OPCHOption Care Health, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $24.47 · now $24.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OPCH has typically landed between $21.15 and $27.90 — a range of −13.6% to +14.0% from the issuance price $24.47.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($24.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OPCH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $24.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$21.15worst · -13.6%$27.9best · +14.0%
  • now $24.47 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $24.54 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $23.07–$26
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $21.15–$27.9
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−64.8%−64.8%+2.6%
2020-02-19−62.1%−65.5%+0.6%
2016-10-11−60.2%−60.2%+1.6%
3 best
2020-03-18+114.4%+0.0%+114.4%
2008-12-12+107.3%−0.7%+107.3%
2008-07-15+104.8%+0.0%+104.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Feb
55%
+0.7%
n=20
Mar
50%
−1.1%
n=20
Apr
60%
+5.1%
n=20
May
65%
+3.5%
n=20
Jun
60%
+5.6%
n=20
Jul
50%
+0.6%
n=20
Aug
65%
+5.1%
n=20
Sep
50%
−2.8%
n=20
Oct
45%
−2.5%
n=20
Nov
55%
−0.1%
n=20
Dec
60%
+6.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$37$202026-05-07: 1 insider purchase, $500K — SULLIVAN TIMOTHY P2026-05-04: 3 insider purchases, $1.4M — KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JR, Sethna Meenal, RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLES2026-02-27: 2 insider sales, $1.2M — Pate R Carter, Bavaro Michael2025-11-03: 1 insider purchase, $987K — KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JR2025-09-09: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Wright Norman L.2025-08-21: 2 insider purchases, $578K — SULLIVAN TIMOTHY P, GOLDING DAVID W2025-08-20: 2 insider purchases, $998K — KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JR, Pate R Carter2025-08: 4 open-market purchases, $1.6M2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $987K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $1.9M↑ buys↓ salesdirector SULLIVAN TIMOTHY P — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed same daydirector KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JR — Purchase on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sethna Meenal — Purchase on 2026-05-04, filed same daydirector RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLES — Purchase on 2026-05-04, filed same daydirector Pate R Carter — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Bavaro Michael — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JR — Purchase on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wright Norman L. — Purchase on 2025-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SULLIVAN TIMOTHY P — Purchase on 2025-08-21, filed same daydirector GOLDING DAVID W — Purchase on 2025-08-21, filed same daydirector KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JR — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pate R Carter — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-07SULLIVAN TIMOTHY PdirectorPurchase24,154 @ $20.69$500K+49.1% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open73,383Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorPurchase36,610 @ $21.41$784K+8.9% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open450,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Sethna MeenaldirectorPurchase16,225 @ $20.16$327K+19.8% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open98,337Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorPurchase12,500 @ $21.18$265K+1.8% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open695,152Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27Pate R CarterdirectorSale30,287 @ $32.05$971K−72.3% of holding−9.2%−39.1%11,623Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Bavaro MichaelofficerSale6,000 @ $33.00$198K−15.3% of holding−9.2%−39.1%33,249Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-03KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorPurchase38,000 @ $25.98$987K+10.1% of holding+14.5%−30.6%413,390Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09Wright Norman L.directorPurchase3,411 @ $29.31$100K+28.2% of holding−10.8%−2.8%15,501Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-21SULLIVAN TIMOTHY PdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $27.51$550K+68.4% of holding−2.2%+21.6%49,229Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-21GOLDING DAVID WdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $27.63$28K+0.9% of holding−2.2%+21.6%116,525Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-20KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorPurchase36,000 @ $27.15$977K+10.6% of holding−0.3%+22.5%375,390Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-20Pate R CarterdirectorPurchase750 @ $27.19$20K+1.8% of holding−0.3%+22.5%41,910Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28Bavaro MichaelofficerSale30,996 @ $33.26$1.0M−40.8% of holding+9.9%−23.6%44,974Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-06Bhatia PrateekofficerAward / grant16,38616,386Form 4
2026-07-06Bhatia PrateekofficerAward / grant23,40939,795Form 4
2026-05-20KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant12,079471,076Form 4
2026-05-20SULLIVAN TIMOTHY PdirectorAward / grant4,83687,216Form 4
2026-05-20BRANDT ERICdirectorAward / grant2,64321,999Form 4
2026-05-20Deckmann NatashadirectorAward / grant84432,002Form 4
2026-05-20SULLIVAN TIMOTHY PdirectorAward / grant8,99782,380Form 4
2026-05-20BRANDT ERICdirectorAward / grant8,99719,356Form 4
2026-05-20Bierbower Elizabeth DdirectorAward / grant8,99732,871Form 4
2026-05-20Bodem Barbara W.directorAward / grant8,99721,087Form 4
2026-05-20KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant8,997458,997Form 4
2026-05-20Deckmann NatashadirectorAward / grant8,99731,158Form 4
2026-05-20Pate R CarterdirectorAward / grant8,99720,620Form 4
2026-05-20Wright Norman L.directorAward / grant8,99724,498Form 4
2026-05-19Smyser CollinofficerWithheld for tax36075,012Form 4
2026-05-19Smyser CollinofficerOption exercise8120Form 4
2026-05-19Smyser CollinofficerOption exercise81275,372Form 4
2026-04-22Adewunmi FemiofficerWithheld for tax1,39625,314Form 4
2026-02-24RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorWithheld for tax11,050682,652Form 4
2026-02-24Whitworth LukeofficerWithheld for tax4,605169,589Form 4
2026-02-24Smyser CollinofficerWithheld for tax2,21074,560Form 4
2026-02-24Grashoff Christopher L.officerWithheld for tax1,98044,092Form 4
2026-02-24Adewunmi FemiofficerWithheld for tax1,62726,710Form 4
2026-02-24Bavaro MichaelofficerWithheld for tax1,35439,249Form 4
2026-02-24Maggio NicoleofficerWithheld for tax97528,489Form 4
2026-02-22RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorWithheld for tax132,848693,702Form 4
2026-02-22Whitworth LukeofficerWithheld for tax24,029174,194Form 4
2026-02-22Smyser CollinofficerWithheld for tax15,43376,770Form 4
2026-02-22Bavaro MichaelofficerWithheld for tax12,21240,603Form 4
2026-02-22Grashoff Christopher L.officerWithheld for tax53846,072Form 4
2026-02-22Maggio NicoleofficerWithheld for tax37229,464Form 4
2026-02-21RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorWithheld for tax4,956826,550Form 4
2026-02-21RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorOption exercise11,0870Form 4
2026-02-21RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorOption exercise11,087831,506Form 4
2026-02-20RADEMACHER JOHN CHARLESdirectorWithheld for tax10,638820,419Form 4
2026-02-20Whitworth LukeofficerWithheld for tax4,015198,223Form 4
2026-02-20Smyser CollinofficerWithheld for tax2,01292,203Form 4
2026-02-20Grashoff Christopher L.officerWithheld for tax1,94846,610Form 4
2026-02-20Bavaro MichaelofficerWithheld for tax1,18752,815Form 4
2026-02-20Maggio NicoleofficerWithheld for tax61929,836Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.