OMOutset Medical, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.12 · now $3.12 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OM has typically landed between $1.83 and $4.42 — a range of −41.2% to +41.7% from the issuance price $3.12.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,475 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.12) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.12 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.83worst · -41.2%$4.42best · +41.7%
  • now $3.12 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3 (-3.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.47–$3.53
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.83–$4.42
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,475 windows spanning 2020-09-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-08-07−85.6%−85.6%+0.0%
2024-08-06−85.5%−85.5%+0.0%
2024-08-05−85.4%−85.4%+0.6%
3 best
2022-11-08+97.3%+0.0%+97.3%
2025-04-21+95.5%+0.0%+96.2%
2024-11-06+93.5%+0.0%+93.5%

1,475 overlapping windows · 2020-09-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
−9.3%
n=6
Feb
33%
−6.7%
n=6
Mar
67%
−4.2%
n=6
Apr
50%
+1.0%
n=6
May
67%
+14.3%
n=6
Jun
67%
−3.7%
n=6
Jul
17%
−8.1%
n=6
Aug
33%
−16.9%
n=6
Sep
50%
−3.6%
n=6
Oct
17%
−15.3%
n=6
Nov
67%
+17.1%
n=6
Dec
50%
+2.8%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$16$32026-08-17: 3 insider sales, $47K — Gaeta Renee, Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L.2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $87K — Gaeta Renee2026-05-15: 3 insider sales, $28K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2026-02-17: 3 insider sales, $27K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2026-01-21: 3 insider sales, $21K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2026-01-20: 3 insider sales, $136K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2026-01-07: 3 insider sales, $9K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $7K — Drexler Karen2025-11-17: 3 insider sales, $7K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2025-08-15: 3 insider sales, $20K — Trigg Leslie, Brottem John L., Nash Marc2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $20K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $7K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $7K2026-01: 9 open-market sales, $166K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $27K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $28K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $87K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $47K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Gaeta Renee — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gaeta Renee — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed same dayofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed same dayofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed same daydirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Drexler Karen — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Trigg Leslie — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Brottem John L. — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Nash Marc — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Gaeta ReneedirectorSale4,543 @ $4.39$20K−2.5% of holding−28.4%not yet — horizon still open180,840Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Trigg LesliedirectorSale3,437 @ $4.39$15K−1.7% of holding−28.4%not yet — horizon still open194,597Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Brottem John L.officerSale2,632 @ $4.39$12K−2.9% of holding−28.4%not yet — horizon still open87,475Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Gaeta ReneedirectorSale17,672 @ $4.94$87K−13.4% of holding+10.6%not yet — horizon still open113,753Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Trigg LesliedirectorSale3,445 @ $3.70$13K−3.4% of holding+20.0%not yet — horizon still open98,874Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Brottem John L.officerSale2,638 @ $3.70$10K−8.0% of holding+20.0%not yet — horizon still open30,277Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Nash MarcofficerSale1,582 @ $3.70$6K−4.0% of holding+20.0%not yet — horizon still open38,393Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-17Trigg LesliedirectorSale3,361 @ $3.35$11K−3.2% of holding+6.2%−4.0%102,342Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Brottem