OLEDUniversal Display CorporationTechnology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $76.31 · now $76.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OLED has typically landed between $62.54 and $88.79 — a range of −18.1% to +16.4% from the issuance price $76.31.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($76.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OLED has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $76.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$62.54worst · -18.1%$88.79best · +16.4%
  • now $76.31 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $75.75 (-0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.21–$81.28
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $62.54–$88.79
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-21−45.9%−45.9%+4.1%
2008-10-22−45.8%−45.8%+8.3%
2008-10-20−45.1%−45.1%+0.0%
3 best
2011-08-08+131.5%+0.0%+131.5%
2011-08-18+106.7%−1.1%+106.7%
2011-08-19+98.1%+0.0%+109.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.8%
n=20
Feb
55%
+2.9%
n=20
Mar
55%
+4.6%
n=20
Apr
50%
+0.1%
n=20
May
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Jun
55%
+2.1%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.9%
n=20
Aug
50%
+4.3%
n=20
Sep
35%
−3.3%
n=20
Oct
55%
+1.3%
n=20
Nov
40%
−1.4%
n=20
Dec
70%
+6.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$149$762026-08-18: 2 insider sales, $422K — LACERTE LAWRENCE …2026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $93K — ELIAS RICHARD C2026-05-07: 6 insider purchases, $1.4M — ABRAMSON STEVEN V, Premutico Mauro …2025-08-19: 4 insider sales, $373K — Millard Brian …2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $373K2026-05: 7 open-market purchases, $1.5M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $422K↑ buys↓ salesdirector LACERTE LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LACERTE LAWRENCE — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ELIAS RICHARD C — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ABRAMSON STEVEN V — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector ABRAMSON STEVEN V — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector ABRAMSON STEVEN V — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Premutico Mauro — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Premutico Mauro — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Premutico Mauro — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Millard Brian — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Millard Brian — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Millard Brian — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Millard Brian — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18LACERTE LAWRENCEdirectorSale4,653 @ $84.94$395K−3.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open114,810Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-18LACERTE LAWRENCEdirectorSale314 @ $85.56$27K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open114,496Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $92.84$93K+219.3% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open1,456Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorPurchase4,550 @ $93.62$426K+1.6% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open293,789Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorPurchase3,650 @ $92.46$337K+1.3% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open289,239Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorPurchase2,800 @ $94.40$264K+1.0% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open296,589Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07Premutico MauroofficerPurchase1,444 @ $93.75$135K+2.9% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open51,681Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07Premutico MauroofficerPurchase1,450 @ $92.51$134K+3.0% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open50,237Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07Premutico MauroofficerPurchase800 @ $94.40$76K+1.5% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open52,481Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-19Millard BrianofficerSale1,751 @ $140.13$245K−11.2% of holding−3.6%−23.8%13,900Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-19Millard BrianofficerSale461 @ $141.27$65K−3.3% of holding−3.6%−23.8%13,439Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-19Millard BrianofficerSale359 @ $142.57$51K−2.7% of holding−3.6%−23.8%13,080Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-19Millard BrianofficerSale80 @ $143.08$11K−0.6% of holding−3.6%−23.8%13,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

180 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-10ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorGift45511,326Form 4
2026-07-10ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorGift4551,000Form 4
2026-06-30Walker AprildirectorAward / grant4552,281Form 4
2026-06-30Joseph Celia MdirectorAward / grant4558,863Form 4
2026-06-30LACERTE LAWRENCEdirectorAward / grant455119,463Form 4
2026-06-30Lau JoandirectorAward / grant4553,316Form 4
2026-06-30ROSENBLATT SIDNEY DdirectorAward / grant455137,639Form 4
2026-06-30Brown NigeldirectorAward / grant4553,316Form 4
2026-06-30Comparin Cynthia JanedirectorAward / grant4558,863Form 4
2026-06-30ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorAward / grant4551,455Form 4
2026-06-30GEMMILL ELIZABETH HdirectorAward / grant455100,307Form 4
2026-06-30HARTLEY C KEITHdirectorAward / grant45584,753Form 4
2026-05-11ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorGift4561,000Form 4
2026-05-11ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorGift45610,871Form 4
2026-03-31Brown NigeldirectorAward / grant4562,861Form 4
2026-03-31ELIAS RICHARD CdirectorAward / grant456456Form 4
2026-03-31LACERTE LAWRENCEdirectorAward / grant456119,008Form 4
2026-03-31HARTLEY C KEITHdirectorAward / grant45684,298Form 4
2026-03-31Lau JoandirectorAward / grant4562,861Form 4
2026-03-31Walker AprildirectorAward / grant4561,826Form 4
2026-03-31Comparin Cynthia JanedirectorAward / grant4568,408Form 4
2026-03-31GEMMILL ELIZABETH HdirectorAward / grant45699,852Form 4
2026-03-31Joseph Celia MdirectorAward / grant4568,408Form 4
2026-03-31ROSENBLATT SIDNEY DdirectorAward / grant456136,792Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorWithheld for tax8,383283,818Form 4
2026-03-07Premutico MauroofficerWithheld for tax5,90548,551Form 4
2026-03-07BROWN JULIA JofficerWithheld for tax5,88494,802Form 4
2026-03-07Mahon Janice KofficerWithheld for tax4,11364,658Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorWithheld for tax2,707287,494Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorWithheld for tax2,539272,438Form 4
2026-03-07Millard BrianofficerWithheld for tax2,09621,618Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAMSON STEVEN VdirectorWithheld for tax2,039285,455Form 4
2026-03-07Premutico MauroofficerWithheld for tax1,90750,091Form 4
2026-03-07BROWN JULIA JofficerWithheld for tax1,90097,383Form 4
2026-03-07Premutico MauroofficerWithheld for tax1,78943,784Form 4
2026-03-07BROWN JULIA JofficerWithheld for tax1,54486,814Form 4
2026-03-07Premutico MauroofficerWithheld for tax1,43648,655Form 4
2026-03-07BROWN JULIA JofficerWithheld for tax1,43195,952Form 4
2026-03-07Mahon Janice KofficerWithheld for tax1,42066,015Form 4
2026-03-07Mahon Janice KofficerWithheld for tax1,06964,946Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.