer Schwartz Christina — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Nejatian Kasra — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nguyen Giang — Sale on 2026-04-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schwartz Christina — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schwartz Christina — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nejatian Kasra — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wu Eric Chung-Wei — Purchase on 2025-09-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Wu Eric Chung-Wei — Purchase on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Radhakrishna Shrisha — Purchase on 2025-08-28, filed same dayofficer Radhakrishna Shrisha — Purchase on 2025-08-28, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Nejatian KasradirectorPurchase27,625 @ $3.62$100K+0.0% of holding−24.8%not yet — horizon still open83,605,924Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15Nguyen GiangofficerSale3,591 @ $4.68$17K−0.0% of holding−26.2%not yet — horizon still open8,185,543Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Benson David CdirectorSale40,000 @ $4.83$193K−18.2% of holding−4.6%not yet — horizon still open180,099Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-15Schwartz ChristinaofficerSale74,348 @ $4.33$322K−1.9% of holding+6.9%not yet — horizon still open3,769,866Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-11Nejatian KasradirectorPurchase100,000 @ $4.88$488K+0.1% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open83,578,299Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15Nguyen GiangofficerSale10,866 @ $4.65$50K−0.1% of holding−14.2%not yet — horizon still open8,189,134Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Schwartz ChristinaofficerSale74,248 @ $4.32$321K−1.9% of holding+25.1%−35.4%3,844,214Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Schwartz ChristinaofficerSale73,951 @ $7.90$584K−12.3% of holding−22.8%−55.9%528,462Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11Nejatian KasradirectorPurchase125,000 @ $8.04$1.0M+0.1% of holding−17.8%−57.5%83,478,299Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-26Wu Eric Chung-WeidirectorPurchase300,752 @ $6.65$2.0M+18.2% of holding−10.9%−45.7%1,950,636Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Wu Eric Chung-WeidirectorPurchase451,127 @ $6.65$3.0M+37.6% of holding+28.8%−17.7%1,649,884Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-28Radhakrishna ShrishaofficerPurchase28,400 @ $4.27$121K+0.7% of holding+83.7%+11.0%4,278,400Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-28Radhakrishna ShrishaofficerPurchase1,600 @ $4.42$7K+0.0% of holding+83.7%+11.0%4,280,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-21Schaub SydneyofficerSale30,000 @ $3.50$105K−2.0% of holding+11.0%+92.2%1,447,478Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-16Schaub SydneyofficerSale125 @ $1.31$164−0.0% of holding+100.7%+311.3%1,477,478Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-15Schaub SydneyofficerSale17,236 @ $1.00$17K−1.2% of holding+129.0%+526.9%1,477,603Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-17Schaub SydneyofficerSale517 @ $0.55$286−0.0% of holding+291.2%+965.6%1,494,839Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-16WHEELER CARRIEdirectorSale671,164 @ $0.56$377K−4.5% of holding+192.1%+1096.5%14,365,711Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16Schaub SydneyofficerSale110,932 @ $0.56$62K−6.9% of holding+192.1%+1096.5%1,495,356Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-16Schaub SydneyofficerSale126 @ $0.95$120−0.0% of holding−28.4%+645.3%1,606,288Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-15Schaub SydneyofficerSale17,162 @ $0.96$16K−1.1% of holding−30.0%+652.7%1,601,414Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18Schaub SydneyofficerSale535 @ $1.14$607−0.0% of holding−13.4%+745.6%1,618,576Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17WHEELER