John L.officerSale2,842 @ $3.35$10K−7.9% of holding+6.2%−4.0%32,935Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Nash MarcofficerSale1,817 @ $3.35$6K−4.3% of holding+6.2%−4.0%39,988Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-21Trigg LesliedirectorSale2,120 @ $5.05$11K−2.0% of holding−32.7%−18.6%105,703Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-21Brottem John L.officerSale1,180 @ $5.01$6K−3.2% of holding−32.7%−18.6%35,777Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-21Nash MarcofficerSale980 @ $4.98$5K−2.3% of holding−32.7%−18.6%41,805Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-20Trigg LesliedirectorSale11,794 @ $5.12$60K−9.9% of holding−31.1%−29.1%107,823Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-20Brottem John L.officerSale9,314 @ $5.12$48K−20.1% of holding−31.1%−29.1%36,957Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-20Nash MarcofficerSale5,375 @ $5.12$28K−11.2% of holding−31.1%−29.1%42,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07Trigg LesliedirectorSale1,795 @ $4.27$8K−1.5% of holding+3.5%−8.0%119,617Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07Brottem John L.officerSale224 @ $4.27$956−0.5% of holding+3.5%−8.0%46,271Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-07Nash MarcofficerSale108 @ $4.27$461−0.2% of holding+3.5%−8.0%48,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Drexler KarendirectorSale1,548 @ $4.37$7K−12.7% of holding−12.6%−2.5%10,650Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17Trigg LesliedirectorSale916 @ $4.60$4K−0.7% of holding−24.2%−23.0%121,412Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17Brottem John L.officerSale388 @ $4.60$2K−0.8% of holding−24.2%−23.0%46,495Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17Nash MarcofficerSale247 @ $4.60$1K−0.5% of holding−24.2%−23.0%48,268Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15Trigg LesliedirectorSale904 @ $12.88$12K−0.7% of holding+1.6%−82.3%122,328Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Brottem John L.officerSale383 @ $12.88$5K−0.8% of holding+1.6%−82.3%46,883Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Nash MarcofficerSale243 @ $12.88$3K−0.6% of holding+1.6%−82.3%42,898Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15Trigg LesliedirectorSale935 @ $17.80$17K−1.6% of holding+2.6%−89.4%58,129Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15Ahmed NabeelofficerSale584 @ $17.81$10K−3.5% of holding+2.6%−89.4%16,096Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15Brottem John L.officerSale396 @ $17.82$7K−3.4% of holding+2.6%−89.4%11,273Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15Nash MarcofficerSale252 @ $17.82$4K−1.8% of holding+2.6%−89.4%13,465Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Trigg LesliedirectorSale14,611 @ $0.90$13K−1.6% of holding−32.0%−7.2%880,969Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Ahmed NabeelofficerSale8,659 @ $0.90$8K−3.3% of holding−32.0%−7.2%250,210Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Brottem John L.officerSale6,145 @ $0.90$6K−3.4% of holding−32.0%−7.2%175,043Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Nash MarcofficerSale4,204 @ $0.90$4K−2.1% of holding−32.0%−7.2%200,764Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Trigg LesliedirectorSale42,384 @ $0.80$34K−4.4% of holding+17.8%+54.9%914,029Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Ahmed NabeelofficerSale29,474 @ $0.80$24K−10.1% of holding+17.8%+54.9%262,776Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Brottem John L.officerSale29,474 @ $0.80$24K−13.8% of holding+17.8%+54.9%183,867Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Nash MarcofficerSale21,590 @ $0.80$17K−9.5% of holding+17.8%+54.9%206,243Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Trigg LesliedirectorSale18,449 @ $0.80$15K−2.0% of holding+17.8%+54.9%895,580Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Trigg LesliedirectorSale4,403 @ $0.80$4K−0.5% of holding+17.8%+54.9%956,413Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Ahmed NabeelofficerSale3,907 @ $0.80$3K−1.5% of holding+17.8%+54.9%258,869Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Brottem John L.officerSale2,679 @ $0.80$2K−1.5% of holding+17.8%+54.9%181,188Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Nash MarcofficerSale971 @ $0.80$777−0.5% of holding+17.8%+54.9%205,272Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Ahmed