OIO-I Glass, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.15 · now $6.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OI has typically landed between $5.05 and $7.30 — a range of −17.9% to +18.8% from the issuance price $6.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where OI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.05worst · -17.9%$7.3best · +18.8%
  • now $6.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.12 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.64–$6.61
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.05–$7.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−65.2%−65.2%+2.6%
2020-02-19−60.8%−65.0%+3.2%
2020-02-21−59.8%−66.1%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-31+68.9%+0.0%+68.9%
2009-03-09+67.1%+0.0%+74.0%
2009-04-20+66.9%+0.0%+66.9%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+0.3%
n=18
Feb
53%
+1.7%
n=19
Mar
42%
−0.9%
n=19
Apr
47%
+5.1%
n=19
May
53%
−0.5%
n=19
Jun
42%
−3.1%
n=19
Jul
53%
+2.0%
n=19
Aug
21%
−6.6%
n=19
Sep
47%
−3.2%
n=19
Oct
33%
−3.0%
n=18
Nov
50%
+2.2%
n=18
Dec
67%
+4.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$17$62026-05-15: 1 insider purchase, $102K — Chapin Samuel R.2026-05-14: 1 insider purchase, $30K — Restrepo Eduardo2026-05-11: 2 insider purchases, $45K — ABRAHAMS DARROW A, Haudrich John2026-05-08: 1 insider purchase, $102K — BURNS RANDOLPH L2025-08: 3 open-market purchases, $185K2026-05: 5 open-market purchases, $279K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Chapin Samuel R. — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Restrepo Eduardo — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer ABRAHAMS DARROW A — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Haudrich John — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BURNS RANDOLPH L — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-15Chapin Samuel R.directorPurchase12,000 @ $8.51$102K+14.0% of holding+6.6%not yet — horizon still open97,482Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14Restrepo EduardoofficerPurchase3,309 @ $8.98$30K+3.6% of holding+0.5%not yet — horizon still open94,199Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11ABRAHAMS DARROW AofficerPurchase2,774 @ $9.04$25K+1.2% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open235,928Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Haudrich JohnofficerPurchase2,207 @ $9.07$20K+0.4% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open544,132Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08BURNS RANDOLPH LofficerPurchase11,000 @ $9.32$102K+8.9% of holding−10.4%not yet — horizon still open133,932Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-05Hardie GordondirectorPurchase8,000 @ $13.10$105K+1.6% of holding−6.2%+17.6%515,817Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05ABRAHAMS DARROW AofficerPurchase3,828 @ $13.05$50K+2.1% of holding−6.2%+17.6%184,447Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Haudrich JohnofficerPurchase2,289 @ $13.05$30K+0.5% of holding−6.2%+17.6%459,395Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-08AUJOUANNET ARNAUDofficerSale28,763 @ $13.00$374K−20.3% of holding−2.3%−18.5%112,668Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07AUJOUANNET ARNAUDofficerSale1,237 @ $12.95$16K−0.9% of holding−0.9%−16.8%141,431Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

65 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant3,18010,545Form 4
2026-05-14PHYFER CHERI MdirectorAward / grant18,03840,684Form 4
2026-05-14Humphrey JohndirectorAward / grant18,038113,978Form 4
2026-05-14Mackay Iain JamesdirectorAward / grant18,03829,751Form 4
2026-05-14Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant18,03826,237Form 4
2026-05-14Clark David V IIdirectorAward / grant18,03858,169Form 4
2026-05-14NAIR HARI NdirectorAward / grant18,038118,103Form 4
2026-05-14Chapin Samuel R.directorAward / grant18,03885,482Form 4
2026-05-14Slater Catherine IdirectorAward / grant18,03885,482Form 4
2026-05-14Williams Carol AdirectorAward / grant18,038126,689Form 4
2026-05-13Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorWithheld for tax3,5148,199Form 4
2026-04-01Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant2,9147,365Form 4
2026-03-07Hardie GordondirectorWithheld for tax52,274745,617Form 4
2026-03-07Haudrich JohnofficerWithheld for tax46,418541,925Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAHAMS DARROW AofficerWithheld for tax27,427233,154Form 4
2026-03-07BURNS RANDOLPH LofficerWithheld for tax11,324122,932Form 4
2026-03-07DALTON JAMES EDWARDofficerWithheld for tax10,23290,840Form 4
2026-03-07Restrepo EduardoofficerWithheld for tax9,81690,890Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAHAMS DARROW AofficerAward / grant33,955260,581Form 4
2026-03-07ABRAHAMS DARROW AofficerAward / grant42,179226,626Form 4
2026-03-07Restrepo EduardoofficerAward / grant18,45387,588Form 4
2026-03-07Restrepo EduardoofficerAward / grant13,118100,706Form 4
2026-03-07BURNS RANDOLPH LofficerAward / grant24,605122,064Form 4
2026-03-07BURNS RANDOLPH LofficerAward / grant12,192134,256Form 4
2026-03-07Giorgio DonatoofficerAward / grant22,88441,499Form 4
2026-03-07Guerin EmmanuelleofficerAward / grant22,88441,500Form 4
2026-03-07Hardie GordondirectorAward / grant282,074797,891Form 4
2026-03-07Haudrich JohnofficerAward / grant70,299529,694Form 4
2026-03-07Haudrich JohnofficerAward / grant58,649588,343Form 4
2026-03-07DALTON JAMES EDWARDofficerAward / grant22,84790,268Form 4
2026-03-07DALTON JAMES EDWARDofficerAward / grant10,804101,072Form 4
2026-01-02Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant1,9054,451Form 4
2025-12-01Giorgio DonatoofficerAward / grant18,61518,615Form 4
2025-10-01Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant2,1682,546Form 4
2025-07-01Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant377377Form 4
2025-05-15Chapin Samuel R.directorAward / grant11,71367,444Form 4
2025-05-15PHYFER CHERI MdirectorAward / grant11,71322,646Form 4
2025-05-15Garza y Garza EugeniodirectorAward / grant11,71311,713Form 4
2025-05-15Humphrey JohndirectorAward / grant11,71395,940Form 4
2025-05-15Slater Catherine IdirectorAward / grant11,71367,444Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-06-172020-05-20$1–15K
Thad CochranSenatepurchase2018-01-172017-12-18$1–15K
Thad CochranSenatesale2017-08-082017-07-24$1–15K
Thad CochranSenatepurchase2017-05-082017-04-25$1–15K
Robert P Corker JrSenatesale2014-06-102014-05-20$1–15K
Robert P Corker JrSenatepurchase2014-06-102014-01-08$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.