OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Diversifiedas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.87 · now $22.96 (2026-09-17, +0.4% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OLP has typically landed between $20.58 and $25.15 — a range of −10.0% to +10.0% from the issuance price $22.87.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OLP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.58worst · -10.0%$25.15best · +10.0%
  • now $22.96 (+0.4%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.01 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $22.08–$23.93
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.58–$25.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,004 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-01-28−58.1%−58.1%+0.0%
2020-02-21−57.4%−57.4%+0.0%
2020-02-18−57.0%−57.0%+0.0%
3 best
2010-03-09+75.2%+0.0%+75.2%
2009-03-30+74.2%+0.0%+74.2%
2010-03-01+73.4%+0.0%+73.4%

5,004 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−1.7%
n=20
Feb
55%
−2.4%
n=20
Mar
70%
+5.0%
n=20
Apr
75%
+3.2%
n=20
May
50%
+1.8%
n=20
Jun
60%
+2.1%
n=20
Jul
70%
+2.2%
n=20
Aug
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Sep
35%
−1.3%
n=20
Oct
55%
−0.1%
n=20
Nov
65%
+2.3%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$25$192026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $108K — Clair Justin2026-06-29: 1 insider sale, $147K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-06-26: 1 insider sale, $85K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-06-25: 1 insider sale, $55K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $63K — Clair Justin2026-04-02: 1 insider sale, $66K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-25: 1 insider sale, $11K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-24: 1 insider sale, $47K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $113K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $58K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $35K — RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-11: 2 insider sales, $78K — Clair Justin, RICKETTS LAWRENCE2026-03-10: 3 insider sales, $61K — Clair Justin, RICKETTS LAWRENCE …2026-03: 10 open-market sales, $404K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $66K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $63K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $286K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $108K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Clair Justin — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed same dayofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-06-25, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Clair Justin — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-25, filed same dayofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Clair Justin — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Clair Justin — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer RICKETTS LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Clair JustinofficerSale4,500 @ $24.06$108K−11.6% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open34,153Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-29RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale6,000 @ $24.50$147K−3.5% of holding+2.4%not yet — horizon still open165,522Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-26RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale3,499 @ $24.21$85K−2.0% of holding+0.9%not yet — horizon still open171,522Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-25RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale2,501 @ $21.82$55K−1.4% of holding+5.5%not yet — horizon still open175,021Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Clair JustinofficerSale2,676 @ $23.36$63K−7.5% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open33,074Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-02RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale2,999 @ $21.86$66K−1.7% of holding−6.9%not yet — horizon still open177,522Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-25RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale500 @ $22.33$11K−0.3% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open180,521Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-24RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale2,000 @ $23.58$47K−1.1% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open181,021Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale5,000 @ $22.64$113K−2.7% of holding−4.5%not yet — horizon still open183,021Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-17RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale2,501 @ $23.38$58K−1.3% of holding−2.8%−9.9%188,021Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale1,491 @ $23.17$35K−0.8% of holding−2.8%−9.3%190,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Clair JustinofficerSale3,389 @ $23.04$78K−8.7% of holding+0.5%−7.3%35,750Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-11RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale1,000 @ $0.00$0−0.5% of