Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.43 · now $32.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OMCL has typically landed between $25.58 and $38.90 — a range of −21.1% to +20.0% from the issuance price $32.43.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where OMCL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $32.43 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.41 (-3.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $28.51–$34.31
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $25.58–$38.9
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-03-27 | −46.1% | −46.2% | +1.8% |
| 2008-03-26 | −44.5% | −44.5% | +5.0% |
| 2022-10-04 | −44.3% | −44.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-07-29 | +60.1% | +0.0% | +60.2% |
| 2024-07-15 | +57.7% | +0.0% | +57.7% |
| 2024-07-08 | +57.3% | −2.6% | +57.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Sale | 3,083 @ $36.85 | $114K | −1.9% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 161,224 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $47.00 | $470K | −2.8% of holding | −22.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 345,861 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 5,025 @ $43.22 | $217K | −4.3% of holding | −11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 112,783 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Sale | 3,090 @ $43.22 | $134K | −2.0% of holding | −11.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,785 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 7,405 @ $34.69 | $257K | −7.1% of holding | +4.5% | −18.6% | 96,717 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 4,243 @ $36.59 | $155K | −4.7% of holding | −5.8% | −16.7% | 85,496 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 6,106 @ $49.90 | $305K | −6.2% of holding | −28.5% | −17.0% | 91,674 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 278 @ $43.30 | $12K | −0.3% of holding | +10.7% | −23.6% | 97,780 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 6,106 @ $39.90 | $244K | −5.8% of holding | +15.1% | −2.2% | 98,282 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Sale | 28,250 @ $35.97 | $1.0M | −6.8% of holding | +24.9% | +4.5% | 386,648 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 3,473 @ $34.90 | $121K | −3.2% of holding | +33.1% | +18.8% | 104,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Manley Corey J | officer | Sale | 3,880 @ $33.25 | $129K | −3.4% of holding | −8.6% | +5.4% | 110,653 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Purchase | 10,561 @ $33.13 | $350K | +3.3% of holding | −0.3% | −20.4% | 333,610 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | PARRISH MARK W | director | Sale | 12,000 @ $47.30 | $568K | −17.0% of holding | −7.0% | −37.6% | 58,427 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 12,350 | 511,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,025 | 108,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,670 | 164,307 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | NUTT BRIAN H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 937 | 22,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Award / grant | 12,309 | 167,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | PARRISH MARK W | director | Award / grant | 4,845 | 70,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Scott Bruce E | director | Award / grant | 4,627 | 27,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Voynick Eileen J. | director | Award / grant | 4,785 | 20,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ghoshal Kaushik | director | Award / grant | 4,603 | 19,123 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Seim Robin Gene | director | Award / grant | 4,845 | 52,198 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bauer Joanne B | director | Award / grant | 5,027 | 49,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Bousa Edward Peter | director | Award / grant | 4,603 | 22,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Garrett Mary | director | Award / grant | 5,027 | 22,202 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 12,347 | 523,184 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,041 | 117,808 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,660 | 157,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | NUTT BRIAN H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 226 | 22,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Award / grant | 90,939 | 535,531 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Radford Harlan Baird | officer | Award / grant | 37,037 | 69,969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Award / grant | 46,296 | 161,535 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Manley Corey J | officer | Award / grant | 25,132 | 121,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | NUTT BRIAN H. | officer | Award / grant | 5,556 | 23,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 15,642 | 444,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,456 | 115,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,819 | 104,122 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Award / grant | 37,409 | 123,695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Award / grant | 79,494 | 460,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Award / grant | 22,445 | 107,941 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 5,294 | 380,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,022 | 89,652 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,146 | 86,286 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | NUTT BRIAN H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 258 | 17,530 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 1,147 | 385,501 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Withheld for tax | 224 | 98,058 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Option exercise | 28,250 | 414,898 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Option exercise | 28,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | LIPPS RANDALL A | director | Withheld for tax | 8,437 | 386,648 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Etta Nchacha | director | Withheld for tax | 7,368 | 117,808 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Njoku Nnamdi | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,095 | 87,193 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Manley Corey J | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,792 | 107,861 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.