OHI · TickerCove

OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $46.91 · now $46.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, OHI has typically landed between $43.19 and $52.14 — a range of −7.9% to +11.1% from the issuance price $46.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($46.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$46.91 · 70% of range

$37.16 low$51.03 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.8%

typical move · IQR 8.8%

−7.9%worst (p90)+11.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where OHI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $46.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $46.91 (+0.0%)
typical $47.28 (+0.8%)
middle 50% $45.22–$49.34
90% range $43.19–$52.14

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−66.6%	−66.6%	+1.0%
2020-02-14	−59.6%	−59.6%	+1.4%
2020-02-13	−56.5%	−56.5%	+2.8%
3 best
2020-03-18	+118.1%	+0.0%	+134.8%
2020-03-17	+74.9%	−17.0%	+94.9%
2020-03-16	+68.1%	−21.8%	+83.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

65%

+2.9%

n=20

Feb

50%

−0.4%

n=20

Mar

75%

+0.9%

n=20

Apr

65%

+1.7%

n=20

May

55%

+2.2%

n=20

Jun

45%

−0.3%

n=20

Jul

80%

+3.9%

n=20

Aug

55%

+1.5%

n=20

Sep

50%

−0.9%

n=20

Oct

60%

+2.4%

n=20

Nov

35%

+0.7%

n=20

Dec

60%

+1.5%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-01	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Sale	112,500 @ $0.00	$0	−50.0% of holding	+7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	112,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-30	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Sale	200,000 @ $0.00	$0	−17.6% of holding	−2.8%	+4.5%	934,750	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-06	Gupta Vikas	officer	Purchase	11,500 @ $42.97	$494K	+505.9% of holding	+5.2%	+2.6%	13,773	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-05	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $43.14	$863K	ownership Δ n/a	+5.1%	+3.5%	20,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-08	Egbuonu-Davis Lisa	director	Sale	2,300 @ $40.16	$92K	−11.0% of holding	+5.1%	+6.1%	18,654	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Egbuonu-Davis Lisa	director	Sale	200 @ $40.16	$8K	−0.9% of holding	+5.1%	+6.1%	20,954	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

265 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	Egbuonu-Davis Lisa	director	Gift	5,131	17,301	Form 4
2026-07-01	Ballew Neal	officer	Award / grant	168	4,676	Form 4
2026-07-01	Ballew Neal	officer	Disposition	11	4,665	Form 4
2026-06-30	Ballew Neal	officer	Option exercise	14,862	163,184	Form 4
2026-06-30	Ballew Neal	officer	Option exercise	5,620	168,804	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gourmand Matthew Paul	officer	Option exercise	14,862	125,422	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gourmand Matthew Paul	officer	Option exercise	5,620	119,802	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gourmand Matthew Paul	officer	Option exercise	14,862	226,738	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gupta Vikas	officer	Option exercise	14,862	97,719	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gupta Vikas	officer	Option exercise	5,620	92,099	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gupta Vikas	officer	Option exercise	14,862	240,850	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gupta Vikas	officer	Option exercise	5,620	246,470	Form 4
2026-06-30	Makode Gail D	officer	Option exercise	14,862	86,339	Form 4
2026-06-30	Makode Gail D	officer	Option exercise	5,620	80,719	Form 4
2026-06-30	Makode Gail D	officer	Option exercise	14,862	239,370	Form 4
2026-06-30	Makode Gail D	officer	Option exercise	5,620	244,990	Form 4
2026-06-30	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Option exercise	69,226	405,345	Form 4
2026-06-30	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Option exercise	26,177	379,168	Form 4
2026-06-30	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Option exercise	69,226	1,294,229	Form 4
2026-06-30	PICKETT C TAYLOR	director	Option exercise	26,177	1,320,406	Form 4
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON ROBERT O	director	Option exercise	28,770	162,955	Form 4
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON ROBERT O	director	Option exercise	10,879	152,076	Form 4
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON ROBERT O	director	Option exercise	28,770	747,864	Form 4
2026-06-30	STEPHENSON ROBERT O	director	Option exercise	10,879	758,743	Form 4
2026-06-30	Gourmand Matthew Paul	officer	Option exercise	5,620	232,358	Form 4
2026-06-30	Ballew Neal	officer	Option exercise	14,862	89,333	Form 4
2026-06-30	Ballew Neal	officer	Option exercise	5,620	83,713	Form 4
2026-06-05	Jacobs Kevin J	director	Award / grant	6,125	46,935	Form 4
2026-06-05	Egbuonu-Davis Lisa	director	Award / grant	3,778	22,432	Form 4
2026-06-05	WHITMAN BURKE W	director	Award / grant	3,778	47,931	Form 4
2026-06-05	HILL BARBARA B	director	Option exercise	7,079	0	Form 4
2026-06-05	HILL BARBARA B	director	Option exercise	7,079	49,073	Form 4
2026-06-05	HILL BARBARA B	director	Award / grant	6,102	6,102	Form 4
2026-06-05	PLAVIN STEPHEN D	director	Option exercise	4,424	0	Form 4
2026-06-05	PLAVIN STEPHEN D	director	Option exercise	4,424	23,215	Form 4
2026-06-05	PLAVIN STEPHEN D	director	Award / grant	3,814	3,814	Form 4
2026-06-05	Anand Kapila K	director	Award / grant	6,205	44,992	Form 4
2026-06-05	CALLEN CRAIG R	director	Option exercise	11,263	0	Form 4
2026-06-05	CALLEN CRAIG R	director	Award / grant	9,708	9,708	Form 4
2026-04-01	Ballew Neal	officer	Award / grant	168	4,516	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i