OMCOmnicom Group Inc.Communication Services · Advertising Agenciesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $79.33 · now $79.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OMC has typically landed between $70.42 and $88.26 — a range of −11.2% to +11.3% from the issuance price $79.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($79.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OMC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $79.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$70.42worst · -11.2%$88.26best · +11.3%
  • now $79.33 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $80.05 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $76.24–$83.87
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $70.42–$88.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−37.7%−37.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−36.5%−36.5%+0.0%
2008-09-26−33.5%−33.5%+0.0%
3 best
2020-10-29+37.6%+0.0%+40.7%
2020-10-28+36.7%−0.6%+39.8%
2020-11-04+35.9%+0.0%+36.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$22.7B
market cap
$1.08
EPS (TTM)
73.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$17.3B
'20'25
Net income−$55M
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.8B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr-0.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr-0.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.06
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $79.33$7.01$156.30
  • DCF (intrinsic)$142.22
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$17.31
  • Analyst target · range $83.00–$146.00$90.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$79.33

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.1%
n=18
Feb
58%
+3.2%
n=19
Mar
53%
+0.0%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.2%
n=19
May
32%
−1.9%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.5%
n=19
Jul
53%
+0.4%
n=19
Aug
53%
−0.8%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.8%
n=19
Oct
44%
+0.4%
n=18
Nov
72%
+4.9%
n=18
Dec
78%
+2.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$89$662026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $123K — RICE LINDA JOHNSON2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $115K — RICE LINDA JOHNSON2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $115K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $123K↑ buys↓ salesdirector RICE LINDA JOHNSON — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector RICE LINDA JOHNSON — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24RICE LINDA JOHNSONdirectorSale1,385 @ $88.73$123K−10.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open11,719Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02RICE LINDA JOHNSONdirectorSale1,348 @ $85.25$115K−10.5% of holding−5.9%−7.7%11,501Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-30RICE LINDA JOHNSONdirectorSale1,639 @ $73.65$121K−13.4% of holding−3.6%−17.2%10,586Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-15Simm DaryldirectorWithheld for tax3,172250,868Form 4
2026-08-15Castellaneta AndrewofficerWithheld for tax1,34820,795Form 4
2026-08-15Januzzi Louis FofficerWithheld for tax1,30839,558Form 4
2026-07-16Januzzi Louis FofficerAward / grant7,72040,866Form 4
2026-07-01MARTORE GRACIA CdirectorAward / grant70428,410Form 4
2026-07-01Hawkins Ronnie S.directorAward / grant70421,978Form 4
2026-07-01Kissire Deborah J.directorAward / grant70427,720Form 4
2026-07-01Moore Patrick QdirectorAward / grant70424,501Form 4
2026-07-01RICE LINDA JOHNSONdirectorAward / grant70413,104Form 4
2026-07-01Pineda Patricia SalasdirectorAward / grant70411,346Form 4
2026-07-01Williams ValeriedirectorAward / grant70426,377Form 4
2026-07-01WYATT E LEEdirectorAward / grant70424,501Form 4
2026-07-01Santos CassandradirectorAward / grant7046,576Form 4
2026-07-01CHOKSI MARY CdirectorAward / grant70447,929Form 4
2026-07-01COLEMAN LEONARD S JRdirectorAward / grant70450,336Form 4
2026-07-01Gerstein Mark DdirectorAward / grant70416,023Form 4
2026-07-01Gerstein Mark DdirectorAward / grant30916,332Form 4
2026-05-22WREN JOHNdirectorWithheld for tax38,767253,001Form 4
2026-05-22ANGELASTRO PHILIP JofficerWithheld for tax24,922542,396Form 4
2026-05-22Simm DaryldirectorWithheld for tax22,931254,040Form 4
2026-05-22ANGELASTRO PHILIP JofficerAward / grant48,818567,318Form 4
2026-05-22Simm DaryldirectorAward / grant54,242276,971Form 4
2026-05-22WREN JOHNdirectorAward / grant75,938291,768Form 4
2026-05-15ANGELASTRO PHILIP JofficerWithheld for tax4,476518,500Form 4
2026-05-15WREN JOHNdirectorWithheld for tax4,397215,830Form 4
2026-05-15Simm DaryldirectorWithheld for tax3,969222,729Form 4
2026-05-15Januzzi Louis FofficerWithheld for tax1,84933,146Form 4
2026-04-01Williams ValeriedirectorAward / grant68125,409Form 4
2026-04-01COLEMAN LEONARD S JRdirectorAward / grant68149,287Form 4
2026-04-01RICE LINDA JOHNSONdirectorAward / grant68112,288Form 4
2026-04-01Hawkins Ronnie S.directorAward / grant68121,134Form 4
2026-04-01Santos CassandradirectorAward / grant6815,837Form 4
2026-04-01MARTORE GRACIA CdirectorAward / grant68127,448Form 4
2026-04-01Gerstein Mark DdirectorAward / grant68114,869Form 4
2026-04-01Gerstein Mark DdirectorAward / grant29915,168Form 4
2026-04-01Moore Patrick QdirectorAward / grant68123,797Form 4
2026-04-01Pineda Patricia SalasdirectorAward / grant68110,540Form 4
2026-04-01CHOKSI MARY CdirectorAward / grant68146,734Form 4
2026-04-01Kissire Deborah J.directorAward / grant68126,738Form 4
2026-04-01WYATT E LEEdirectorAward / grant68123,797Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2026-02-152026-01-29$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2026-02-152026-01-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatesale2025-11-152025-10-31$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-02-062025-01-17$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.