Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.53 · now $9.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ONEW has typically landed between $7.28 and $11.67 — a range of −23.6% to +22.4% from the issuance price $9.53.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,639 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-02-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ONEW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.53 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.4 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.51–$10.3
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.28–$11.67
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,639 windows spanning 2020-02-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −76.8% | −76.8% | +4.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −71.9% | −77.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −71.6% | −77.3% | +1.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-04-22 | +116.9% | +0.0% | +116.9% |
| 2020-04-23 | +115.6% | +0.0% | +115.6% |
| 2020-04-21 | +102.4% | −0.1% | +102.4% |
1,639 overlapping windows · 2020-02-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
67%
+2.0%
n=6
Feb
33%
−4.4%
n=6
Mar
43%
−11.8%
n=7
Apr
29%
+4.8%
n=7
May
71%
+10.7%
n=7
Jun
57%
+11.5%
n=7
Jul
86%
+5.9%
n=7
Aug
43%
−2.2%
n=7
Sep
0%
−11.7%
n=7
Oct
33%
−2.0%
n=6
Nov
67%
+10.6%
n=6
Dec
50%
+0.7%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 56,429 @ $12.10 | $683K | −6.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 780,574 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 52,120 @ $12.03 | $627K | −5.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 837,003 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 11,251 @ $12.54 | $141K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 889,123 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 110,250 @ $12.81 | $1.4M | −10.9% of holding | −12.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 900,374 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 19,871 @ $12.64 | $251K | −1.9% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,010,624 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 8 @ $13.00 | $104 | −0.0% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,030,495 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 45 @ $11.20 | $504 | −0.0% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,030,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 21,930 @ $10.88 | $239K | +2.8% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 801,816 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 110 @ $9.95 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 779,886 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 18,008 @ $12.52 | $225K | +2.4% of holding | −28.3% | −17.9% | 779,776 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Troiano John | director | Sale | 1,028 @ $13.19 | $14K | −0.6% of holding | −28.3% | −17.9% | 171,422 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Troiano John | director | Sale | 634 @ $13.19 | $8K | −1.2% of holding | −28.3% | −17.9% | 51,592 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-11 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 6,345 @ $12.93 | $82K | +0.8% of holding | −30.9% | −19.3% | 761,768 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 662 @ $14.01 | $9K | −0.1% of holding | −23.3% | −19.8% | 1,030,548 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Bos Peter H. Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,652 @ $14.00 | $79K | −0.5% of holding | −26.0% | −23.9% | 1,031,310 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Bos Peter H. Jr. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100 @ $14.02 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −26.0% | −23.9% | 1,031,210 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 40,000 @ $14.02 | $561K | −3.7% of holding | −28.0% | −27.8% | 1,036,962 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Bos Teresa D. | other | Sale | 20,889 @ $14.18 | $296K | −1.9% of holding | −23.6% | −22.5% | 1,076,962 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 43,179 @ $11.47 | $495K | +6.1% of holding | −10.8% | −13.7% | 755,423 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 3,654 @ $15.37 | $56K | +0.5% of holding | −3.1% | −41.3% | 712,244 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Lamkin Jeffrey B. | director | Sale | 62,695 @ $17.44 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | −10.4% | −41.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Troiano John | director | Sale | 11,545 @ $17.35 | $200K | −6.3% of holding | −10.4% | −41.5% | 172,450 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | Troiano John | director | Sale | 3,496 @ $17.35 | $61K | −6.3% of holding | −10.4% | −41.5% | 52,226 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 548 @ $13.50 | $7K | +0.1% of holding | −9.5% | −32.9% | 708,590 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $14.34 | $143K | +1.4% of holding | −5.3% | −35.5% | 708,042 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 5,674 @ $15.04 | $85K | +0.8% of holding | −8.8% | −30.7% | 698,042 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Purchase | 42,282 @ $12.23 | $517K | +5.2% of holding | +18.7% | +6.3% | 859,638 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | ROY J STEVEN | director | Purchase | 5,001 @ $12.22 | $61K | +24.1% of holding | +18.7% | +6.3% | 25,761 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Purchase | 30,200 @ $12.38 | $374K | +3.8% of holding | +12.4% | +1.8% | 817,356 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 4,629 @ $16.13 | $75K | +0.7% of holding | −17.8% | −19.1% | 692,368 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 5,371 @ $16.13 | $87K | +0.8% of holding | −14.3% | −18.3% | 687,739 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $15.40 | $231K | +2.2% of holding | +10.7% | −10.3% | 682,368 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 13,000 @ $18.60 | $242K | +2.0% of holding | −14.4% | −32.8% | 667,368 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Purchase | 9,582 @ $20.82 | $199K | +1.5% of holding | −17.0% | −23.5% | 654,368 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Englander Daniel J | director | Award / grant | 6,099 | 6,099 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 35,000 | 620,009 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Withheld for tax | 15,987 | 241,776 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 15,987 | 241,776 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | EZZELL JACK P | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,471 | 188,889 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Award / grant | 95,923 | 257,763 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 15,988 | 225,788 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 15,988 | 655,009 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Gift | 15,988 | 225,788 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Gift | 15,988 | 903,091 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Award / grant | 95,923 | 257,763 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | EZZELL JACK P | officer | Award / grant | 38,826 | 195,360 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Withheld for tax | 24,888 | 189,305 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 15,365 | 198,828 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | EZZELL JACK P | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,775 | 156,534 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | BODINE CHRIS W | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 33,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Harlam Bari A | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 29,905 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Award / grant | 106,061 | 214,193 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Gift | 27,465 | 161,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Gift | 27,465 | 887,103 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Bauza Carmen | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 20,622 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | ROY J STEVEN | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 33,653 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Troiano John | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 33,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Award / grant | 106,061 | 214,193 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 36,988 | 161,840 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 36,988 | 639,021 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | EZZELL JACK P | officer | Award / grant | 44,192 | 169,309 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Schraudenbach John | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 42,352 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Lamkin Jeffrey B. | director | Award / grant | 7,892 | 33,928 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-19 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 51,125 | 602,033 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Withheld for tax | 6,456 | 116,234 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Withheld for tax | 5,095 | 117,595 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | EZZELL JACK P | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,946 | 125,117 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Award / grant | 43,674 | 122,690 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Gift | 9,463 | 108,132 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | AISQUITH ANTHONY M | director | Gift | 9,463 | 787,156 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Award / grant | 43,674 | 122,690 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 8,102 | 108,132 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Singleton Philip Austin Jr. | director | Gift | 8,102 | 653,158 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | EZZELL JACK P | officer | Award / grant | 17,678 | 128,063 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.