NabeelofficerSale907 @ $0.80$726−0.3% of holding+17.8%+54.9%292,250Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Brottem John L.officerSale777 @ $0.80$622−0.4% of holding+17.8%+54.9%213,341Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Nash MarcofficerSale356 @ $0.80$285−0.2% of holding+17.8%+54.9%227,833Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Nash MarcofficerSale304 @ $0.80$243−0.1% of holding+17.8%+54.9%204,968Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-13Trigg LesliedirectorSale33,227 @ $0.81$27K−3.7% of holding−7.2%+41.3%861,397Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-13Ahmed NabeelofficerSale29,031 @ $0.81$24K−9.4% of holding−7.2%+41.3%279,901Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-13Brottem John L.officerSale20,492 @ $0.81$17K−9.1% of holding−7.2%+41.3%205,028Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-13Nash MarcofficerSale15,011 @ $0.81$12K−6.3% of holding−7.2%+41.3%222,291Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-07Trigg LesliedirectorSale10,227 @ $1.29$13K−1.1% of holding−28.4%+10.9%894,624Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-07Ahmed NabeelofficerSale1,835 @ $1.29$2K−0.6% of holding−28.4%+10.9%308,932Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-07Brottem John L.officerSale1,572 @ $1.29$2K−0.7% of holding−28.4%+10.9%225,520Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-07Nash MarcofficerSale720 @ $1.29$929−0.3% of holding−28.4%+10.9%237,302Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-26Brottem John L.officerAward / grant59,83090,107Form 4
2026-06-26Gaeta ReneedirectorAward / grant71,630185,383Form 4
2026-06-26Trigg LesliedirectorAward / grant99,160198,034Form 4
2026-06-04HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorAward / grant10,667105,839Form 4
2026-06-04Prange KarendirectorAward / grant10,66729,334Form 4
2026-06-04OBOYLE KEVIN CdirectorAward / grant10,66734,785Form 4
2026-06-04Drexler KarendirectorAward / grant10,66721,317Form 4
2026-06-04GROSSMAN D KEITHdirectorAward / grant10,66724,585Form 4
2026-06-04LANG BRENT D.directorAward / grant10,66728,518Form 4
2026-05-15Leonard Braden MichaeltenPercentOwnerExercise323,0002,519,701Form 4
2026-05-11Leonard Braden MichaeltenPercentOwnerExercise96,9002,196,701Form 4
2026-05-08Leonard Braden MichaeltenPercentOwnerExercise197,6002,099,801Form 4
2026-04-06Elliott Derick A.officerAward / grant96,00096,000Form 4
2026-01-09Prange KarendirectorAward / grant18,66718,667Form 4
2025-08-25Nash MarcofficerAward / grant5,61748,515Form 4
2025-06-10Nash MarcofficerAward / grant29,67643,141Form 4
2025-06-10Gaeta ReneedirectorAward / grant131,425131,425Form 4
2025-06-10Trigg LesliedirectorAward / grant65,103123,232Form 4
2025-06-10Brottem John L.officerAward / grant35,99347,266Form 4
2025-06-02GROSSMAN D KEITHdirectorAward / grant8,98313,918Form 4
2025-06-02HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorAward / grant8,98395,172Form 4
2025-06-02LANG BRENT D.directorAward / grant8,98317,851Form 4
2025-06-02Saia Andrea LynndirectorAward / grant8,98312,175Form 4
2025-06-02Drexler KarendirectorAward / grant8,98312,198Form 4
2025-06-02OBOYLE KEVIN CdirectorAward / grant8,98324,118Form 4
2025-05-14OBOYLE KEVIN CdirectorAward / grant15,13515,135Form 4
2025-03-10LANG BRENT D.directorOption exercise1,0000Form 4
2025-03-10HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorOption exercise2,5000Form 4
2025-03-10HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorOption exercise5,0000Form 4
2025-03-10GROSSMAN D KEITHdirectorOption exercise7500Form 4
2025-03-10Trigg LesliedirectorOption exercise2,5000Form 4
2025-03-10Drexler KarendirectorOption exercise1250Form 4
2025-03-10HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorOption exercise5,0000Form 4
2025-03-10GROSSMAN D KEITHdirectorOption exercise187,500192,686Form 4
2025-03-10LANG BRENT D.directorOption exercise250,000250,000Form 4
2025-03-10GROSSMAN D KEITHdirectorOption exercise187,500192,686Form 4
2025-03-10Trigg LesliedirectorOption exercise625,000625,000Form 4
2025-03-10HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorOption exercise1,250,0001,292,849Form 4
2025-03-10HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorOption exercise1,250,0001,250,000Form 4
2025-03-10HACKETT PATRICK TdirectorOption exercise625,000625,000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.