holding+0.5%−7.3%192,013Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Clair JustinofficerSale2,611 @ $23.34$61K−6.3% of holding−0.4%−7.3%39,139Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale1,075 @ $0.00$0−0.6% of holding−0.4%−7.3%194,197Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale1,184 @ $0.00$0−0.6% of holding−0.4%−7.3%193,013Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-18RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale400 @ $25.00$10K−0.2% of holding−10.8%−23.8%184,706Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-17RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale2,000 @ $24.98$50K−1.1% of holding−11.4%−26.4%185,106Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-12RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale4,160 @ $25.25$105K−2.2% of holding−8.6%−28.8%187,106Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-11RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale2,502 @ $25.62$64K−1.3% of holding−6.6%−28.9%191,266Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-10RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale8,567 @ $25.67$220K−4.2% of holding−7.3%−30.5%193,768Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-04Clair JustinofficerSale3,324 @ $25.10$83K−8.5% of holding−13.4%−43.4%35,750Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-18RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale600 @ $26.30$16K−0.3% of holding−0.6%−27.9%202,335Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale1,100 @ $26.50$29K−0.5% of holding−2.8%−28.0%203,635Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale700 @ $26.75$19K−0.3% of holding−2.8%−28.0%202,935Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-11-27Clair JustinofficerSale6,175 @ $30.15$186K−15.7% of holding−7.3%−15.0%33,074Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2024-11-13Siri LeordirectorSale1,178 @ $28.56$34K−3.7% of holding+0.3%−11.0%30,450Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2024-11-12GOULD JEFFREYdirectorSale13,353 @ $28.50$381K−3.6% of holding+2.1%−10.7%358,645Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-09-17RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerSale5,500 @ $28.43$156K−2.8% of holding−3.4%−4.9%187,560Form 4 · filed 121 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

68 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-05CALLAN PATRICK JRdirectorAward / grant13,390452,607Form 4
2026-08-05Clair JustinofficerAward / grant5,57938,653Form 4
2026-08-05Figueroa RichardofficerAward / grant3,57188,138Form 4
2026-08-05GOULD FREDRIC HdirectorAward / grant4,910630,283Form 4
2026-08-05GOULD JEFFREYdirectorAward / grant5,802396,480Form 4
2026-08-05GOULD MATTHEW JdirectorAward / grant5,802366,050Form 4
2026-08-05KALISH DAVIDofficerAward / grant4,910252,860Form 4
2026-08-05LUNDY MARK HofficerAward / grant4,910232,263Form 4
2026-08-05Mathew MiliofficerAward / grant2,67831,569Form 4
2026-08-05RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerAward / grant10,712176,234Form 4
2026-08-05ROSENZWEIG ISRAELdirectorAward / grant1,785223,378Form 4
2026-08-05Kalish IsaacofficerAward / grant3,571100,617Form 4
2026-01-14Kalish IsaacofficerAward / grant6,80097,046Form 4
2026-01-14Lovejoy Jesse RobertdirectorAward / grant3,50098,449Form 4
2026-01-14Figueroa RichardofficerAward / grant5,20084,567Form 4
2026-01-14GOULD FREDRIC HdirectorAward / grant9,200625,373Form 4
2026-01-14GOULD JEFFREYdirectorAward / grant11,600390,678Form 4
2026-01-14Block AlysaofficerAward / grant3,00030,633Form 4
2026-01-14GOULD MATTHEW JdirectorAward / grant11,600360,248Form 4
2026-01-14CALLAN PATRICK JRdirectorAward / grant25,659439,217Form 4
2026-01-14Clair JustinofficerAward / grant6,00041,750Form 4
2026-01-14BIEDERMAN CHARLESdirectorAward / grant3,50059,857Form 4
2026-01-14Gellert EdwarddirectorAward / grant3,50018,650Form 4
2026-01-14KALISH DAVIDofficerAward / grant7,400247,950Form 4
2026-01-14Till Karen A.directorAward / grant3,50023,498Form 4
2026-01-14ROSENZWEIG ISRAELdirectorAward / grant1,600221,593Form 4
2026-01-14RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerDisposition20,346195,272Form 4
2026-01-14LUNDY MARK HofficerAward / grant7,900227,353Form 4
2026-01-14Mathew MiliofficerAward / grant4,00028,891Form 4
2026-01-14Siri LeordirectorAward / grant3,50037,450Form 4
2025-09-09RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerDisposition3,996174,926Form 4
2025-09-05RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerDisposition4,800178,922Form 4
2025-09-04RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerDisposition1,950183,722Form 4
2025-09-04Kalish IsaacofficerGift4,5132,642Form 4
2025-09-03RICKETTS LAWRENCEofficerDisposition4,275185,672Form 4
2025-09-02Clair JustinofficerDisposition2,75635,750Form 4
2025-08-05ROSENZWEIG ISRAELdirectorAward / grant882219,993Form 4
2025-08-05KALISH DAVIDofficerAward / grant2,425240,550Form 4
2025-08-05Kalish IsaacofficerAward / grant1,76490,246Form 4
2025-08-05GOULD MATTHEW JdirectorAward / grant2,866348,648Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.