CARRIEdirectorSale531,812 @ $1.12$594K−3.8% of holding−18.1%+741.1%13,536,875Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17Schaub SydneyofficerSale76,958 @ $1.12$86K−4.5% of holding−18.1%+741.1%1,619,111Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-17WHEELER CARRIEdirectorSale29,425 @ $1.12$33K−0.2% of holding−18.1%+741.1%14,068,687Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17Schaub SydneyofficerSale10,516 @ $1.12$12K−0.6% of holding−18.1%+741.1%1,696,069Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03Schaub SydneyofficerSale5,000 @ $1.26$6K−0.4% of holding−13.7%+310.3%1,166,480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-16Schaub SydneyofficerSale110 @ $1.55$171−0.0% of holding−0.8%+101.5%1,171,480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-15Schaub SydneyofficerSale18,804 @ $1.52$29K−1.6% of holding−0.2%+42.5%1,171,590Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-17Schaub SydneyofficerSale557 @ $1.92$1K−0.0% of holding−26.8%−72.5%1,190,394Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16WHEELER CARRIEdirectorSale552,408 @ $1.88$1.0M−3.8% of holding−23.8%−71.0%14,098,112Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-16Schaub SydneyofficerSale74,801 @ $1.88$141K−5.9% of holding−23.8%−71.0%1,190,951Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Schwartz ChristinaofficerWithheld for tax42,2423,787,282Form 4
2026-09-15Schwartz ChristinaofficerOption exercise59,6583,829,524Form 4
2026-09-15Schwartz ChristinaofficerOption exercise59,6580Form 4
2026-06-11HAMILTON DANAdirectorAward / grant41,667346,844Form 4
2026-06-11Rabois KeithdirectorAward / grant41,667671,755Form 4
2026-06-11Wu Eric Chung-WeidirectorAward / grant41,6671,992,303Form 4
2026-06-11Bain AdamdirectorAward / grant41,667509,034Form 4
2026-06-11Benson David CdirectorAward / grant41,667220,099Form 4
2026-06-11Feder EricdirectorAward / grant41,667254,202Form 4
2026-02-17Rabois KeithdirectorAward / grant14,679630,088Form 4
2026-02-17Feder EricdirectorAward / grant14,282212,535Form 4
2026-02-17Bain AdamdirectorAward / grant9,918467,367Form 4
2025-12-31Schwartz ChristinaofficerAward / grant1,695,0003,918,462Form 4
2025-12-31Schwartz ChristinaofficerAward / grant1,695,0002,223,462Form 4
2025-12-22Matheson LucasofficerAward / grant854,153854,153Form 4
2025-12-22Matheson LucasofficerAward / grant854,1531,708,306Form 4
2025-12-10Nguyen GiangofficerAward / grant500,000500,000Form 4
2025-12-10Nguyen GiangofficerAward / grant3,600,0004,100,000Form 4
2025-12-10Nguyen GiangofficerAward / grant4,100,0008,200,000Form 4
2025-11-11Schwartz ChristinaofficerAward / grant400,641602,413Form 4
2025-10-15Schaub SydneyofficerWithheld for tax16,4591,329,422Form 4
2025-09-15Schaub SydneyofficerWithheld for tax101,5971,345,881Form 4
2025-09-15Nejatian KasradirectorAward / grant40,886,34440,886,344Form 4
2025-09-15Nejatian KasradirectorAward / grant1,580,61183,353,299Form 4
2025-09-15Nejatian KasradirectorAward / grant40,886,34481,772,688Form 4
2025-06-13Solomon GlenndirectorAward / grant100,000220,911Form 4
2025-06-13Bain AdamdirectorAward / grant100,000457,449Form 4
2025-06-13Benson David CdirectorAward / grant100,000178,432Form 4
2025-06-13Feder EricdirectorAward / grant100,000198,253Form 4
2025-06-13HAMILTON DANAdirectorAward / grant100,000305,177Form 4
2025-06-13Keffer PueodirectorAward / grant100,000815,316Form 4
2025-03-27WHEELER CARRIEdirectorAward / grant1,500,00015,036,875Form 4
2025-03-13Schaub SydneyofficerAward / grant50,1051,216,585Form 4
2025-03-13Schaub SydneyofficerAward / grant490,0001,706,585Form 4
2025-03-05Solomon GlenndirectorDisposition25,27443,046Form 4
2025-02-14Bain AdamdirectorAward / grant42,244357,449Form 4
2025-02-14Keffer PueodirectorAward / grant45,624715,316Form 4
2025-02-14Solomon GlenndirectorAward / grant43,934253,044Form 4
2025-02-14Herman CiporadirectorAward / grant47,313454,382Form 4
2025-02-14HAMILTON DANAdirectorAward / grant47,313205,177Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.